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Siena
Siena returns 64% of last season's minutes and rates #229 on offense and #201 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -9.2 to +5.4.
Why we have them here
Siena's preseason projection of -2.0 (No. 208 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -1.3, about the -1.1 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 118 at the end of 2025-26) adds +0.6, more than its neighbours' -0.3; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -1.6. It returns 64% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (65%). The projection leans most on Brendan Coyle (+1.6), Antonio Chandler (+1.5) and Justice Shoats (+0.8); the newcomer who matters most is Sei'Mir Roberson, a newcomer from outside Division I, at -0.1. Its 80% range, -9.2 to +5.4, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 61% · Transfer 11% · Other newcomer 28%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 615 | Antonio Chandler | F | 6-6 | 1 | Returning | Siena | 21 | +2.9 | +1.5 |
| 657 | Brendan Coyle | F | 6-7 | 3 | Returning | Siena | 28 | +2.3 | +1.6 |
| 1045 | Justice Shoats | G | 5-11 | 2 | Returning | Siena | 29 | +1.1 | +0.8 |
| 2233 | Sei'Mir Roberson | F | 6-1 | 0 | Other newcomer | 4 | -1.1 | -0.1 | |
| 2251 | Tajae Jones | F | 6-8 | 2 | Returning | Siena | 6 | -0.9 | -0.1 |
| 2294 | Pace Prosser | F | 6-2 | 0 | Other newcomer | 4 | -1.2 | -0.1 | |
| 2376 | Angelos Bratakos | F | 6-4 | 0 | Other newcomer | 5 | -1.3 | -0.1 | |
| 2432 | Trent Egbiremolen | F | 6-5 | 0 | Other newcomer | 5 | -1.4 | -0.2 | |
| 2501 | Mana Martin | F | 6-6 | 0 | Other newcomer | 5 | -1.4 | -0.2 | |
| 2569 | Parrish Edmond Jr. | F | 6-7 | 0 | Other newcomer | 5 | -1.5 | -0.2 | |
| 2651 | Tim Ibukunoluwa | F | 6-8 | 0 | Other newcomer | 5 | -1.6 | -0.2 | |
| 2723 | Paul Lambert | F | 6-9 | 0 | Other newcomer | 5 | -1.6 | -0.2 | |
| 2771 | Cooper Nadler | G | 6-5 | 2 | Returning | Siena | 6 | -1.5 | -0.2 |
| 2803 | Yannis Steger | F | 6-10 | 0 | Other newcomer | 5 | -1.7 | -0.2 | |
| 2852 | Chris Torres | G | 6-2 | 2 | Returning | Siena | 4 | -1.9 | -0.2 |
| 2975 | Reid Ducharme | G | 6-7 | 3 | Other newcomer | 6 | -1.8 | -0.3 | |
| 3041 | Andres Amon | F | 7-1 | 0 | Other newcomer | 6 | -1.9 | -0.3 | |
| 3056 | Danny Murray | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | Siena | 4 | -2.2 | -0.2 |
| 3065 | Mosi Clayton | G | 6-1 | 3 | Returning | Siena | 5 | -2.1 | -0.2 |
| 3909 | Owen Schlager | G | 6-3 | 1 | Returning | Siena | 8 | -2.5 | -0.5 |
| 4336 | Isaiah Henderson | F | 6-6 | 1 | Returning | Siena | 11 | -2.6 | -0.7 |
| 5132 | Tan Yildizoglu | G | 6-4 | 3 | Transfer | VMI | 23 | -3.6 | -2.1 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | at |  Bryant #327 | -1.5 | 45% | |
| Sun Nov 08 | vs |  Princeton #164 | +3.4 | 61% | |
| Tue Nov 10 | at |  Dayton #74 | -13.0 | 14% | |
| Sat Nov 14 | vs |  Brown #184 | +4.2 | 63% | |
| Wed Nov 18 | at |  St. John's #21 | -20.0 | 5% | |
| Sat Nov 21 | at |  Bucknell #313 | -0.6 | 48% | |
| Tue Nov 24 | vs |  Vermont #202 | +4.7 | 65% | |
| Sat Nov 28 | at |  Seton Hall #106 | -9.5 | 22% | |
| Fri Dec 04 | vs |  Merrimack #176 | conf | +1.0 | 53% |
| Sun Dec 06 | at |  Quinnipiac #200 | conf | -2.0 | 43% |
| Wed Dec 09 | vs |  St. Bonaventure #126 | +1.9 | 56% | |
| Sat Dec 12 | at |  UAlbany #293 | -2.1 | 43% | |
| Tue Dec 15 | at |  Monmouth #216 | -5.3 | 33% | |
| Sun Dec 20 | at |  Colgate #197 | -5.6 | 32% | |
| Tue Dec 29 | at |  Fairfield #248 | conf | -0.9 | 47% |
| Fri Jan 01 | vs |  Iona #282 | conf | +4.7 | 65% |
| Fri Jan 08 | vs |  Sacred Heart #272 | conf | +4.1 | 63% |
| Sun Jan 10 | at |  Mount St. Mary's #204 | conf | -1.7 | 44% |
| Wed Jan 13 | vs | Fairfield #248 | conf | +3.2 | 60% |
| Sat Jan 16 | at |  Saint Peter's #289 | conf | +0.5 | 52% |
| Mon Jan 18 | vs |  Manhattan #309 | conf | +5.6 | 68% |
| Fri Jan 22 | at |  Niagara #329 | conf | +2.8 | 59% |
| Fri Jan 29 | vs | Quinnipiac #200 | conf | +1.9 | 56% |
| Sun Jan 31 | at |  Marist #205 | conf | -2.4 | 42% |
| Fri Feb 05 | vs | Mount St. Mary's #204 | conf | +1.9 | 56% |
| Sun Feb 07 | at | Iona #282 | conf | +0.0 | 50% |
| Thu Feb 11 | at | Merrimack #176 | conf | -2.7 | 41% |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs |  Canisius #346 | conf | +7.8 | 74% |
| Fri Feb 19 | vs |  Rider #351 | conf | +8.5 | 76% |
| Sun Feb 21 | at | Sacred Heart #272 | conf | -0.6 | 48% |
| Fri Feb 26 | at | Manhattan #309 | conf | +1.8 | 56% |
| Sun Feb 28 | vs | Marist #205 | conf | +1.9 | 56% |
Projected margin is from Siena's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.