Teams › SWAC · Compare Alcorn State with another team
Alcorn State
Alcorn State returns 77% of last season's minutes and rates #358 on offense and #337 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -21.1 to -6.4.
Why we have them here
Alcorn State's preseason projection of -13.7 (No. 358 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -7.4, about the -7.3 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 354 at the end of 2025-26) adds -3.3, about its neighbours' -3.0; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -3.4. It returns 77% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (81%). The projection leans most on Tycen McDaniels (-0.1), Rassell Young (-0.3) and Omari Hamilton (-0.8); the newcomer who matters most is Rassell Young, a freshman, recruit No. 346, at -0.3. Its 80% range, -21.1 to -6.4, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 66% · Transfer 8% · Freshman 3% · Other newcomer 11%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1847 | Tycen McDaniels | F | 6-8 | 2 | Returning | Alcorn State | 23 | -0.2 | -0.1 |
| 3388 | Rassell Young | G | 6-2 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 7 | -2.0 | -0.3 |
| 3893 | Omari Hamilton | F | 6-6 | 2 | Returning | Alcorn State | 21 | -1.5 | -0.8 |
| 4552 | Ray Glasgow | F | 6-3 | 2 | Other newcomer | 12 | -2.9 | -0.8 | |
| 4563 | Alex Hawkins | F | 6-4 | 0 | Other newcomer | 11 | -2.9 | -0.8 | |
| 4873 | Bryson Calamese | G | 6-2 | 1 | Returning | Alcorn State | 12 | -3.5 | -1.1 |
| 4875 | Mike Jones | G | 6-7 | 1 | Returning | Alcorn State | 13 | -3.4 | -1.1 |
| 4882 | Davian Williams | G | 5-10 | 2 | Returning | Alcorn State | 23 | -2.6 | -1.5 |
| 4937 | Jeremy Ellis | F | 6-6 | 1 | Returning | Alcorn State | 8 | -4.6 | -0.9 |
| 4999 | Trey Thomas | G | 6-2 | 4 | Transfer | Southern Indiana | 15 | -3.6 | -1.4 |
| 5115 | William Henderson | F | 6-10 | 2 | Returning | Alcorn State | 9 | -5.5 | -1.3 |
| 5202 | Nick Woodard | F | 6-6 | 2 | Returning | Alcorn State | 22 | -4.4 | -2.5 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | at |  Ole Miss #61 | -21.8 | 4% | |
| Thu Nov 05 | vs |  Howard #196 | -2.4 | 42% | |
| Tue Nov 10 | at |  Murray State #117 | -17.7 | 8% | |
| Fri Nov 13 | at |  Tarleton State #257 | -12.9 | 15% | |
| Mon Nov 16 | at |  Maryland #64 | -22.5 | 3% | |
| Wed Nov 18 | at |  Missouri #43 | -24.3 | 2% | |
| Tue Nov 24 | at |  Louisiana Tech #269 | -11.0 | 19% | |
| Wed Nov 25 | at |  Texas State #183 | -14.9 | 11% | |
| Sat Nov 28 | at |  Georgia Tech #140 | -16.5 | 9% | |
| Tue Dec 01 | at |  Iowa State #9 | -31.4 | <1% | |
| Sun Dec 13 | at |  Florida Gulf Coast #299 | -9.8 | 21% | |
| Wed Dec 16 | at |  Miami #18 | -28.7 | <1% | |
| Sun Dec 20 | at |  Minnesota #65 | -21.5 | 4% | |
| Tue Dec 29 | at |  Vanderbilt #26 | -27.4 | 1% | |
| Sat Jan 02 | vs |  Jackson State #355 | conf | +2.6 | 58% |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs |  Alabama A&M #343 | conf | +0.5 | 51% |
| Mon Jan 11 | vs |  Alabama State #340 | conf | +0.1 | 50% |
| Sat Jan 16 | at |  Texas Southern #331 | conf | -6.4 | 30% |
| Mon Jan 18 | at |  Prairie View A&M #341 | conf | -4.8 | 35% |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs |  Florida A&M #336 | conf | +0.1 | 50% |
| Mon Jan 25 | vs |  Bethune-Cookman #220 | conf | -5.0 | 34% |
| Sat Jan 30 | at |  Southern #235 | conf | -11.0 | 19% |
| Mon Feb 01 | at |  Grambling #302 | conf | -6.4 | 30% |
| Sat Feb 06 | vs |  Arkansas-Pine Bluff #349 | conf | +1.7 | 55% |
| Mon Feb 08 | vs |  Mississippi Valley State #365 | conf | +11.3 | 82% |
| Sat Feb 13 | at | Bethune-Cookman #220 | conf | -11.1 | 19% |
| Mon Feb 15 | at | Florida A&M #336 | conf | -5.6 | 32% |
| Sat Feb 20 | at | Jackson State #355 | conf | -3.6 | 39% |
| Thu Feb 25 | vs | Prairie View A&M #341 | conf | +0.2 | 51% |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs | Texas Southern #331 | conf | -0.4 | 49% |
| Tue Mar 02 | at | Mississippi Valley State #365 | conf | +5.5 | 67% |
| Thu Mar 04 | at | Arkansas-Pine Bluff #349 | conf | -3.7 | 38% |
Projected margin is from Alcorn State's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.