Roster Math

Teams › Big East · Compare Georgetown with another team

Georgetown

Georgetown returns 32% of last season's minutes and rates #92 on offense and #78 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: +0.4 to +15.0.

+7.7
Rating · #84 of 365
+3.9
Offense · #92
+3.9
Defense · #78
+0.4 to +15.0
80% range
3%
Chance of top 25
0%
Chance of No. 1
16-15
Projected record · 11 to 21 wins
8-12
Projected in Big East · 4 to 12 wins

Why we have them here

Georgetown's preseason projection of +7.7 (No. 84 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +6.4, more than the +4.2 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 98 at the end of 2025-26) adds +0.9, about its neighbours' +1.3; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +0.0. It returns 32% of last season's minutes, less than teams ranked near it (41%). The projection leans most on NJ Benson (+3.8), Vyctorius Miller (+2.2) and Chol Machot (+1.5); the newcomer who matters most is NJ Benson, a transfer from DePaul, at +3.8. Its 80% range, +0.4 to +15.0, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.

Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.

Roster

Returning 30% · Transfer 61% · Freshman 5% · Other newcomer 5%

NJ Benson+3.8
Vyctorius Miller+2.2
Chol Machot+1.5
Jaland Lowe+1.4
Elmarko Jackson+1.4
Caleb Williams+1.3
Josiah Parker+1.1
Kayvaun Mulready+0.9
Michael Van Raaphorst-0.1
Mason Moses-0.1
Hashem Asadallah-0.2
Austin Montgomery-0.2
Gabriel Landeira-0.2
Seal Diouf-0.2
Justin Caldwell-0.3
RankPlayerPosHtD1 yrsGroupFromMPGRatingContrib.
141NJ BensonF6-84TransferDePaul25+6.0+3.8
437Vyctorius MillerG6-52TransferOklahoma State24+3.6+2.2
535Jaland LoweG6-13TransferKentucky15+3.7+1.4
576Chol MachotC7-01TransferCharleston19+3.2+1.5
593Elmarko JacksonG6-33TransferKansas18+3.2+1.4
772Caleb WilliamsF6-72ReturningGeorgetown27+2.0+1.3
790Josiah ParkerG6-71TransferFlorida Atlantic20+2.2+1.1
837Kayvaun MulreadyG6-42ReturningGeorgetown17+2.2+0.9
2282Michael Van RaaphorstG6-22ReturningGeorgetown4-1.2-0.1
2398Hashem AsadallahG6-22Other newcomer4-1.4-0.2
2443Mason MosesG6-61ReturningGeorgetown4-1.5-0.1
2609Austin MontgomeryF6-63ReturningGeorgetown4-1.7-0.2
2677Gabriel LandeiraG6-60Other newcomer5-1.6-0.2
2687Justin CaldwellF6-90FreshmanHigh school9-1.2-0.3
3082Seal DioufC6-91ReturningGeorgetown4-2.2-0.2

A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.

Schedule

DateOpponentProj. marginWin prob.
Mon Nov 02vsLoyola Maryland #344+18.093%
Sat Nov 07vsMaryland #64+3.862%
Tue Nov 10vsDelaware State #363+21.596%
Fri Nov 13atClemson #46-9.023%
Wed Nov 18vsNavy #174+10.580%
Sat Nov 21vsCoppin State #364+22.597%
Thu Nov 26NTexas #20-7.328%
Wed Dec 02vsUMass Lowell #287+14.788%
Wed Dec 09vsRider #351+18.393%
Sat Dec 12vsNorth Carolina #54+2.759%
Wed Dec 16vsSacred Heart #272+14.187%
Sat Dec 19vsSeton Hall #106conf+4.464%
Wed Dec 23atUConn #4conf-13.414%
Wed Dec 30vsXavier #57conf+0.050%
Sun Jan 03vsVillanova #24conf-4.436%
Wed Jan 06atSt. John's #21conf-10.619%
Sat Jan 09vsCreighton #41conf-1.645%
Fri Jan 15atSeton Hall #106conf-0.548%
Mon Jan 18atButler #86conf-2.442%
Sat Jan 23vsProvidence #49conf-1.047%
Tue Jan 26vsUConn #4conf-8.325%
Sat Jan 30atCreighton #41conf-7.228%
Wed Feb 03vsDePaul #97conf+3.361%
Sat Feb 06atMarquette #47conf-7.228%
Tue Feb 09atXavier #57conf-5.633%
Sat Feb 13vsButler #86conf+2.458%
Tue Feb 16atDePaul #97conf-1.346%
Sat Feb 20vsSt. John's #21conf-5.234%
Tue Feb 23atProvidence #49conf-6.530%
Tue Mar 02vsMarquette #47conf-1.146%
Sat Mar 06atVillanova #24conf-10.121%

Projected margin is from Georgetown's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.