Teams › ACC · Compare Miami with another team
Miami
Miami returns 32% of last season's minutes and rates #11 on offense and #23 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: +11.6 to +26.0.
Why we have them here
Miami's preseason projection of +18.8 (No. 18 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +12.9, more than the +10.5 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 31 at the end of 2025-26) adds +2.9, about its neighbours' +3.5; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +0.4. A stretch at the top of the scale adds +0.7, because a straight-line calibration shrinks elite teams. It returns 32% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (34%). The projection leans most on Malik Reneau (+5.2), DeSean Goode (+5.1) and Acaden Lewis (+2.9); the newcomer who matters most is DeSean Goode, a transfer from Robert Morris, at +5.1. Its 80% range, +11.6 to +26.0, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 32% · Transfer 60% · Freshman 7% · Other newcomer 1%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Malik Reneau | F | 6-9 | 4 | Returning | Miami | 22 | +9.3 | +5.2 |
| 46 | DeSean Goode | F | 6-8 | 2 | Transfer | Robert Morris | 25 | +8.3 | +5.1 |
| 140 | Somtochukwu Cyril | C | 6-11 | 2 | Transfer | Georgia | 15 | +7.9 | +2.9 |
| 200 | Acaden Lewis | G | 6-2 | 1 | Transfer | Villanova | 20 | +5.8 | +2.9 |
| 232 | Shelton Henderson | F | 6-6 | 1 | Returning | Miami | 21 | +5.3 | +2.8 |
| 401 | L.J. Cason | G | 6-2 | 2 | Transfer | Michigan | 12 | +5.4 | +1.6 |
| 404 | Brent Bland | G | 6-3 | 4 | Transfer | Saint Peter's | 21 | +4.0 | +2.1 |
| 779 | Robert Miller III | F | 6-10 | 2 | Transfer | LSU | 11 | +3.1 | +0.8 |
| 879 | Caleb Gaskins | F | 6-8 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 12 | +2.4 | +0.7 |
| 881 | Dante Allen | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | Miami | 13 | +2.3 | +0.7 |
| 1114 | Marcus Allen | G | 6-7 | 2 | Returning | Miami | 8 | +1.7 | +0.3 |
| 1255 | Nick Dorn | G | 6-7 | 3 | Transfer | Indiana | 12 | +0.9 | +0.3 |
| 1727 | Egor Ryzhov | C | 6-11 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 1 | -0.3 | +0.0 |
| 1846 | Christopher Birden Jr. | F | 6-10 | 0 | Other newcomer | 1 | -0.8 | +0.0 | |
| 4259 | Quin Berger | G | 6-2 | 4 | Transfer | Bucknell | 6 | -3.4 | -0.5 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | N |  Florida #1 | -8.6 | 24% | |
| Fri Nov 06 | vs |  Wagner #291 | +23.4 | 97% | |
| Mon Nov 09 | vs |  North Florida #321 | +26.0 | 98% | |
| Fri Nov 13 | vs |  North Alabama #332 | +24.7 | 98% | |
| Tue Nov 17 | vs |  Rider #351 | +26.9 | 99% | |
| Fri Nov 20 | vs |  Manhattan #309 | +24.5 | 98% | |
| Tue Nov 24 | N |  TCU #51 | +4.8 | 65% | |
| Wed Dec 02 | vs |  Alabama #17 | +6.3 | 69% | |
| Sat Dec 05 | vs |  Stetson #311 | +24.2 | 98% | |
| Sat Dec 12 | N |  Texas #20 | +0.2 | 51% | |
| Wed Dec 16 | vs |  Alcorn State #358 | +28.7 | >99% | |
| Mon Dec 21 | vs |  South Carolina Upstate #268 | +22.9 | 97% | |
| Tue Dec 29 | vs |  NC State #36 | conf | +6.7 | 71% |
| Sat Jan 02 | at |  Pittsburgh #68 | conf | +3.4 | 61% |
| Tue Jan 05 | at |  Georgia Tech #140 | conf | +10.0 | 79% |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs |  Syracuse #71 | conf | +10.1 | 79% |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs |  Virginia #19 | conf | +3.2 | 60% |
| Tue Jan 19 | at |  Louisville #7 | conf | -5.2 | 34% |
| Sat Jan 23 | at |  Virginia Tech #45 | conf | +0.7 | 52% |
| Wed Jan 27 | vs |  Clemson #46 | conf | +7.1 | 72% |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs |  Wake Forest #76 | conf | +10.6 | 80% |
| Mon Feb 01 | at |  Duke #2 | conf | -8.6 | 24% |
| Sat Feb 06 | vs |  Florida State #90 | conf | +11.8 | 83% |
| Wed Feb 10 | at |  Stanford #69 | conf | +3.2 | 60% |
| Sat Feb 13 | at |  California #115 | conf | +8.1 | 74% |
| Sat Feb 20 | vs |  Notre Dame #75 | conf | +10.1 | 79% |
| Mon Feb 22 | at |  North Carolina #54 | conf | +1.3 | 54% |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs | Pittsburgh #68 | conf | +9.2 | 78% |
| Tue Mar 02 | vs |  SMU #53 | conf | +8.1 | 74% |
| Sat Mar 06 | at | Florida State #90 | conf | +5.5 | 67% |
Projected margin is from Miami's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.