Teams › Metro · Compare Fairfield with another team
Fairfield
Fairfield returns 68% of last season's minutes and rates #240 on offense and #246 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -10.8 to +3.4.
Why we have them here
Fairfield's preseason projection of -3.8 (No. 248 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -1.4, more than the -2.2 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 209 at the end of 2025-26) adds -0.3, about its neighbours' -0.8; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -2.3. It returns 68% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (68%). The projection leans most on Declan Wucherpfennig (+2.2), Qadir Martin (+2.1) and Isaac Munkadi (+0.0); the newcomer who matters most is Qadir Martin, a transfer from Mercyhurst, at +2.1. Its 80% range, -10.8 to +3.4, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 58% · Transfer 15% · Freshman 4% · Other newcomer 22%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 441 | Declan Wucherpfennig | G | 6-7 | 1 | Returning | Fairfield | 26 | +3.4 | +2.2 |
| 456 | Qadir Martin | F | 6-5 | 2 | Transfer | Mercyhurst | 25 | +3.4 | +2.1 |
| 1643 | Isaac Munkadi | F | 6-10 | 2 | Returning | Fairfield | 11 | +0.0 | +0.0 |
| 1873 | Tony Williams | G | 6-1 | 1 | Returning | Fairfield | 18 | -0.2 | -0.1 |
| 2527 | Jah Hatchett | F | 6-0 | 0 | Other newcomer | 5 | -1.5 | -0.2 | |
| 2609 | Aidan May | F | 6-2 | 0 | Other newcomer | 5 | -1.6 | -0.2 | |
| 2764 | Jaden Brown | F | 6-4 | 0 | Other newcomer | 5 | -1.7 | -0.2 | |
| 2764 | Matt Curtis | F | 6-4 | 3 | Other newcomer | 5 | -1.7 | -0.2 | |
| 2840 | Noah Best | F | 6-5 | 3 | Other newcomer | 5 | -1.8 | -0.2 | |
| 2840 | Quadir Martin | F | 1 | Other newcomer | 5 | -1.8 | -0.2 | ||
| 2854 | Tanner Ostop | G | 6-0 | 2 | Returning | Fairfield | 3 | -2.2 | -0.2 |
| 2936 | Luke Davidson | G | 6-0 | 3 | Returning | Fairfield | 4 | -2.2 | -0.2 |
| 2952 | Joe Ganton | G | 6-4 | 2 | Returning | Fairfield | 4 | -2.3 | -0.2 |
| 3030 | Cole Edelen | G | 6-2 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 8 | -1.6 | -0.3 |
| 3073 | Oesoemana Sacko | F | 6-8 | 0 | Other newcomer | 5 | -2.0 | -0.3 | |
| 3073 | Brayden Jones | F | 6-8 | 0 | Other newcomer | 5 | -2.0 | -0.3 | |
| 3238 | Peyton Smith | F | 6-10 | 3 | Other newcomer | 6 | -2.1 | -0.3 | |
| 3895 | Eric Mejia | G | 6-3 | 1 | Returning | Fairfield | 14 | -1.8 | -0.6 |
| 4031 | Michael Rogan | G | 6-6 | 3 | Returning | Fairfield | 6 | -3.0 | -0.4 |
| 4092 | Nasir Rodriguez | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | Fairfield | 6 | -3.2 | -0.4 |
| 4320 | Marko Radunovic | G | 6-6 | 1 | Transfer | Boston College | 6 | -3.5 | -0.5 |
| 4437 | Cam Estevez | G | 6-4 | 3 | Returning | Fairfield | 8 | -3.3 | -0.6 |
| 4509 | Halon Rawlins | G | 6-6 | 1 | Returning | Fairfield | 12 | -2.7 | -0.8 |
| 4634 | Ryan Zan | F | 6-6 | 3 | Returning | Fairfield | 6 | -4.2 | -0.6 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu Nov 05 | vs |  Vermont #202 | +3.7 | 62% | |
| Sun Nov 08 | at |  Bryant #327 | -2.8 | 41% | |
| Tue Nov 10 | at |  Wisconsin #34 | -19.5 | 6% | |
| Sat Nov 14 | vs |  NJIT #347 | +10.5 | 80% | |
| Sun Nov 22 | at |  Long Island University #210 | -7.1 | 28% | |
| Fri Nov 27 | vs |  Navy #174 | +2.8 | 59% | |
| Sun Nov 29 | vs |  Central Connecticut #316 | +7.9 | 74% | |
| Fri Dec 04 | vs |  Manhattan #309 | conf | +4.6 | 65% |
| Sun Dec 06 | at |  Merrimack #176 | conf | -4.1 | 37% |
| Tue Dec 08 | at |  Providence #49 | -18.3 | 7% | |
| Sun Dec 13 | vs |  Le Moyne #217 | +4.3 | 64% | |
| Tue Dec 22 | at |  New Hampshire #335 | -1.6 | 45% | |
| Tue Dec 29 | vs |  Siena #208 | conf | +0.9 | 53% |
| Fri Jan 01 | at |  Rider #351 | conf | +3.7 | 62% |
| Sun Jan 03 | at |  Iona #282 | conf | -1.3 | 46% |
| Sun Jan 10 | vs | Merrimack #176 | conf | -0.1 | 50% |
| Wed Jan 13 | at | Siena #208 | conf | -3.2 | 40% |
| Sat Jan 16 | at |  Mount St. Mary's #204 | conf | -3.0 | 40% |
| Mon Jan 18 | vs |  Canisius #346 | conf | +6.9 | 72% |
| Fri Jan 22 | vs | Rider #351 | conf | +7.7 | 74% |
| Sun Jan 24 | at |  Quinnipiac #200 | conf | -3.4 | 39% |
| Sun Jan 31 | vs | Mount St. Mary's #204 | conf | +0.8 | 53% |
| Fri Feb 05 | at |  Sacred Heart #272 | conf | -1.9 | 44% |
| Sun Feb 07 | vs |  Saint Peter's #289 | conf | +3.7 | 62% |
| Thu Feb 11 | at |  Marist #205 | conf | -3.7 | 38% |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | Quinnipiac #200 | conf | +0.8 | 52% |
| Fri Feb 19 | at | Canisius #346 | conf | +2.7 | 59% |
| Sun Feb 21 | at |  Niagara #329 | conf | +1.7 | 56% |
| Fri Feb 26 | vs | Iona #282 | conf | +3.6 | 61% |
| Sun Feb 28 | vs | Sacred Heart #272 | conf | +3.1 | 60% |
Projected margin is from Fairfield's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.