Teams › Big West · Compare California Baptist with another team
California Baptist
California Baptist returns 75% of last season's minutes and rates #155 on offense and #191 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -6.5 to +8.1.
Why we have them here
California Baptist's preseason projection of +0.7 (No. 157 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +1.1, about the +0.7 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 84 at the end of 2025-26) adds +0.8, about its neighbours' +0.2; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -1.6. It returns 75% of last season's minutes, more than teams ranked near it (61%). The projection leans most on Dominique Daniels Jr. (+4.4), Thomas Ndong (+0.8) and Devon Malcolm (+0.8); the newcomer who matters most is Ethan Duncan, a transfer from Lipscomb, at +0.4. Its 80% range, -6.5 to +8.1, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 63% · Transfer 15% · Freshman 6% · Other newcomer 12%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 121 | Dominique Daniels Jr. | G | 5-10 | 3 | Returning | California Baptist | 31 | +5.6 | +4.4 |
| 956 | Devon Malcolm | F | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | California Baptist | 17 | +1.7 | +0.8 |
| 984 | Thomas Ndong | F | 6-10 | 3 | Returning | California Baptist | 21 | +1.5 | +0.8 |
| 1239 | Ethan Duncan | G | 6-0 | 1 | Transfer | Lipscomb | 22 | +0.7 | +0.4 |
| 1491 | Rene D'Amelio | F | 6-9 | 1 | Returning | California Baptist | 14 | +0.3 | +0.1 |
| 1704 | Jalen Dollar | G | 5-10 | 2 | Returning | California Baptist | 10 | -0.1 | +0.0 |
| 2508 | Chase Mayo Harmon | F | 6-4 | 0 | Other newcomer | 8 | -1.2 | -0.2 | |
| 2583 | Mouhamadou Dioum | F | 6-5 | 2 | Other newcomer | 8 | -1.2 | -0.2 | |
| 2753 | OJ Blankson | F | 6-7 | 0 | Other newcomer | 8 | -1.3 | -0.3 | |
| 3120 | Steven Reynolds | G | 6-5 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 11 | -1.4 | -0.4 |
| 3188 | Miles Daniels | G | 6-2 | 1 | Returning | California Baptist | 14 | -1.3 | -0.4 |
| 4849 | Nick Richart | F | 6-10 | 2 | Transfer | Charlotte | 9 | -4.1 | -0.9 |
| 4893 | Jordan Muller | G | 6-0 | 1 | Returning | California Baptist | 19 | -2.9 | -1.4 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue Nov 03 | vs |  North Florida #321 | +12.0 | 83% | |
| Fri Nov 06 | at |  Oregon State #93 | -10.5 | 20% | |
| Wed Nov 11 | vs |  Chicago State #337 | +12.0 | 84% | |
| Fri Nov 13 | vs |  Arkansas-Pine Bluff #349 | +14.3 | 87% | |
| Tue Nov 17 | vs |  Seattle U #111 | +3.3 | 60% | |
| Sat Nov 21 | N |  Loyola Marymount #170 | +0.6 | 52% | |
| Sun Nov 22 | N |  Portland #339 | +7.1 | 72% | |
| Thu Dec 03 | at |  UC San Diego #77 | conf | -6.9 | 29% |
| Sat Dec 05 | at |  UC Riverside #252 | conf | +0.5 | 52% |
| Wed Dec 09 | at |  Utah #72 | -12.8 | 15% | |
| Mon Dec 14 | at |  UC Davis #255 | -1.4 | 46% | |
| Mon Dec 21 | at |  Purdue #38 | -14.5 | 12% | |
| Thu Dec 31 | vs |  UC Santa Barbara #103 | conf | -0.3 | 49% |
| Sat Jan 02 | vs |  Cal Poly #223 | conf | +4.9 | 65% |
| Thu Jan 07 | at |  Cal State Northridge #227 | conf | +0.1 | 50% |
| Sat Jan 09 | at |  Cal State Bakersfield #328 | conf | +2.8 | 59% |
| Thu Jan 14 | vs |  UC Irvine #105 | conf | -0.2 | 49% |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs | UC San Diego #77 | conf | -2.7 | 41% |
| Thu Jan 21 | at |  Utah Valley #112 | conf | -5.5 | 33% |
| Sat Jan 23 | at |  Sacramento State #199 | conf | -0.8 | 47% |
| Thu Jan 28 | vs |  Long Beach State #278 | conf | +6.5 | 70% |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs |  Cal State Fullerton #236 | conf | +5.5 | 67% |
| Thu Feb 04 | vs | Sacramento State #199 | conf | +4.1 | 63% |
| Sat Feb 06 | vs | Utah Valley #112 | conf | +0.3 | 51% |
| Thu Feb 11 | at | Cal Poly #223 | conf | +0.1 | 50% |
| Sat Feb 13 | at | UC Santa Barbara #103 | conf | -4.8 | 35% |
| Thu Feb 18 | at | UC Irvine #105 | conf | -4.8 | 35% |
| Sat Feb 20 | vs | UC Riverside #252 | conf | +5.4 | 67% |
| Thu Feb 25 | vs | Cal State Bakersfield #328 | conf | +8.9 | 76% |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs | Cal State Northridge #227 | conf | +5.0 | 65% |
| Thu Mar 04 | at | Cal State Fullerton #236 | conf | +0.9 | 53% |
| Sat Mar 06 | at | Long Beach State #278 | conf | +2.4 | 58% |
Projected margin is from California Baptist's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.