Teams › UAC · Compare Little Rock with another team
Little Rock
Little Rock returns 50% of last season's minutes and rates #314 on offense and #312 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -15.7 to -1.1.
Why we have them here
Little Rock's preseason projection of -8.4 (No. 320 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -5.4, about the -5.4 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 312 at the end of 2025-26) adds -1.8, about its neighbours' -2.0; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -1.6. It returns 50% of last season's minutes, less than teams ranked near it (73%). The projection leans most on Aaron Clark (+1.4), Jamai Felt (+0.3) and Jah'Likai King (-0.3); the newcomer who matters most is Aaron Clark, a transfer from Pepperdine, at +1.4. Its 80% range, -15.7 to -1.1, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 39% · Transfer 45% · Other newcomer 16%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 753 | Aaron Clark | G | 6-4 | 3 | Transfer | Pepperdine | 27 | +2.0 | +1.4 |
| 1215 | Jamai Felt | F | 6-9 | 2 | Transfer | Temple | 16 | +0.9 | +0.3 |
| 2218 | Jah'Likai King | G | 6-2 | 1 | Transfer | UMBC | 27 | -0.4 | -0.3 |
| 3960 | Khasen Robinson | F | 6-1 | 0 | Other newcomer | 11 | -2.1 | -0.6 | |
| 4327 | Joseph Thomas | G | 6-3 | 1 | Returning | Little Rock | 11 | -2.5 | -0.7 |
| 4465 | Travonne Jackson | G | 6-7 | 2 | Other newcomer | 11 | -2.8 | -0.8 | |
| 4477 | AJ Economou | G | 6-5 | 2 | Transfer | Hawai'i | 8 | -3.3 | -0.7 |
| 4718 | Terrion Burgess | F | 6-9 | 1 | Returning | Little Rock | 17 | -2.6 | -1.1 |
| 4750 | Papa Kante | C | 1 | Other newcomer | 11 | -3.4 | -0.9 | ||
| 5026 | Ayomide Bamisile | F | 6-7 | 2 | Transfer | UL Monroe | 12 | -4.1 | -1.3 |
| 5030 | Truman Claytor IV | F | 6-6 | 1 | Returning | Little Rock | 15 | -3.7 | -1.4 |
| 5084 | Caleb Pennyfeather | F | 6-9 | 2 | Returning | Little Rock | 12 | -4.6 | -1.4 |
| 5148 | Tracy Steele Jr. | G | 6-3 | 3 | Returning | Little Rock | 11 | -5.4 | -1.4 |
| 5165 | Christian Hughes | G | 6-2 | 2 | Returning | Little Rock | 12 | -5.5 | -1.6 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | at |  VCU #44 | -21.0 | 4% | |
| Sat Nov 07 | vs |  SE Louisiana #286 | +3.2 | 60% | |
| Tue Nov 10 | at |  New Mexico #50 | -20.4 | 5% | |
| Sat Nov 14 | vs |  Northwestern State #277 | +2.8 | 59% | |
| Thu Nov 19 | at |  Jacksonville #253 | -8.9 | 23% | |
| Sat Nov 21 | at |  North Florida #321 | -5.3 | 33% | |
| Tue Dec 01 | at |  Jacksonville State #203 | -9.1 | 23% | |
| Sun Dec 06 | at |  Arkansas State #134 | -13.7 | 14% | |
| Sat Dec 12 | vs |  Southern Illinois #206 | +0.6 | 52% | |
| Tue Dec 15 | vs |  Milwaukee #242 | +1.7 | 56% | |
| Fri Dec 18 | at |  Kansas State #99 | -15.8 | 10% | |
| Tue Dec 22 | at |  Memphis #100 | -15.9 | 10% | |
| Wed Dec 30 | vs |  Stetson #311 | +4.5 | 64% | |
| Sat Jan 02 | vs |  Florida Gulf Coast #299 | +3.8 | 62% | |
| Wed Jan 06 | at |  Abilene Christian #192 | conf | -7.2 | 28% |
| Sat Jan 09 | at |  Tarleton State #257 | conf | -5.8 | 32% |
| Wed Jan 13 | vs |  West Georgia #295 | conf | +0.7 | 52% |
| Wed Jan 20 | vs |  Eastern Kentucky #264 | conf | -0.6 | 48% |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs | Tarleton State #257 | conf | -0.9 | 47% |
| Wed Jan 27 | at |  UT Arlington #211 | conf | -6.7 | 29% |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs |  North Alabama #332 | conf | +2.5 | 58% |
| Wed Feb 03 | at |  Austin Peay #163 | conf | -9.0 | 23% |
| Sat Feb 06 | vs |  Central Arkansas #181 | conf | -3.4 | 39% |
| Wed Feb 10 | at | West Georgia #295 | conf | -3.2 | 40% |
| Sat Feb 13 | at | North Alabama #332 | conf | -2.0 | 44% |
| Sat Feb 20 | at | Central Arkansas #181 | conf | -8.2 | 25% |
| Wed Feb 24 | vs | UT Arlington #211 | conf | -2.3 | 42% |
| Sat Feb 27 | at | Eastern Kentucky #264 | conf | -5.0 | 34% |
| Wed Mar 03 | vs | Austin Peay #163 | conf | -4.0 | 37% |
| Sat Mar 06 | vs | Abilene Christian #192 | conf | -2.8 | 41% |
Projected margin is from Little Rock's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.