Teams › Big South · Compare Radford with another team
Radford
Radford returns 60% of last season's minutes and rates #257 on offense and #222 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -10.9 to +3.8.
Why we have them here
Radford's preseason projection of -3.6 (No. 241 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -2.1, about the -2.6 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 258 at the end of 2025-26) adds -0.8, about its neighbours' -0.7; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -1.0. It returns 60% of last season's minutes, less than teams ranked near it (69%). The projection leans most on Ja'Corey Robinson (+0.7), Mari Jordan (+0.5) and Mathieu Grujicic (+0.0); the newcomer who matters most is Ja'Corey Robinson, a transfer from Austin Peay, at +0.7. Its 80% range, -10.9 to +3.8, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 49% · Transfer 29% · Other newcomer 11%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1023 | Ja'Corey Robinson | G | 6-6 | 1 | Transfer | Austin Peay | 21 | +1.3 | +0.7 |
| 1120 | Mari Jordan | G | 6-5 | 2 | Returning | Radford | 20 | +1.0 | +0.5 |
| 1763 | Mathieu Grujicic | G | 6-6 | 1 | Transfer | Ohio State | 11 | -0.2 | +0.0 |
| 1906 | Tyson Brown | F | 6-9 | 3 | Returning | Radford | 26 | -0.2 | -0.1 |
| 1927 | Jordyn Kee | G | 6-3 | 1 | Transfer | Miami | 10 | -0.4 | -0.1 |
| 2207 | Frederik Erichsen | F | 6-9 | 1 | Returning | Radford | 19 | -0.5 | -0.2 |
| 3445 | Gabriel Ferreira | C | 6-10 | 1 | Returning | Radford | 12 | -1.5 | -0.5 |
| 3628 | Zion Walker | F | 6-2 | 2 | Other newcomer | 11 | -1.8 | -0.5 | |
| 3687 | Diogo Alves | F | 6-2 | 0 | Other newcomer | 11 | -1.8 | -0.5 | |
| 3822 | Warren Keel Jr. | G | 6-0 | 1 | Returning | Radford | 11 | -1.9 | -0.5 |
| 4180 | Tristan Gross | G | 6-6 | 3 | Transfer | Mercer | 16 | -1.9 | -0.8 |
| 4754 | Bradley Land | G | 6-6 | 3 | Returning | Radford | 8 | -3.9 | -0.8 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | at |  San Francisco #189 | -7.3 | 28% | |
| Wed Nov 04 | at |  California #115 | -11.0 | 19% | |
| Mon Nov 09 | at |  Tennessee #13 | -24.2 | 3% | |
| Wed Nov 18 | vs |  Furman #110 | +0.2 | 51% | |
| Sat Nov 21 | at |  Chattanooga #226 | -5.6 | 33% | |
| Fri Nov 27 | at |  American University #188 | -7.7 | 27% | |
| Sat Nov 28 | N |  Hampton #288 | +1.7 | 56% | |
| Sun Nov 29 | N |  UMass Lowell #287 | +1.7 | 55% | |
| Sat Dec 05 | at |  East Carolina #182 | -7.6 | 27% | |
| Sun Dec 13 | at |  Virginia Tech #45 | -18.9 | 7% | |
| Sat Dec 19 | at |  UNC Wilmington #101 | -11.3 | 18% | |
| Tue Dec 22 | vs |  Elon #198 | +4.2 | 63% | |
| Tue Dec 29 | at |  Maryland #64 | -16.2 | 10% | |
| Fri Jan 01 | vs |  Presbyterian #243 | conf | +2.3 | 57% |
| Sun Jan 03 | vs |  Charleston Southern #276 | conf | +3.7 | 62% |
| Wed Jan 06 | at |  South Carolina Upstate #268 | conf | -1.2 | 46% |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs |  High Point #40 | conf | -10.2 | 21% |
| Wed Jan 13 | at |  Winthrop #177 | conf | -4.7 | 35% |
| Sat Jan 16 | at |  Longwood #195 | conf | -3.8 | 38% |
| Wed Jan 20 | vs |  UNC Asheville #245 | conf | +2.4 | 58% |
| Thu Jan 28 | at |  Gardner-Webb #361 | conf | +6.5 | 70% |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs | Winthrop #177 | conf | +0.2 | 51% |
| Wed Feb 03 | at | UNC Asheville #245 | conf | -2.6 | 42% |
| Sat Feb 06 | vs | South Carolina Upstate #268 | conf | +3.4 | 61% |
| Thu Feb 11 | at | Presbyterian #243 | conf | -2.3 | 43% |
| Sat Feb 13 | at | Charleston Southern #276 | conf | -1.1 | 47% |
| Thu Feb 18 | vs | Gardner-Webb #361 | conf | +10.5 | 80% |
| Sat Feb 20 | vs | Longwood #195 | conf | +0.9 | 53% |
| Sat Feb 27 | at | High Point #40 | conf | -16.3 | 10% |
Projected margin is from Radford's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.