Roster Math

Teams › CAA · Compare Campbell with another team

Campbell

Campbell returns 43% of last season's minutes and rates #268 on offense and #170 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -9.9 to +4.7.

-2.7
Rating · #224 of 365
-2.9
Offense · #268
+0.3
Defense · #170
-9.9 to +4.7
80% range
0%
Chance of top 25
0%
Chance of No. 1
13-19
Projected record · 7 to 19 wins
9-9
Projected in CAA · 5 to 13 wins

Why we have them here

Campbell's preseason projection of -2.7 (No. 224 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -2.9, less than the -1.9 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 174 at the end of 2025-26) adds +0.2, about its neighbours' -0.5; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -0.2. It returns 43% of last season's minutes, less than teams ranked near it (69%). The projection leans most on Lance Waddles (+1.2), Muneer Newton (-0.3) and Enoch Kalambay (-0.5); the newcomer who matters most is Lance Waddles, a transfer from Omaha, at +1.2. Its 80% range, -9.9 to +4.7, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.

Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.

Roster

Returning 31% · Transfer 14% · Other newcomer 12%

Lance Waddles+1.2
Muneer Newton-0.3
Enoch Kalambay-0.5
Klairus Amir-0.5
Daniel Marcellinus-0.6
Israel Yaw-0.6
Dominykas Butka-0.7
RankPlayerPosHtD1 yrsGroupFromMPGRatingContrib.
825Lance WaddlesG6-44TransferOmaha29+1.7+1.2
2369Muneer NewtonF6-53ReturningCampbell23-0.6-0.3
3323Enoch KalambayG6-63ReturningCampbell16-1.3-0.5
3666Klairus AmirF6-70Other newcomer12-1.8-0.5
3848Israel YawF6-93Other newcomer12-1.9-0.6
4015Daniel MarcellinusF6-111ReturningCampbell10-2.3-0.6
4100Dominykas ButkaG6-61ReturningCampbell14-2.0-0.7

A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.

Schedule

DateOpponentProj. marginWin prob.
Mon Nov 02atNC State #36-18.57%
Sun Nov 08atWestern Michigan #151-7.826%
Wed Nov 11atEast Tennessee State #171-7.527%
Sat Nov 14vsSouth Carolina Upstate #268+7.873%
Wed Nov 18atOklahoma #30-19.36%
Fri Nov 20atKansas State #99-12.017%
Tue Nov 24atCoastal Carolina #301-2.243%
Wed Dec 02atLongwood #195-6.430%
Sat Dec 05vsNorfolk State #300+8.976%
Wed Dec 09atDavidson #132-8.824%
Sat Dec 12atGardner-Webb #361+3.862%
Tue Dec 15atDuke #2-26.82%
Fri Dec 18atEast Carolina #182-6.829%
Mon Dec 28atMississippi State #78-13.814%
Thu Dec 31atUNC Wilmington #101conf-7.427%
Sat Jan 02vsTowson #193conf+1.956%
Thu Jan 07vsElon #198conf+2.257%
Sat Jan 09vsNorth Carolina A&T #285conf+5.266%
Thu Jan 14atCharleston #141conf-5.134%
Sat Jan 16atWilliam & Mary #168conf-5.134%
Mon Jan 18vsStony Brook #283conf+5.066%
Sat Jan 23atHampton #288conf-1.047%
Thu Jan 28vsHofstra #124conf-1.047%
Sat Jan 30vsUNC Wilmington #101conf-2.542%
Thu Feb 04atMonmouth #216conf-3.040%
Sat Feb 06atStony Brook #283conf-0.548%
Thu Feb 11vsDrexel #254conf+3.762%
Sat Feb 13vsWilliam & Mary #168conf+1.254%
Thu Feb 18atNortheastern #296conf+1.053%
Thu Feb 25atElon #198conf-2.742%
Sat Feb 27atNorth Carolina A&T #285conf+0.251%
Tue Mar 02vsCharleston #141conf-0.150%

Projected margin is from Campbell's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.