Teams › MVC · Compare Indiana State with another team
Indiana State
Indiana State returns 66% of last season's minutes and rates #109 on offense and #159 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -3.9 to +10.6.
Why we have them here
Indiana State's preseason projection of +3.3 (No. 116 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +1.5, about the +2.0 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 226 at the end of 2025-26) adds -0.6, less than its neighbours' +0.5; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +2.0. It returns 66% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (61%). The projection leans most on Ian Scott (+3.2), Enel St. Bernard (+1.5) and Meechie White (+1.4); the newcomer who matters most is Meechie White, a transfer from Eastern Illinois, at +1.4. Its 80% range, -3.9 to +10.6, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 64% · Transfer 25% · Freshman 6% · Other newcomer 5%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 210 | Ian Scott | F | 6-7 | 1 | Returning | Indiana State | 25 | +5.1 | +3.2 |
| 565 | Enel St. Bernard | F | 6-6 | 1 | Returning | Indiana State | 18 | +3.4 | +1.5 |
| 680 | Meechie White | G | 6-1 | 1 | Transfer | Eastern Illinois | 23 | +2.5 | +1.4 |
| 904 | Xavier Hall | G | 6-0 | 3 | Returning | Indiana State | 23 | +1.7 | +1.0 |
| 1466 | Bruno Alocen | G | 6-6 | 2 | Returning | Indiana State | 16 | +0.3 | +0.1 |
| 2316 | Sterling Young | G | 6-1 | 3 | Returning | Indiana State | 17 | -0.6 | -0.3 |
| 2552 | Chance Puryear | F | 6-7 | 1 | Transfer | SMU | 3 | -1.8 | -0.2 |
| 2744 | EJ Hazelett | F | 6-6 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 8 | -1.4 | -0.3 |
| 2773 | Aleksa Vlajic | F | 6-10 | 1 | Transfer | Buffalo | 3 | -2.2 | -0.2 |
| 2835 | Jackson Cooper | F | 1 | Other newcomer | 5 | -1.9 | -0.2 | ||
| 2835 | Martin Kaupanger | F | 6-5 | 0 | Other newcomer | 5 | -1.9 | -0.2 | |
| 2967 | Jayan Walker | G | 6-6 | 2 | Returning | Indiana State | 5 | -1.9 | -0.3 |
| 3079 | Caden Huttenlocker | G | 6-2 | 1 | Returning | Indiana State | 3 | -2.6 | -0.2 |
| 3135 | Kade Speckman | F | 6-8 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 5 | -2.1 | -0.3 |
| 3537 | Sivert Waerstad Nordheim | G | 6-6 | 1 | Returning | Indiana State | 4 | -2.9 | -0.3 |
| 3559 | Cooper Bean | G | 6-3 | 2 | Returning | Indiana State | 4 | -2.8 | -0.3 |
| 3859 | Jo Van Buggenhout | G | 6-2 | 1 | Returning | Indiana State | 14 | -1.8 | -0.6 |
| 4155 | Karmani Gregory | G | 6-1 | 2 | Transfer | South Carolina Upstate | 20 | -1.7 | -0.9 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | vs |  Charlotte #131 | +6.8 | 71% | |
| Fri Nov 06 | at |  Ball State #153 | -3.3 | 39% | |
| Wed Nov 11 | vs |  Milwaukee #242 | +11.2 | 82% | |
| Fri Nov 20 | N |  Stephen F. Austin #161 | +2.0 | 57% | |
| Wed Dec 02 | vs |  SIU Edwardsville #234 | +10.7 | 81% | |
| Sun Dec 06 | vs |  Southern Indiana #315 | +14.3 | 88% | |
| Sat Dec 12 | at |  Oregon #58 | -11.0 | 19% | |
| Tue Dec 15 | at |  UIC #120 | conf | -1.7 | 44% |
| Sat Dec 19 | vs |  Murray State #117 | conf | +3.3 | 60% |
| Tue Dec 22 | at |  Kansas #10 | -21.1 | 4% | |
| Tue Dec 29 | vs |  Drake #104 | conf | +2.4 | 58% |
| Sat Jan 02 | at |  Illinois State #108 | conf | -3.8 | 38% |
| Tue Jan 05 | at |  Evansville #317 | conf | +4.6 | 65% |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs |  Northern Iowa #88 | conf | +0.6 | 52% |
| Tue Jan 12 | vs |  Bradley #194 | conf | +6.6 | 70% |
| Sat Jan 16 | at | Murray State #117 | conf | -2.2 | 43% |
| Mon Jan 18 | at |  Belmont #94 | conf | -4.3 | 36% |
| Thu Jan 21 | vs |  Southern Illinois #206 | conf | +7.0 | 71% |
| Wed Jan 27 | at |  Valparaiso #172 | conf | +0.1 | 50% |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs | Evansville #317 | conf | +11.0 | 81% |
| Wed Feb 03 | at | Southern Illinois #206 | conf | +1.3 | 54% |
| Sat Feb 06 | vs | Illinois State #108 | conf | +2.6 | 58% |
| Tue Feb 09 | at | Northern Iowa #88 | conf | -4.9 | 34% |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | Valparaiso #172 | conf | +5.6 | 67% |
| Mon Feb 15 | vs | Belmont #94 | conf | +1.0 | 53% |
| Thu Feb 18 | at | Drake #104 | conf | -3.0 | 41% |
| Sun Feb 21 | vs | UIC #120 | conf | +3.4 | 61% |
| Wed Feb 24 | at | Bradley #194 | conf | +0.1 | 50% |
Projected margin is from Indiana State's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.