Roster Math

Team ratings

All 365 Division I teams, 2026-27. Preseason projections, built from the roster player by player and frozen before the first game; the in-season rating takes over once games are played. Click a column to sort, a team for its roster and schedule; hover a heading for what it means.

Order by
#TeamConfRatingOffDef80% rangeTop 25ReturningProj. record
1FloridaSEC+30.9+17.7 #1+13.2 #1+23.4 to +38.498%86%26-4
2DukeACC+26.6+14.2 #3+12.4 #3+19.1 to +34.092%41%25-7
3ArizonaBig 12+24.1+11.6 #12+12.5 #2+16.5 to +31.684%35%22-8
4UConnBig East+23.5+13.2 #4+10.3 #8+16.0 to +30.982%35%24-8
5IllinoisBig Ten+23.2+14.7 #2+8.5 #15+15.8 to +30.681%60%23-9
6Michigan StateBig Ten+22.6+11.8 #10+10.8 #6+15.4 to +29.978%68%23-9
7LouisvilleACC+22.3+12.1 #8+10.2 #9+14.9 to +29.676%10%21-8
8HoustonBig 12+22.2+9.8 #28+12.4 #4+14.8 to +29.576%30%23-7
9Iowa StateBig 12+21.9+11.9 #9+9.9 #11+14.5 to +29.174%44%23-7
10KansasBig 12+21.7+10.8 #20+10.9 #5+14.2 to +29.173%29%22-8
11MichiganBig Ten+20.7+10.2 #25+10.5 #7+13.2 to +28.266%47%20-10
12NebraskaBig Ten+20.7+10.6 #21+10.0 #10+13.4 to +28.067%42%23-9
13TennesseeSEC+20.4+11.0 #19+9.4 #14+13.1 to +27.665%10%21-9
14GonzagaPac-12+20.1+10.4 #24+9.7 #13+12.6 to +27.663%22%21-7
15Texas TechBig 12+19.9+12.7 #7+7.2 #18+12.5 to +27.362%34%20-9
16AuburnSEC+19.7+13.2 #5+6.6 #28+12.4 to +27.160%40%21-9
17AlabamaSEC+19.3+13.0 #6+6.3 #33+12.0 to +26.758%47%19-11
18MiamiACC+18.8+11.8 #11+7.0 #23+11.6 to +26.054%32%22-8
19VirginiaACC+18.7+10.5 #22+8.1 #17+11.4 to +25.953%61%22-9
20TexasSEC+18.5+11.3 #16+7.1 #20+11.1 to +25.952%17%21-10
21St. John'sBig East+18.4+8.6 #39+9.7 #12+11.2 to +25.551%21%21-9
22KentuckySEC+18.2+11.5 #14+6.7 #26+10.8 to +25.650%28%21-11
23BYUBig 12+18.1+11.5 #13+6.6 #27+10.7 to +25.550%29%21-9
24VillanovaBig East+17.5+11.3 #17+6.3 #32+10.0 to +24.844%28%22-10
25ArkansasSEC+17.5+11.5 #15+6.0 #38+9.9 to +25.145%24%20-12
26VanderbiltSEC+16.0+9.1 #34+6.9 #24+8.7 to +23.435%24%21-11
27Ohio StateBig Ten+15.9+10.5 #23+5.4 #44+8.5 to +23.334%37%20-12
28UCLABig Ten+15.6+8.8 #37+6.8 #25+8.2 to +22.932%48%20-11
29Utah StatePac-12+15.5+9.3 #33+6.2 #34+8.2 to +22.931%27%22-9
30OklahomaSEC+15.1+10.0 #27+5.1 #51+7.8 to +22.630%34%20-12
31Texas A&MSEC+14.9+8.9 #36+6.0 #36+7.6 to +22.228%23%20-12
32GeorgiaSEC+14.8+9.7 #30+5.2 #48+7.5 to +22.128%50%20-12
33IowaBig Ten+14.6+7.5 #42+7.2 #19+7.3 to +21.826%68%19-13
34WisconsinBig Ten+14.4+8.5 #40+6.0 #39+7.0 to +21.825%54%18-12
35USCBig Ten+14.2+6.1 #58+8.2 #16+6.9 to +21.624%26%20-12
36NC StateACC+13.8+10.1 #26+3.7 #82+6.5 to +21.021%25%20-11
37BaylorBig 12+13.7+11.1 #18+2.6 #99+6.4 to +21.122%33%17-12
38PurdueBig Ten+13.6+9.5 #31+4.1 #73+6.4 to +20.820%70%18-14
39LSUSEC+13.6+7.1 #45+6.5 #29+6.3 to +20.820%4%18-14
40High PointBig South+13.5+8.7 #38+4.8 #55+6.2 to +20.720%29%25-5
41CreightonBig East+13.3+9.5 #32+3.8 #80+6.2 to +20.519%43%18-12
42CincinnatiBig 12+13.1+6.0 #59+7.1 #22+5.8 to +20.418%1%20-12
43MissouriSEC+13.1+9.0 #35+4.1 #72+5.7 to +20.418%33%17-15
44VCUA-10+13.1+6.7 #49+6.4 #30+5.8 to +20.318%59%21-8
45Virginia TechACC+12.7+9.7 #29+3.0 #88+5.4 to +20.016%45%21-11
46ClemsonACC+12.7+6.7 #48+6.0 #37+5.2 to +19.916%42%18-12
47MarquetteBig East+12.5+6.1 #57+6.4 #31+5.2 to +19.916%64%19-13
48West VirginiaBig 12+12.3+6.3 #51+6.0 #39+5.0 to +19.615%23%17-13
49ProvidenceBig East+12.2+7.6 #41+4.7 #59+4.8 to +19.514%19%18-12
50New MexicoMountain West+12.1+7.3 #43+4.8 #56+4.5 to +19.614%38%23-8
51TCUBig 12+11.9+5.8 #65+6.1 #35+4.6 to +19.213%60%18-12
52Arizona StateBig 12+11.8+4.7 #78+7.1 #21+4.3 to +19.213%11%19-13
53SMUACC+11.8+7.2 #44+4.6 #61+4.4 to +19.213%27%20-13
54North CarolinaACC+11.5+5.7 #67+5.8 #42+4.1 to +18.912%24%18-14
55IndianaBig Ten+11.4+6.5 #50+4.9 #52+4.1 to +18.712%13%19-13
56Saint LouisA-10+11.1+6.2 #54+4.9 #53+3.7 to +18.410%71%22-10
57XavierBig East+10.9+6.2 #55+4.7 #58+3.5 to +18.210%20%18-14
58OregonBig Ten+10.6+6.9 #47+3.7 #81+3.5 to +17.89%32%16-14
59Grand CanyonMountain West+10.3+5.7 #68+4.6 #62+3.0 to +17.68%26%21-9
60Saint Mary'sWCC+10.2+5.1 #73+5.1 #50+2.8 to +17.78%56%21-9
61Ole MissSEC+10.1+5.9 #63+4.2 #71+2.8 to +17.37%26%16-14
62Wichita StateAmerican+9.9+5.5 #69+4.4 #68+2.5 to +17.38%60%20-10
63Santa ClaraWCC+9.8+7.1 #46+2.8 #94+2.6 to +17.27%66%21-10
64MarylandBig Ten+9.7+5.9 #64+3.9 #77+2.5 to +16.96%21%16-14
65MinnesotaBig Ten+9.7+4.6 #81+5.1 #49+2.4 to +17.07%61%17-15
66NevadaMountain West+9.5+4.3 #83+5.2 #47+2.2 to +16.86%59%21-9
67Colorado StatePac-12+9.4+6.3 #52+3.2 #84+2.2 to +16.86%69%17-12
68PittsburghACC+9.3+4.7 #80+4.7 #60+2.1 to +16.66%14%18-14
69StanfordACC+9.0+5.0 #75+4.0 #75+1.7 to +16.45%41%18-13
70UCFBig 12+9.0+6.0 #61+3.0 #87+1.6 to +16.46%21%16-16
71SyracuseACC+8.9+3.3 #101+5.6 #43+1.7 to +16.25%13%18-14
72UtahBig 12+8.9+3.0 #106+5.9 #41+1.6 to +16.25%14%19-13
73AkronMAC+8.8+4.8 #77+4.0 #74+1.5 to +16.25%48%20-8
74DaytonA-10+8.8+4.0 #88+4.8 #57+1.6 to +16.05%50%21-11
75Notre DameACC+8.6+4.7 #79+3.9 #76+1.4 to +15.84%42%17-13
76Wake ForestACC+8.2+3.9 #90+4.3 #69+0.9 to +15.64%30%17-14
77UC San DiegoBig West+8.1+3.5 #96+4.6 #63+0.9 to +15.33%62%19-10
78Mississippi StateSEC+8.1+5.1 #72+2.9 #90+0.9 to +15.34%31%14-17
79NorthwesternBig Ten+8.0+3.6 #94+4.3 #69+0.7 to +15.24%24%16-16
80McNeeseSouthland+7.9+3.5 #99+4.5 #64+0.6 to +15.24%63%21-8
81San Diego StatePac-12+7.9+4.9 #76+3.0 #89+0.4 to +15.34%46%15-12
82TulsaAmerican+7.9+6.0 #60+1.8 #114+0.7 to +15.03%49%26-12
83South FloridaAmerican+7.9+6.1 #56+1.7 #116+0.6 to +15.13%16%20-12
84GeorgetownBig East+7.7+3.9 #92+3.9 #78+0.4 to +15.03%32%16-15
85ColoradoBig 12+7.7+3.3 #103+4.4 #65+0.4 to +14.93%43%16-16
86ButlerBig East+7.5+3.1 #104+4.4 #66+0.1 to +15.03%36%16-16
87Boise StatePac-12+7.2+3.3 #102+3.9 #79-0.1 to +14.63%41%17-13
88Northern IowaMVC+6.8+1.6 #127+5.2 #46-0.4 to +14.02%61%17-13
89Penn StateBig Ten+6.8+5.9 #62+0.9 #141-0.5 to +14.02%47%17-15
90Florida StateACC+6.8+3.9 #89+2.8 #92-0.5 to +14.02%20%16-16
91Oklahoma StateBig 12+6.7+5.1 #74+1.7 #118-0.4 to +14.02%21%15-17
92WashingtonBig Ten+6.6+5.4 #70+1.2 #132-0.8 to +14.12%41%13-16
93Oregon StatePac-12+6.6+5.3 #71+1.3 #129-0.9 to +14.02%22%19-12
94BelmontMVC+6.3+3.9 #90+2.4 #101-1.1 to +13.62%66%18-12
95YaleIvy+6.1+6.2 #53-0.2 #198-1.4 to +13.52%77%16-10
96Miami (OH)MAC+6.1+5.7 #66+0.3 #168-1.1 to +13.52%69%19-10
97DePaulBig East+6.0+1.2 #134+4.9 #54-1.2 to +13.32%41%15-17
98South CarolinaSEC+5.4+2.7 #111+2.7 #95-2.0 to +12.81%12%15-17
99Kansas StateBig 12+5.2+4.1 #86+1.1 #133-2.0 to +12.41%22%13-17
100MemphisAmerican+5.2+3.6 #95+1.6 #122-2.1 to +12.41%18%16-14
101UNC WilmingtonCAA+5.1+1.9 #121+3.2 #83-2.3 to +12.51%67%20-10
102RutgersBig Ten+5.0+2.6 #112+2.5 #100-2.3 to +12.41%56%14-16
103UC Santa BarbaraBig West+4.4+3.5 #97+0.9 #140-2.8 to +11.7<1%57%18-11
104DrakeMVC+4.4+4.2 #85+0.2 #173-2.9 to +11.7<1%64%18-13
105UC IrvineBig West+4.3-1.0 #201+5.3 #45-3.1 to +11.6<1%75%18-12
106Seton HallBig East+4.3+1.1 #135+3.1 #85-2.9 to +11.6<1%26%14-17
107George MasonA-10+4.1+3.5 #98+0.6 #152-3.1 to +11.3<1%32%19-12
108Illinois StateMVC+4.0+1.9 #120+2.1 #110-3.3 to +11.4<1%47%17-13
109CornellIvy+3.9+4.3 #84-0.3 #205-3.4 to +11.4<1%100%14-12
110FurmanSoCon+3.9+2.3 #119+1.6 #121-3.5 to +11.1<1%69%19-10
111Seattle UWCC+3.7-0.6 #187+4.4 #67-3.5 to +11.0<1%69%18-12
112Utah ValleyBig West+3.7+0.9 #148+2.8 #93-3.7 to +11.0<1%75%16-12
113Robert MorrisHorizon+3.6+1.4 #130+2.2 #107-3.6 to +11.0<1%67%18-12
114Boston CollegeACC+3.4+0.7 #153+2.7 #97-3.8 to +10.7<1%5%15-17
115CaliforniaACC+3.3+2.5 #116+0.8 #144-3.8 to +10.6<1%37%14-17
116Indiana StateMVC+3.3+2.8 #109+0.5 #159-3.9 to +10.6<1%66%15-13
117Murray StateMVC+3.2+2.5 #118+0.8 #148-4.2 to +10.6<1%38%18-13
118LipscombASUN+3.2+0.9 #143+2.2 #106-4.2 to +10.6<1%68%18-12
119George WashingtonA-10+3.1+2.5 #113+0.5 #156-4.3 to +10.4<1%23%17-14
120UICMVC+2.9+1.6 #125+1.2 #131-4.5 to +10.2<1%84%16-14
121WyomingMountain West+2.8+2.5 #114+0.3 #169-4.5 to +10.2<1%64%17-14
122Florida AtlanticAmerican+2.8+2.9 #108+0.0 #190-4.4 to +10.2<1%36%16-13
123HarvardIvy+2.8+1.4 #132+1.4 #125-4.5 to +10.1<1%96%14-12
124HofstraCAA+2.8+0.1 #167+2.7 #96-4.7 to +10.1<1%50%17-13
125FordhamA-10+2.8+1.0 #140+1.8 #115-4.4 to +10.1<1%64%16-14
126St. BonaventureA-10+2.7+0.5 #157+2.2 #108-4.6 to +10.1<1%59%17-14
127Middle TennesseeCUSA+2.7+1.6 #126+1.0 #137-4.7 to +10.0<1%61%15-13
128Northern ColoradoBig Sky+2.5+1.4 #131+1.1 #136-4.7 to +9.7<1%53%15-12
129Saint Joseph'sA-10+2.5-0.4 #180+2.9 #91-5.0 to +9.9<1%55%16-13
130St. Thomas-MinnesotaSummit+2.5+0.9 #144+1.5 #123-4.8 to +9.8<1%62%18-12
131CharlotteAmerican+2.2+3.7 #93-1.4 #240-4.8 to +9.3<1%46%16-15
132DavidsonA-10+2.2+0.9 #142+1.3 #127-5.0 to +9.6<1%63%17-15
133Kent StateMAC+2.2+0.5 #156+1.6 #119-5.3 to +9.6<1%49%15-13
134Arkansas StateSun Belt+2.2+1.8 #122+0.4 #165-5.2 to +9.5<1%46%19-10
135North TexasAmerican+2.1-0.9 #193+3.0 #86-5.3 to +9.5<1%48%17-14
136RichmondA-10+1.8+1.8 #123+0.1 #181-5.5 to +9.2<1%36%16-15
137New Mexico StateCUSA+1.7+0.9 #147+0.8 #146-5.5 to +8.9<1%51%14-14
138Montana StateBig Sky+1.6+2.5 #115-0.9 #220-5.7 to +9.0<1%86%15-14
139UNLVMountain West+1.6+0.7 #154+0.8 #142-5.6 to +8.9<1%34%16-14
140Georgia TechACC+1.5-0.5 #184+2.0 #111-5.8 to +9.0<1%9%13-19
141CharlestonCAA+1.5+2.8 #110-1.3 #236-5.8 to +8.9<1%40%15-12
142Queens UniversityASUN+1.5+3.1 #105-1.6 #245-5.9 to +8.7<1%89%17-15
143Florida InternationalCUSA+1.4+1.0 #141+0.4 #161-5.9 to +8.6<1%49%16-13
144PennsylvaniaIvy+1.3-1.4 #216+2.6 #98-6.0 to +8.5<1%85%13-13
145Texas A&M-Corpus ChristiSouthland+1.2-1.2 #207+2.4 #103-5.9 to +8.3<1%86%16-14
146Eastern WashingtonBig Sky+1.2+3.5 #99-2.3 #269-6.2 to +8.5<1%76%15-14
147James MadisonSun Belt+1.2+2.9 #107-1.7 #250-6.1 to +8.2<1%42%18-11
148Rhode IslandA-10+1.0+0.0 #170+1.0 #138-6.3 to +8.6<1%47%16-14
149TempleAmerican+1.0+0.9 #145+0.1 #180-6.4 to +8.3<1%35%14-14
150LibertyCUSA+1.0+2.5 #117-1.5 #243-6.3 to +8.4<1%42%16-13
151Western MichiganMAC+0.9+4.5 #82-3.6 #306-6.3 to +8.3<1%30%14-14
152Western CarolinaSoCon+0.7+0.7 #152+0.0 #186-6.5 to +8.1<1%61%14-13
153Ball StateMAC+0.7+0.8 #151+0.0 #187-6.5 to +7.8<1%36%15-14
154Tennessee StateOVC+0.7-0.5 #185+1.3 #130-6.6 to +7.9<1%65%14-10
155TroySun Belt+0.7+0.0 #169+0.7 #151-6.6 to +8.1<1%54%16-12
156DuquesneA-10+0.7+0.5 #158+0.1 #177-6.7 to +8.0<1%52%16-14
157California BaptistBig West+0.7+0.7 #155+0.0 #191-6.5 to +8.1<1%75%17-15
158UABAmerican+0.6+0.2 #166+0.5 #157-6.7 to +8.0<1%38%16-16
159OaklandHorizon+0.6+0.3 #165+0.4 #166-6.7 to +8.0<1%72%13-19
160Western KentuckyCUSA+0.6+1.1 #137-0.5 #208-6.7 to +7.8<1%55%15-14
161Stephen F. AustinSouthland+0.3-0.9 #197+1.3 #128-7.0 to +7.5<1%74%16-13
162Washington StatePac-12+0.3-0.4 #182+0.7 #149-7.0 to +7.4<1%34%12-19
163Austin PeayUAC+0.3+1.7 #124-1.5 #244-7.1 to +7.7<1%62%16-12
164PrincetonIvy+0.2+0.8 #149-0.7 #214-7.0 to +7.5<1%94%13-14
165Wright StateHorizon+0.1+1.4 #133-1.2 #230-7.4 to +7.5<1%70%17-14
166Loyola ChicagoA-10+0.1-2.3 #246+2.4 #102-7.3 to +7.4<1%20%14-16
167Kennesaw StateCUSA+0.0+0.1 #168+0.0 #188-7.2 to +7.4<1%57%14-13
168William & MaryCAA-0.2+1.0 #139-1.2 #229-7.5 to +7.2<1%82%15-14
169ColumbiaIvy-0.2-0.3 #176+0.1 #182-7.5 to +7.1<1%83%14-13
170Loyola MarymountWCC-0.2-0.1 #171-0.2 #197-7.6 to +7.2<1%42%16-15
171East Tennessee StateSoCon-0.2-0.5 #183+0.2 #172-7.6 to +7.1<1%64%17-13
172ValparaisoMVC-0.3+0.5 #160-0.8 #216-7.6 to +7.1<1%90%14-15
173ToledoMAC-0.3+0.3 #163-0.6 #210-7.7 to +7.2<1%57%14-17
174NavyPatriot-0.4-1.5 #222+1.1 #134-7.6 to +6.80%100%18-12
175PacificWCC-0.4-0.1 #172-0.3 #204-7.7 to +7.0<1%63%14-16
176MerrimackMetro-0.5-2.5 #254+2.0 #112-7.8 to +7.0<1%58%17-14
177WinthropBig South-0.6+0.5 #159-1.1 #227-8.0 to +6.60%62%14-14
178MassachusettsMAC-0.6-1.1 #204+0.5 #154-7.9 to +6.6<1%73%16-15
179Hawai'iMountain West-0.7-2.8 #262+2.1 #109-8.2 to +6.7<1%40%14-14
180UMBCAm. East-0.7-0.8 #190+0.1 #179-8.1 to +6.7<1%75%16-13
181Central ArkansasUAC-0.7-1.1 #203+0.4 #162-8.0 to +6.5<1%94%14-14
182East CarolinaAmerican-0.7-1.7 #228+1.0 #139-8.1 to +6.6<1%43%15-13
183Texas StatePac-12-0.8-1.0 #202+0.3 #171-8.1 to +6.6<1%74%14-17
184BrownIvy-0.8-2.4 #251+1.6 #120-8.1 to +6.5<1%100%14-13
185Sam HoustonCUSA-0.8+1.1 #136-2.0 #259-8.2 to +6.60%74%12-17
186Portland StateBig Sky-0.9-3.1 #274+2.2 #105-8.1 to +6.30%57%13-15
187San José StateMountain West-1.0-0.4 #179-0.6 #211-8.3 to +6.40%38%14-16
188American UniversityPatriot-1.0-0.9 #196+0.0 #192-8.2 to +6.30%100%17-14
189San FranciscoWCC-1.0-1.3 #214+0.4 #166-8.4 to +6.4<1%17%16-15
190SamfordSoCon-1.0+1.5 #128-2.6 #278-8.4 to +6.30%69%14-14
191UT Rio Grande ValleySouthland-1.1-2.0 #236+0.8 #145-8.4 to +6.3<1%71%15-15
192Abilene ChristianUAC-1.4-1.8 #232+0.4 #164-8.7 to +6.00%76%15-13
193TowsonCAA-1.4-1.9 #235+0.5 #160-8.7 to +5.8<1%60%15-15
194BradleyMVC-1.4-2.2 #242+0.8 #147-8.9 to +5.90%54%14-15
195LongwoodBig South-1.4-1.5 #221+0.1 #183-8.6 to +5.70%48%15-14
196HowardMEAC-1.5-1.4 #217-0.1 #193-8.8 to +6.00%94%16-10
197ColgatePatriot-1.6-1.0 #199-0.6 #213-8.9 to +5.90%100%15-15
198ElonCAA-1.7+0.3 #164-2.0 #260-9.0 to +5.50%65%14-16
199Sacramento StateBig West-1.7-0.4 #181-1.3 #232-9.0 to +5.60%53%14-16
200QuinnipiacMetro-1.7-1.8 #231+0.0 #185-9.0 to +5.50%67%16-14
201Missouri StateCUSA-1.7-0.8 #192-0.9 #219-9.1 to +5.60%86%12-15
202VermontAm. East-1.7-1.6 #223-0.2 #199-9.0 to +5.50%67%16-14
203Jacksonville StateCUSA-1.8-2.3 #244+0.5 #158-9.1 to +5.60%49%14-16
204Mount St. Mary'sMetro-1.8-2.3 #247+0.5 #153-8.9 to +5.50%58%16-14
205MaristMetro-1.9-3.9 #298+2.0 #113-9.2 to +5.60%63%16-13
206Southern IllinoisMVC-1.9-3.4 #283+1.5 #124-9.2 to +5.50%66%13-16
207Cleveland StateHorizon-1.9+1.5 #129-3.4 #301-9.3 to +5.40%63%13-15
208SienaMetro-2.0-1.7 #229-0.2 #201-9.2 to +5.40%64%16-16
209BuffaloMAC-2.0-0.3 #177-1.6 #248-9.2 to +5.30%26%12-17
210Long Island UniversityNEC-2.0-1.6 #225-0.4 #206-9.4 to +5.30%80%15-16
211UT ArlingtonUAC-2.0-3.7 #293+1.7 #117-9.3 to +5.30%76%15-14
212Purdue Fort WayneHorizon-2.1-0.9 #194-1.2 #231-9.3 to +5.20%91%14-15
213South Dakota StateSummit-2.2-0.2 #174-1.9 #257-9.5 to +5.20%80%14-13
214Southern MissSun Belt-2.2-2.3 #245+0.1 #178-9.4 to +5.20%69%15-15
215Youngstown StateHorizon-2.2-0.2 #175-2.0 #261-9.6 to +5.10%57%14-15
216MonmouthCAA-2.3-1.2 #209-1.1 #225-9.6 to +5.30%60%14-18
217Le MoyneNEC-2.3-1.5 #219-0.8 #215-9.7 to +5.10%86%15-14
218La SalleA-10-2.3-2.1 #239-0.2 #200-9.7 to +5.00%51%12-17
219Southeast Missouri StateOVC-2.3-4.6 #313+2.3 #104-9.7 to +5.00%91%13-13
220Bethune-CookmanSWAC-2.3-1.4 #215-1.0 #224-9.6 to +4.90%57%14-16
221Fresno StatePac-12-2.3-3.2 #277+0.8 #142-9.8 to +4.80%46%12-18
222MontanaBig Sky-2.5-1.2 #210-1.3 #234-9.7 to +4.70%80%13-16
223Cal PolyBig West-2.6+0.9 #146-3.5 #303-10.0 to +4.70%100%12-18
224CampbellCAA-2.7-2.9 #268+0.3 #170-9.9 to +4.70%43%13-19
225North Dakota StateSummit-2.7+0.5 #160-3.2 #294-10.2 to +4.50%47%13-15
226ChattanoogaSoCon-2.7-1.3 #212-1.5 #241-10.1 to +4.70%74%15-14
227Cal State NorthridgeBig West-2.8-3.9 #297+1.1 #135-10.1 to +4.40%63%13-17
228South AlabamaSun Belt-2.8-2.8 #263+0.1 #184-10.2 to +4.60%62%15-14
229App StateSun Belt-2.9-1.2 #208-1.7 #249-10.2 to +4.50%72%14-15
230Boston UniversityPatriot-3.0+0.8 #150-3.8 #317-10.3 to +4.40%89%16-14
231MercerSoCon-3.2-3.1 #272-0.1 #196-10.7 to +4.20%61%13-17
232OhioMAC-3.2-0.7 #189-2.5 #275-10.6 to +4.10%57%13-16
233Weber StateBig Sky-3.3-0.9 #195-2.4 #273-10.7 to +3.90%69%13-17
234SIU EdwardsvilleOVC-3.4-3.6 #290+0.2 #174-10.7 to +3.80%79%14-13
235SouthernSWAC-3.5-3.0 #269-0.5 #209-10.7 to +3.80%88%13-16
236Cal State FullertonBig West-3.5-1.3 #213-2.2 #264-10.8 to +3.80%96%12-18
237UTEPMountain West-3.5-4.3 #309+0.7 #150-10.9 to +3.80%56%12-15
238LamarSouthland-3.5-3.3 #278-0.3 #202-10.7 to +3.80%61%14-16
239MercyhurstNEC-3.6-3.5 #285-0.1 #194-10.9 to +3.80%90%14-15
240DenverWCC-3.6+4.0 #87-7.6 #363-11.0 to +3.60%90%12-18
241RadfordBig South-3.6-2.6 #257-0.9 #222-10.9 to +3.80%60%12-17
242MilwaukeeHorizon-3.6-1.8 #233-1.8 #252-10.9 to +3.90%65%12-19
243PresbyterianBig South-3.6-2.5 #255-1.1 #226-11.0 to +3.80%86%12-16
244Eastern MichiganMAC-3.6-4.0 #301+0.4 #163-10.8 to +3.70%53%11-17
245UNC AshevilleBig South-3.6-2.7 #260-0.9 #221-10.8 to +3.60%71%13-16
246UNC GreensboroSoCon-3.7+1.0 #138-4.7 #334-11.0 to +3.50%59%13-16
247MarshallSun Belt-3.7-0.7 #188-3.1 #290-10.9 to +3.70%56%14-14
248FairfieldMetro-3.8-2.2 #240-1.6 #246-10.8 to +3.40%68%15-15
249PepperdineWCC-3.8-0.4 #178-3.4 #302-11.1 to +3.50%41%13-17
250TulaneAmerican-3.9-1.2 #205-2.7 #282-11.1 to +3.30%34%15-16
251IdahoBig Sky-3.9-2.9 #267-1.0 #223-11.2 to +3.20%55%12-16
252UC RiversideBig West-3.9-1.5 #218-2.4 #271-11.2 to +3.50%85%12-18
253JacksonvilleASUN-3.9-1.2 #206-2.8 #283-11.2 to +3.30%70%11-16
254DrexelCAA-4.0-4.2 #306+0.2 #176-11.3 to +3.40%84%14-16
255UC DavisMountain West-4.2-3.6 #286-0.6 #212-11.6 to +3.20%78%13-17
256LehighPatriot-4.2-3.9 #300-0.3 #203-11.5 to +3.10%85%14-15
257Tarleton StateUAC-4.3-3.4 #282-0.9 #218-11.4 to +2.80%68%13-15
258LindenwoodOVC-4.3-3.8 #296-0.4 #207-11.5 to +3.00%68%12-14
259Central MichiganMAC-4.5-3.1 #273-1.4 #237-11.7 to +2.70%72%11-19
260Georgia StateSun Belt-4.5-1.7 #227-2.8 #285-11.7 to +2.70%27%14-15
261Idaho StateBig Sky-4.5-0.2 #173-4.3 #327-11.7 to +2.70%64%12-17
262RiceAmerican-4.5-2.4 #249-2.1 #263-11.8 to +2.80%70%12-18
263San DiegoWCC-4.7-2.9 #264-1.8 #254-11.9 to +2.50%48%12-17
264Eastern KentuckyUAC-4.7-0.9 #198-3.8 #313-12.2 to +2.70%56%13-15
265Morehead StateOVC-4.7-0.8 #191-3.9 #318-12.1 to +2.50%72%13-15
266Bowling GreenMAC-4.8-2.6 #256-2.2 #265-12.0 to +2.60%48%12-18
267NichollsSouthland-4.9-4.0 #302-0.9 #217-12.4 to +2.50%65%13-17
268South Carolina UpstateBig South-5.0-6.3 #341+1.3 #126-12.3 to +2.30%81%12-16
269Louisiana TechSun Belt-5.0-3.7 #292-1.4 #238-12.4 to +2.50%57%14-15
270Northern KentuckyHorizon-5.0-2.9 #265-2.1 #262-12.4 to +2.30%68%14-16
271UT MartinOVC-5.1-5.1 #322+0.0 #189-12.5 to +2.40%82%11-16
272Sacred HeartMetro-5.1-1.7 #230-3.4 #299-12.3 to +2.20%61%15-16
273Houston ChristianSouthland-5.1-3.4 #281-1.7 #251-12.4 to +2.20%82%14-16
274OmahaSummit-5.1-2.5 #252-2.6 #280-12.4 to +2.20%80%11-15
275Utah TechBig Sky-5.1-1.5 #220-3.6 #309-12.4 to +2.10%64%11-18
276Charleston SouthernBig South-5.2-2.0 #238-3.2 #292-12.4 to +2.00%73%12-17
277Northwestern StateSouthland-5.2-3.8 #295-1.5 #242-12.5 to +2.00%93%13-17
278Long Beach StateBig West-5.3-4.0 #303-1.3 #233-12.5 to +1.80%76%12-20
279IU IndianapolisHorizon-5.4+0.4 #162-5.8 #353-12.8 to +1.90%77%13-17
280Tennessee TechSoCon-5.5-0.6 #186-4.9 #336-12.8 to +1.70%72%12-17
281Green BayHorizon-5.6-1.8 #234-3.8 #314-13.0 to +1.60%87%12-18
282IonaMetro-5.7-4.5 #310-1.2 #228-13.1 to +1.60%21%15-17
283Stony BrookCAA-5.8-3.6 #288-2.2 #266-13.0 to +1.60%62%13-16
284UTSAAmerican-5.9-1.6 #223-4.3 #325-13.1 to +1.40%32%11-19
285North Carolina A&TCAA-5.9-2.6 #258-3.2 #293-13.1 to +1.50%70%11-17
286SE LouisianaSouthland-5.9-3.3 #279-2.6 #277-13.2 to +1.50%53%12-22
287UMass LowellAm. East-5.9-2.4 #248-3.5 #305-13.2 to +1.60%45%13-16
288HamptonCAA-6.0-4.1 #305-1.9 #255-13.2 to +1.30%40%12-17
289Saint Peter'sMetro-6.1-6.0 #334-0.1 #195-13.5 to +1.20%50%13-16
290DartmouthIvy-6.2-4.9 #320-1.3 #235-13.6 to +1.30%69%10-16
291WagnerNEC-6.3-3.8 #294-2.5 #274-13.6 to +1.00%88%11-16
292Southern UtahBig Sky-6.3-2.7 #259-3.5 #304-13.5 to +0.80%60%10-19
293UAlbanyAm. East-6.5-4.6 #311-1.9 #256-13.8 to +1.00%82%14-17
294LouisianaSun Belt-6.5-4.9 #319-1.6 #247-13.7 to +0.80%70%11-17
295West GeorgiaUAC-6.6-4.6 #312-2.0 #258-13.9 to +0.80%96%11-18
296NortheasternCAA-6.6-2.2 #243-4.3 #328-13.8 to +0.80%75%12-20
297Old DominionSun Belt-6.6-3.9 #299-2.7 #281-14.0 to +0.80%49%12-17
298Georgia SouthernSun Belt-6.6-1.2 #211-5.4 #346-13.8 to +0.70%92%12-18
299Florida Gulf CoastASUN-6.6-3.6 #287-3.0 #289-14.1 to +0.80%68%12-18
300Norfolk StateMEAC-6.6-3.6 #291-3.0 #288-14.0 to +0.80%82%12-16
301Coastal CarolinaSun Belt-6.6-4.8 #316-1.8 #253-13.8 to +0.60%45%12-17
302GramblingSWAC-6.7-7.2 #350+0.5 #155-14.1 to +0.60%68%13-16
303New OrleansSouthland-6.8-2.9 #265-3.9 #319-14.2 to +0.50%71%11-19
304West FloridaASUN-6.9-3.6 #289-3.3 #295-14.4 to +0.60%0%12-17
305BellarmineASUN-7.0-1.0 #200-6.0 #356-14.3 to +0.30%94%11-18
306WoffordSoCon-7.0-1.6 #226-5.4 #347-14.4 to +0.20%68%11-18
307Northern ArizonaBig Sky-7.1-3.4 #284-3.6 #308-14.3 to +0.10%65%9-19
308Incarnate WordSouthland-7.3-3.0 #271-4.3 #324-14.7 to +0.00%50%11-22
309ManhattanMetro-7.3-2.5 #253-4.8 #335-14.5 to -0.10%53%13-18
310North DakotaSummit-7.6-2.4 #250-5.2 #340-14.7 to -0.40%58%10-18
311StetsonASUN-7.6-2.0 #237-5.6 #351-14.8 to -0.30%78%9-19
312Detroit MercyHorizon-7.7-3.2 #276-4.5 #330-15.1 to -0.30%67%9-18
313BucknellPatriot-7.8-5.5 #327-2.3 #270-15.1 to -0.40%72%12-19
314ArmyPatriot-7.8-4.1 #304-3.7 #311-15.2 to -0.70%100%12-18
315Southern IndianaOVC-7.9-4.8 #315-3.1 #291-15.1 to -0.60%74%11-17
316Central ConnecticutNEC-7.9-5.0 #321-2.9 #287-15.4 to -0.40%70%10-17
317EvansvilleMVC-8.0-5.4 #326-2.5 #276-15.3 to -0.70%75%9-21
318MaineAm. East-8.2-8.4 #356+0.2 #175-15.6 to -1.10%85%13-18
319East Texas A&MSouthland-8.3-6.0 #335-2.2 #268-15.8 to -0.90%74%10-20
320Little RockUAC-8.4-4.7 #314-3.7 #312-15.7 to -1.10%50%11-19
321North FloridaASUN-8.5-2.2 #241-6.4 #359-16.0 to -1.30%81%10-19
322South DakotaSummit-8.6-3.1 #275-5.4 #348-15.9 to -1.40%66%12-16
323Oral RobertsSummit-8.6-3.0 #270-5.6 #350-15.8 to -1.30%76%9-17
324Eastern IllinoisOVC-8.6-6.2 #337-2.4 #272-15.9 to -1.40%73%11-17
325DelawareCUSA-8.6-3.4 #280-5.2 #343-15.9 to -1.10%42%9-20
326New HavenNEC-8.6-5.3 #324-3.3 #296-15.9 to -1.40%100%11-17
327BryantAm. East-8.6-5.8 #330-2.8 #284-15.9 to -1.30%75%12-18
328Cal State BakersfieldBig West-8.6-6.0 #336-2.6 #279-16.0 to -1.20%72%10-20
329NiagaraMetro-8.7-4.2 #308-4.5 #331-15.8 to -1.60%61%12-18
330BinghamtonAm. East-8.8-2.7 #261-6.1 #357-16.3 to -1.40%77%11-17
331Texas SouthernSWAC-8.8-4.9 #317-4.0 #320-16.1 to -1.60%74%12-18
332North AlabamaUAC-9.2-5.7 #329-3.6 #307-16.7 to -1.90%64%10-18
333Northern IllinoisHorizon-9.2-5.9 #331-3.4 #300-16.5 to -1.90%63%10-21
334Fairleigh DickinsonNEC-9.4-4.2 #307-5.2 #341-16.9 to -2.10%93%11-19
335New HampshireAm. East-9.4-6.5 #346-2.9 #286-16.7 to -2.00%73%12-19
336Florida A&MSWAC-9.5-7.3 #351-2.2 #267-17.0 to -2.20%71%12-18
337Chicago StateNEC-9.6-5.5 #328-4.0 #321-16.9 to -2.10%100%10-22
338Kansas CitySummit-9.6-5.2 #323-4.4 #329-16.7 to -2.50%64%11-17
339PortlandWCC-9.6-5.9 #333-3.7 #310-16.9 to -2.20%79%9-20
340Alabama StateSWAC-9.6-5.3 #325-4.3 #326-17.0 to -2.30%67%10-17
341Prairie View A&MSWAC-9.6-6.3 #342-3.3 #298-17.1 to -2.20%74%10-18
342LafayettePatriot-9.9-8.5 #357-1.4 #239-17.3 to -2.60%79%12-20
343Alabama A&MSWAC-10.1-6.3 #339-3.8 #315-17.4 to -2.80%76%12-17
344Loyola MarylandPatriot-10.6-6.5 #345-4.1 #323-18.0 to -3.30%61%9-19
345The CitadelSoCon-11.1-4.9 #318-6.2 #358-18.2 to -3.80%83%9-20
346CanisiusMetro-11.2-6.5 #347-4.7 #332-18.4 to -4.00%54%11-20
347NJITAm. East-11.3-6.2 #338-5.1 #338-18.7 to -4.00%84%10-21
348Morgan StateMEAC-11.6-5.9 #332-5.7 #352-19.0 to -4.20%95%10-17
349Arkansas-Pine BluffSWAC-11.8-6.6 #348-5.2 #342-19.1 to -4.40%76%9-20
350VMISoCon-11.9-6.4 #344-5.5 #349-19.3 to -4.50%100%9-19
351RiderMetro-12.2-6.3 #340-5.9 #354-19.4 to -4.90%50%9-21
352Holy CrossPatriot-12.3-6.4 #343-5.9 #355-19.6 to -5.10%83%10-21
353North Carolina CentralMEAC-12.4-7.1 #349-5.3 #345-19.9 to -4.90%100%9-17
354StonehillNEC-12.7-8.7 #359-4.0 #322-20.0 to -5.30%53%8-20
355Jackson StateSWAC-13.1-7.8 #353-5.3 #344-20.5 to -5.80%77%9-23
356Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC-13.1-9.8 #362-3.3 #297-20.4 to -5.80%81%9-20
357Air ForceMountain West-13.5-8.4 #355-5.1 #339-20.7 to -6.20%100%7-24
358Alcorn StateSWAC-13.7-8.6 #358-5.1 #337-21.1 to -6.40%77%9-23
359UL MonroeSun Belt-14.2-7.8 #354-6.4 #360-21.4 to -6.80%66%6-23
360South Carolina StateMEAC-14.4-9.6 #361-4.7 #333-21.8 to -7.00%100%9-19
361Gardner-WebbBig South-14.7-7.5 #352-7.2 #362-22.0 to -7.50%53%6-22
362Western IllinoisOVC-16.5-8.7 #360-7.8 #364-24.0 to -9.30%81%6-21
363Delaware StateMEAC-16.9-13.1 #364-3.8 #316-24.2 to -9.50%69%8-18
364Coppin StateMEAC-17.2-10.6 #363-6.6 #361-24.4 to -9.80%100%7-22
365Mississippi Valley StateSWAC-25.7-16.5 #365-9.2 #365-32.9 to -18.30%100%4-28

A team's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I team on a neutral floor: +30 is elite, 0 is average, and the gap between two teams is the margin the model expects on a neutral floor. Offense and defense are the two halves, each against the average, and the rating is their sum. The projection interval for the rating: eight seasons in ten, a team's true strength lands inside it. Wider means more uncertainty, usually more newcomers. The model's probability that the team finishes the season rated in the top 25, from 20,000 simulated seasons of the projection. The share of the team's projected minutes that played for the same team last season. Expected wins and losses over the games on the schedule as posted (regular season and listed tournaments), each game simulated with the rating's uncertainty. The range beside it is the 10th to 90th percentile of wins. Full glossary.