Teams › Southland · Compare Lamar with another team
Lamar
Lamar returns 61% of last season's minutes and rates #278 on offense and #202 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -10.7 to +3.8.
Why we have them here
Lamar's preseason projection of -3.5 (No. 238 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -3.7, less than the -2.6 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 222 at the end of 2025-26) adds -0.6, about its neighbours' -0.6; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +0.5. It returns 61% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (65%). The projection leans most on Quante Berry (+0.7), Eian Lowe (+0.1) and Michael Collins (-0.4); the newcomer who matters most is Quante Berry, a transfer from Memphis, at +0.7. Its 80% range, -10.7 to +3.8, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 47% · Transfer 34% · Other newcomer 19%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1019 | Quante Berry | G | 6-4 | 3 | Transfer | Memphis | 19 | +1.4 | +0.7 |
| 1486 | Eian Lowe | G | 5-10 | 1 | Returning | Lamar | 20 | +0.2 | +0.1 |
| 2711 | Niccolo Moretti | G | 6-1 | 3 | Transfer | Florida Atlantic | 23 | -0.8 | -0.4 |
| 3348 | Errol White | F | 6-7 | 3 | Returning | Lamar | 20 | -1.1 | -0.6 |
| 3439 | Quinton Sanders | F | 6-3 | 0 | Other newcomer | 10 | -1.7 | -0.4 | |
| 3497 | Michael Collins | F | 1 | Other newcomer | 9 | -1.9 | -0.4 | ||
| 3553 | Christian Thomas | F | 6-5 | 0 | Other newcomer | 10 | -1.9 | -0.4 | |
| 3666 | Izuchukwu Emelife | F | 6-7 | 0 | Other newcomer | 9 | -2.0 | -0.5 | |
| 3913 | Spencer Ezewiro | F | 6-9 | 1 | Returning | Lamar | 9 | -2.2 | -0.5 |
| 4201 | Jayden Barrs | G | 6-1 | 2 | Returning | Lamar | 12 | -2.3 | -0.7 |
| 4406 | King-Njhsanni Wilhite | G | 6-1 | 1 | Returning | Lamar | 19 | -2.0 | -1.0 |
| 4528 | Matt Reed | F | 6-10 | 3 | Transfer | Iona | 9 | -3.2 | -0.7 |
| 4725 | Jayden Gambrell | G | 6-3 | 1 | Returning | Lamar | 13 | -3.0 | -1.0 |
| 4886 | Marko Ljubicic | F | 6-10 | 2 | Transfer | Manhattan | 18 | -2.9 | -1.3 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Nov 07 | at |  Abilene Christian #192 | -6.8 | 29% | |
| Tue Nov 17 | at |  Omaha #274 | -3.9 | 38% | |
| Sun Nov 22 | N |  Rice #262 | +0.7 | 52% | |
| Tue Nov 24 | N |  Robert Morris #113 | -4.7 | 35% | |
| Wed Dec 02 | vs |  UL Monroe #359 | +13.0 | 85% | |
| Sat Dec 05 | vs |  Northwestern State #277 | conf | +3.5 | 61% |
| Mon Dec 07 | vs |  East Texas A&M #319 | conf | +5.7 | 68% |
| Thu Dec 10 | at |  Portland #339 | -1.5 | 45% | |
| Fri Dec 11 | at |  Oregon State #93 | -13.2 | 14% | |
| Sat Dec 19 | at |  Texas A&M-Corpus Christi #145 | conf | -6.5 | 30% |
| Mon Dec 21 | at |  UT Rio Grande Valley #191 | conf | -3.4 | 39% |
| Tue Dec 29 | at |  Boise State #87 | -13.6 | 13% | |
| Sat Jan 02 | at |  McNeese #80 | conf | -10.7 | 19% |
| Mon Jan 04 | vs |  SE Louisiana #286 | conf | +3.9 | 63% |
| Sat Jan 09 | at |  Incarnate Word #308 | conf | +0.5 | 52% |
| Mon Jan 11 | at |  Houston Christian #273 | conf | -0.8 | 48% |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs |  Nicholls #267 | conf | +3.4 | 61% |
| Mon Jan 18 | vs |  New Orleans #303 | conf | +4.8 | 65% |
| Sat Jan 23 | at | SE Louisiana #286 | conf | -0.3 | 49% |
| Tue Jan 26 | vs | McNeese #80 | conf | -5.3 | 33% |
| Sat Jan 30 | at |  Stephen F. Austin #161 | conf | -4.4 | 36% |
| Mon Feb 01 | at | East Texas A&M #319 | conf | +0.9 | 53% |
| Sat Feb 06 | vs | Stephen F. Austin #161 | conf | -0.2 | 49% |
| Mon Feb 08 | at | Northwestern State #277 | conf | -1.4 | 45% |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | Texas A&M-Corpus Christi #145 | conf | -0.7 | 48% |
| Mon Feb 15 | vs | UT Rio Grande Valley #191 | conf | +0.8 | 53% |
| Sat Feb 20 | at | New Orleans #303 | conf | +0.8 | 53% |
| Mon Feb 22 | at | Nicholls #267 | conf | -0.6 | 48% |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs | Incarnate Word #308 | conf | +4.8 | 65% |
| Mon Mar 01 | vs | Houston Christian #273 | conf | +3.4 | 61% |
Projected margin is from Lamar's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.