Teams › SoCon · Compare Chattanooga with another team
Chattanooga
Chattanooga returns 74% of last season's minutes and rates #212 on offense and #241 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -10.1 to +4.7.
Why we have them here
Chattanooga's preseason projection of -2.7 (No. 226 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -3.5, less than the -2.1 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 265 at the end of 2025-26) adds -0.8, about its neighbours' -0.5; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +1.3. It returns 74% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (69%). The projection leans most on Tate Darner (+1.1), Yonatan Levy (+0.1) and Teddy Washington Jr. (-0.4); the newcomer who matters most is Yonatan Levy, a transfer from Pepperdine, at +0.1. Its 80% range, -10.1 to +4.7, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 63% · Transfer 10% · Other newcomer 11%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 833 | Tate Darner | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | Chattanooga | 25 | +1.8 | +1.1 |
| 1460 | Yonatan Levy | F | 6-10 | 2 | Transfer | Pepperdine | 21 | +0.3 | +0.1 |
| 2538 | Teddy Washington Jr. | G | 6-2 | 3 | Returning | Chattanooga | 23 | -0.7 | -0.4 |
| 3459 | Ryan Lopez | G | 5-8 | 3 | Returning | Chattanooga | 10 | -1.7 | -0.4 |
| 3873 | Zach Bleshoy | F | 6-4 | 0 | Other newcomer | 11 | -2.0 | -0.6 | |
| 3906 | Liam Vitters | F | 6-5 | 2 | Other newcomer | 11 | -2.1 | -0.6 | |
| 3975 | Houston Holland | G | 6-3 | 2 | Returning | Chattanooga | 14 | -1.9 | -0.6 |
| 4298 | Sean Cusano | G | 6-9 | 3 | Returning | Chattanooga | 14 | -2.3 | -0.8 |
| 4500 | Latif Diouf | F | 6-9 | 2 | Returning | Chattanooga | 14 | -2.6 | -0.9 |
| 4752 | Josh Bowman | F | 6-9 | 1 | Returning | Chattanooga | 14 | -3.0 | -1.0 |
| 4890 | Parker Robison | G | 6-0 | 2 | Returning | Chattanooga | 13 | -3.5 | -1.1 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | at |  Louisville #7 | -23.3 | 3% | |
| Thu Nov 05 | at |  Penn State #89 | -13.1 | 14% | |
| Fri Nov 13 | at |  Elon #198 | -5.7 | 32% | |
| Wed Nov 18 | at |  Winthrop #177 | -7.0 | 28% | |
| Sat Nov 21 | vs |  Radford #241 | +5.6 | 67% | |
| Tue Nov 24 | vs |  Delaware State #363 | +14.1 | 88% | |
| Sat Nov 28 | vs |  Troy #155 | +2.5 | 58% | |
| Tue Dec 01 | vs |  Alabama A&M #343 | +9.5 | 78% | |
| Wed Dec 16 | vs |  South Carolina State #360 | +12.8 | 85% | |
| Sat Dec 19 | vs |  Mercer #231 | conf | +2.1 | 57% |
| Tue Dec 22 | vs |  Samford #190 | conf | +0.6 | 52% |
| Wed Dec 30 | at |  Western Carolina #152 | conf | -4.9 | 35% |
| Sat Jan 02 | at |  The Citadel #345 | conf | +3.4 | 61% |
| Thu Jan 07 | vs |  UNC Greensboro #246 | conf | +2.4 | 58% |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs |  VMI #350 | conf | +8.0 | 74% |
| Sat Jan 16 | at |  Wofford #306 | conf | +1.3 | 54% |
| Mon Jan 18 | vs |  Tennessee Tech #280 | conf | +3.7 | 62% |
| Thu Jan 21 | at |  East Tennessee State #171 | conf | -4.3 | 36% |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs | Western Carolina #152 | conf | -0.6 | 48% |
| Thu Jan 28 | at | VMI #350 | conf | +3.5 | 61% |
| Sat Jan 30 | at | UNC Greensboro #246 | conf | -1.8 | 44% |
| Wed Feb 03 | vs | East Tennessee State #171 | conf | +0.1 | 50% |
| Sat Feb 06 | vs | Wofford #306 | conf | +4.7 | 65% |
| Wed Feb 10 | at |  Furman #110 | conf | -6.7 | 29% |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | The Citadel #345 | conf | +7.2 | 72% |
| Thu Feb 18 | at | Samford #190 | conf | -3.9 | 38% |
| Sat Feb 20 | at | Mercer #231 | conf | -2.3 | 43% |
| Wed Feb 24 | vs | Furman #110 | conf | -2.7 | 41% |
| Sat Feb 27 | at | Tennessee Tech #280 | conf | -0.1 | 50% |
Projected margin is from Chattanooga's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.