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Kennesaw State
Kennesaw State returns 57% of last season's minutes and rates #168 on offense and #188 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -7.2 to +7.4.
Why we have them here
Kennesaw State's preseason projection of +0.0 (No. 167 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +0.9, more than the -0.1 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 131 at the end of 2025-26) adds +0.6, about its neighbours' +0.5; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -1.7. It returns 57% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (62%). The projection leans most on Avery Thomas II (+3.0), Amir Taylor (+2.3) and Trey Simpson (+0.1); the newcomer who matters most is Avery Thomas II, a transfer from Louisiana Tech, at +3.0. Its 80% range, -7.2 to +7.4, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 46% · Transfer 39% · Freshman 5% · Other newcomer 10%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 250 | Avery Thomas II | F | 6-8 | 1 | Transfer | Louisiana Tech | 26 | +4.6 | +3.0 |
| 347 | Amir Taylor | F | 6-9 | 1 | Returning | Kennesaw State | 20 | +4.6 | +2.3 |
| 1467 | Trey Simpson | F | 6-8 | 1 | Returning | Kennesaw State | 23 | +0.2 | +0.1 |
| 1531 | Davin Cosby Jr. | G | 6-5 | 3 | Returning | Kennesaw State | 5 | +0.3 | +0.0 |
| 1847 | Jaden Harris | G | 6-4 | 3 | Returning | Kennesaw State | 21 | -0.2 | -0.1 |
| 1974 | Keriawn Berry | F | 6-5 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 10 | -0.5 | -0.1 |
| 2311 | Chase Clemmons | F | 6-1 | 2 | Other newcomer | 5 | -1.2 | -0.1 | |
| 2446 | Dozie Onyirimba | F | 6-3 | 2 | Returning | Kennesaw State | 5 | -1.3 | -0.2 |
| 2535 | Brendan Tousignaut | F | 6-5 | 0 | Other newcomer | 5 | -1.4 | -0.2 | |
| 2554 | Kris Parker | G | 6-9 | 2 | Transfer | UCF | 7 | -1.2 | -0.2 |
| 2609 | Jamil Miller | F | 6-6 | 2 | Other newcomer | 5 | -1.5 | -0.2 | |
| 2633 | Jacoby Hill | G | 6-4 | 1 | Transfer | Jacksonville State | 25 | -0.7 | -0.4 |
| 2778 | Nigel Thomas | F | 6-8 | 0 | Other newcomer | 6 | -1.6 | -0.2 | |
| 4469 | Anthony Enoh | F | 6-7 | 3 | Transfer | Georgia State | 18 | -2.2 | -1.0 |
| 4713 | Kaden Rickard | G | 6-6 | 1 | Returning | Kennesaw State | 17 | -2.6 | -1.1 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri Nov 06 | vs | +6.0 | 68% | ||
| Tue Nov 10 | vs | +6.6 | 70% | ||
| Tue Nov 17 | at | -22.2 | 4% | ||
| Fri Nov 20 | vs | +10.1 | 79% | ||
| Tue Nov 24 | N | +2.6 | 58% | ||
| Mon Nov 30 | vs | +13.0 | 85% | ||
| Sat Dec 05 | at | -6.5 | 30% | ||
| Wed Dec 09 | at | -2.8 | 41% | ||
| Sat Dec 19 | at | -12.6 | 16% | ||
| Thu Dec 31 | vs | conf | +2.5 | 58% | |
| Sat Jan 02 | vs | conf | +0.9 | 53% | |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs | conf | +4.0 | 63% | |
| Thu Jan 14 | at | conf | -1.7 | 44% | |
| Sat Jan 16 | at | conf | -3.5 | 39% | |
| Thu Jan 21 | vs | conf | +8.7 | 76% | |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs | conf | +2.0 | 56% | |
| Thu Jan 28 | at | conf | -0.7 | 48% | |
| Sat Jan 30 | at | conf | -3.8 | 38% | |
| Sat Feb 06 | at | conf | -0.5 | 48% | |
| Thu Feb 11 | vs | conf | +1.6 | 55% | |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | conf | +3.5 | 61% | |
| Thu Feb 18 | at | conf | -3.7 | 38% | |
| Sat Feb 20 | at | conf | +5.1 | 66% | |
| Thu Feb 25 | vs | conf | +4.0 | 63% | |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs | conf | +1.9 | 56% | |
| Thu Mar 04 | at | conf | -4.8 | 35% | |
| Sat Mar 06 | at | conf | -2.6 | 42% |
Projected margin is from Kennesaw State's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.