Roster Math

Teams › Am. East · Compare Bryant with another team

Bryant

Bryant returns 75% of last season's minutes and rates #330 on offense and #284 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -15.9 to -1.3.

-8.6
Rating · #327 of 365
-5.8
Offense · #330
-2.8
Defense · #284
-15.9 to -1.3
80% range
0%
Chance of top 25
0%
Chance of No. 1
12-18
Projected record · 7 to 17 wins
8-8
Projected in Am. East · 4 to 11 wins

Why we have them here

Bryant's preseason projection of -8.6 (No. 327 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -6.3, less than the -5.5 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 345 at the end of 2025-26) adds -2.8, about its neighbours' -2.1; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +0.1. It returns 75% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (74%). The projection leans most on Andre Pasha (+0.9), Onyx Nnani (+0.0) and Aaron Davis III (-0.3); the newcomer who matters most is Andre Pasha, a transfer from New Haven, at +0.9. Its 80% range, -15.9 to -1.3, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.

Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.

Roster

Returning 69% · Transfer 25% · Other newcomer 6%

Andre Pasha+0.9
Onyx Nnani+0.0
Aaron Davis III-0.3
Jason Sepe-0.5
Frankie Vassalluzzo-0.6
Michael DeOrsey-0.6
Jaheim Nyam-0.6
Langston Bailey-0.6
Reed Woerner-0.8
Joe Green-0.9
Eric Chatfield Jr.-0.9
Lennart Weber-1.0
Daniel Akoue-1.1
Ethane Bourgade-1.2
Ty Tabales-1.3
Gio Sanford-1.4
Khalil Williams-1.6
RankPlayerPosHtD1 yrsGroupFromMPGRatingContrib.
971Andre PashaF6-91TransferNew Haven27+1.4+0.9
1739Onyx NnaniF6-91TransferSouth Florida9-0.1+0.0
2222Aaron Davis IIIF6-73ReturningBryant22-0.5-0.3
4396Reed WoernerF6-30Other newcomer11-2.7-0.8
4407Jason SepeF6-31ReturningBryant6-3.7-0.5
4424Frankie VassalluzzoG6-02ReturningBryant6-3.7-0.6
4485Langston BaileyG5-91ReturningBryant6-3.7-0.6
4517Eric Chatfield Jr.G5-111TransferGeorgia Tech14-2.5-0.9
4530Michael DeOrseyG5-111ReturningBryant6-4.1-0.6
4601Jaheim NyamG6-31ReturningBryant5-4.4-0.6
4699Ty TabalesG6-21ReturningBryant23-2.2-1.3
4847Lennart WeberF6-81ReturningBryant11-3.6-1.0
4898Daniel AkoueF6-101ReturningBryant12-3.6-1.1
4943Joe GreenG6-31ReturningBryant7-4.9-0.9
5052Ethane BourgadeF6-91ReturningBryant11-4.5-1.2
5103Gio SanfordF6-41ReturningBryant12-4.6-1.4
5172Khalil WilliamsF6-51ReturningBryant11-5.7-1.6

A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.

Schedule

DateOpponentProj. marginWin prob.
Mon Nov 02vsSiena #208+1.555%
Thu Nov 05atQuinnipiac #200-9.821%
Sun Nov 08vsFairfield #248+2.859%
Tue Nov 10atProvidence #49-21.24%
Fri Nov 13atRutgers #102-14.811%
Tue Nov 17atMassachusetts #178-11.418%
Tue Nov 24atMarist #205-9.721%
Sun Nov 29vsIona #282+4.263%
Fri Dec 04vsBrown #184+0.853%
Tue Dec 08atKentucky #22-25.02%
Thu Dec 10atFordham #125-11.916%
Sun Dec 20vsDelaware #325+5.768%
Tue Dec 22atGeorge Mason #107-14.012%
Tue Dec 29vsHarvard #123-1.545%
Sat Jan 02vsMaine #318conf+2.759%
Thu Jan 07atUAlbany #293conf-3.639%
Sat Jan 09atUMass Lowell #287conf-4.835%
Thu Jan 14vsUMBC #180conf-2.243%
Mon Jan 18atVermont #202conf-6.829%
Thu Jan 21vsNJIT #347conf+4.865%
Thu Jan 28atNew Hampshire #335conf-1.944%
Sat Jan 30vsBinghamton #330conf+3.160%
Thu Feb 04atUMBC #180conf-6.330%
Sat Feb 06vsVermont #202conf-1.545%
Thu Feb 11vsUAlbany #293conf+1.555%
Wed Feb 17atMaine #318conf-2.243%
Sat Feb 20atBinghamton #330conf-2.143%
Thu Feb 25vsUMass Lowell #287conf+1.254%
Sat Feb 27atNJIT #347conf-0.150%
Tue Mar 02vsNew Hampshire #335conf+3.661%

Projected margin is from Bryant's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.