Roster Math

Teams › Big East · Compare DePaul with another team

DePaul

DePaul returns 41% of last season's minutes and rates #134 on offense and #54 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -1.2 to +13.3.

+6.0
Rating · #97 of 365
+1.2
Offense · #134
+4.9
Defense · #54
-1.2 to +13.3
80% range
2%
Chance of top 25
0%
Chance of No. 1
15-17
Projected record · 10 to 20 wins
7-13
Projected in Big East · 3 to 11 wins

Why we have them here

DePaul's preseason projection of +6.0 (No. 97 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +6.4, more than the +3.1 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 135 at the end of 2025-26) adds +0.2, less than its neighbours' +1.1; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -0.9. It returns 41% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (47%). The projection leans most on Koree Cotton (+2.7), Kahmare Holmes (+2.4) and Brandon Maclin (+2.1); the newcomer who matters most is Koree Cotton, a transfer from UT Rio Grande Valley, at +2.7. Its 80% range, -1.2 to +13.3, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.

Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.

Roster

Returning 37% · Transfer 57% · Freshman 2% · Other newcomer 3%

Koree Cotton+2.7
Kahmare Holmes+2.4
Brandon Maclin+2.1
Ade Popoola+1.5
Layden Blocker+1.3
Wilson Jacques+1.2
Noah Meeusen+1.0
Magoon Gwath+0.7
Fabián Flores+0.4
Noah Smith-0.1
Nate Kasher-0.1
Jonas Johnson-0.1
Amsal Delalić-0.1
Kruz McClure-0.2
Théo Pierre-Justin-0.2
RankPlayerPosHtD1 yrsGroupFromMPGRatingContrib.
241Koree CottonG6-63TransferUT Rio Grande Valley21+5.3+2.7
364Kahmare HolmesG6-32TransferWofford24+4.1+2.4
414Brandon MaclinG6-32ReturningDePaul20+4.0+2.1
625Ade PopoolaG6-51TransferTulsa20+2.9+1.5
717Layden BlockerG6-23ReturningDePaul21+2.4+1.3
735Wilson JacquesC7-01TransferFresno State19+2.5+1.2
844Noah MeeusenG6-51TransferArizona State18+2.1+1.0
891Magoon GwathF7-02TransferSan Diego State13+2.3+0.7
1059Fabián FloresC7-21ReturningDePaul8+1.9+0.4
2016Noah SmithF6-80FreshmanHigh school4-0.8-0.1
2168Kruz McClureG6-61ReturningDePaul12-0.6-0.2
2233Nate KasherG6-11ReturningDePaul3-1.3-0.1
2398Théo Pierre-JustinF6-102ReturningDePaul10-0.9-0.2
2414Jonas JohnsonF6-70Other newcomer3-1.6-0.1
2471Amsal DelalićF6-82Other newcomer4-1.6-0.1

A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.

Schedule

DateOpponentProj. marginWin prob.
Mon Nov 02vsWest Georgia #295+14.388%
Thu Nov 05vsSouth Florida #83+4.564%
Mon Nov 09vsAlabama A&M #343+15.990%
Fri Nov 13atNorthwestern #79-7.427%
Tue Nov 17vsMaryland Eastern Shore #356+17.793%
Tue Nov 24NPurdue #38-4.934%
Thu Nov 26NPittsburgh #68-2.143%
Tue Dec 01vsNorth Alabama #332+15.390%
Sat Dec 05vsSMU #53+1.655%
Tue Dec 08vsMaine #318+14.688%
Sat Dec 12atSaint Louis #56-9.821%
Sat Dec 19atSt. John's #21conf-11.717%
Tue Dec 22vsCanisius #346+16.491%
Wed Dec 30vsSeton Hall #106conf+3.561%
Sat Jan 02vsProvidence #49conf-1.944%
Wed Jan 06atUConn #4conf-14.412%
Sat Jan 09vsButler #86conf+1.555%
Wed Jan 13atCreighton #41conf-8.325%
Sat Jan 16atMarquette #47conf-8.325%
Tue Jan 19vsSt. John's #21conf-6.131%
Fri Jan 22vsVillanova #24conf-5.233%
Sat Jan 30vsXavier #57conf-0.947%
Wed Feb 03atGeorgetown #84conf-3.339%
Sun Feb 07atSeton Hall #106conf-1.645%
Wed Feb 10vsUConn #4conf-9.123%
Sat Feb 13atProvidence #49conf-7.727%
Tue Feb 16vsGeorgetown #84conf+1.354%
Sat Feb 20atXavier #57conf-6.729%
Tue Feb 23atButler #86conf-3.539%
Sat Feb 27vsCreighton #41conf-2.542%
Wed Mar 03atVillanova #24conf-11.118%
Sat Mar 06vsMarquette #47conf-2.044%

Projected margin is from DePaul's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.