Teams › SWAC · Compare Texas Southern with another team
Texas Southern
Texas Southern returns 74% of last season's minutes and rates #317 on offense and #320 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -16.1 to -1.6.
Why we have them here
Texas Southern's preseason projection of -8.8 (No. 331 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -5.5, about the -5.5 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 318 at the end of 2025-26) adds -2.0, about its neighbours' -2.1; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -1.7. It returns 74% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (74%). The projection leans most on Xander Wedlow (+0.2), Jason Kimbrough Jr. (+0.0) and Jaylen Wysinger (-0.2); the newcomer who matters most is Xander Wedlow, a transfer from St. Bonaventure, at +0.2. Its 80% range, -16.1 to -1.6, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 74% · Transfer 10%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1324 | Xander Wedlow | C | 6-10 | 2 | Transfer | St. Bonaventure | 9 | +0.8 | +0.2 |
| 1565 | Jason Kimbrough Jr. | G | 6-0 | 1 | Transfer | Bowling Green | 11 | +0.2 | +0.0 |
| 2000 | Jaylen Wysinger | G | 6-0 | 3 | Returning | Texas Southern | 23 | -0.3 | -0.2 |
| 2486 | Bryce Roberts | G | 6-1 | 2 | Returning | Texas Southern | 24 | -0.6 | -0.4 |
| 4353 | Cameron Patterson | G | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | Texas Southern | 15 | -2.3 | -0.8 |
| 4538 | Ahmed Nedal Abdelrahman | G | 6-8 | 1 | Returning | Texas Southern | 13 | -2.7 | -0.9 |
| 4620 | Jordan Gorecki | C | 6-10 | 1 | Returning | Texas Southern | 17 | -2.5 | -1.0 |
| 4736 | Jordan Hamilton | G | 6-6 | 2 | Returning | Texas Southern | 9 | -3.7 | -0.8 |
| 4988 | Zaire Hayes | G | 6-2 | 3 | Returning | Texas Southern | 23 | -2.9 | -1.6 |
| 5062 | Josh Akpovwa | F | 6-9 | 3 | Returning | Texas Southern | 10 | -4.8 | -1.2 |
| 5111 | Anthony Andrews | F | 6-7 | 1 | Returning | Texas Southern | 15 | -4.3 | -1.6 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | at |  Grand Canyon #59 | -19.8 | 6% | |
| Fri Nov 06 | at |  LSU #39 | -21.9 | 4% | |
| Fri Nov 13 | at |  Murray State #117 | -14.5 | 12% | |
| Sun Nov 15 | at |  Tulsa #82 | -18.0 | 7% | |
| Mon Nov 16 | at |  UC San Diego #77 | -17.0 | 8% | |
| Wed Nov 18 | at |  San Diego State #81 | -18.7 | 7% | |
| Sat Nov 21 | vs |  New Orleans #303 | +4.8 | 65% | |
| Sun Nov 29 | vs |  Tarleton State #257 | +2.9 | 59% | |
| Wed Dec 02 | at |  Xavier #57 | -21.2 | 4% | |
| Sat Dec 12 | at |  Georgia State #260 | -9.1 | 23% | |
| Wed Dec 16 | at |  Minnesota #65 | -18.8 | 6% | |
| Sat Dec 19 | at |  Texas State #183 | -11.8 | 17% | |
| Tue Dec 22 | at |  Rice #262 | -8.2 | 25% | |
| Sat Jan 02 | vs |  Southern #235 | conf | -1.0 | 47% |
| Mon Jan 04 | vs |  Grambling #302 | conf | +1.4 | 54% |
| Sat Jan 09 | at |  Arkansas-Pine Bluff #349 | conf | -0.3 | 49% |
| Mon Jan 11 | at |  Mississippi Valley State #365 | conf | +9.1 | 77% |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs |  Alcorn State #358 | conf | +6.4 | 70% |
| Mon Jan 18 | vs |  Jackson State #355 | conf | +6.0 | 69% |
| Sat Jan 23 | at |  Alabama A&M #343 | conf | -2.2 | 43% |
| Mon Jan 25 | at |  Alabama State #340 | conf | -1.8 | 44% |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs |  Prairie View A&M #341 | conf | +3.6 | 61% |
| Sat Feb 06 | vs |  Florida A&M #336 | conf | +3.4 | 61% |
| Mon Feb 08 | vs |  Bethune-Cookman #220 | conf | -1.8 | 44% |
| Sat Feb 13 | at | Grambling #302 | conf | -3.1 | 40% |
| Mon Feb 15 | at | Southern #235 | conf | -7.7 | 27% |
| Sat Feb 20 | vs | Mississippi Valley State #365 | conf | +14.9 | 88% |
| Sat Feb 27 | at | Jackson State #355 | conf | -0.2 | 49% |
| Sat Feb 27 | at | Alcorn State #358 | conf | +0.4 | 51% |
| Thu Mar 04 | at | Prairie View A&M #341 | conf | -1.3 | 46% |
Projected margin is from Texas Southern's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.