Teams › Horizon · Compare Green Bay with another team
Green Bay
Green Bay returns 87% of last season's minutes and rates #234 on offense and #314 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -13.0 to +1.6.
Why we have them here
Green Bay's preseason projection of -5.6 (No. 281 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -3.1, about the -3.0 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 222 at the end of 2025-26) adds -0.2, more than its neighbours' -1.1; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -2.6. It returns 87% of last season's minutes, more than teams ranked near it (70%). The projection leans most on Marcus Hall (+0.6), C.J. O'Hara (+0.4) and Justin Allen (-0.2); the newcomer who matters most is Trey Schachter, a newcomer from outside Division I, at -0.3. Its 80% range, -13.0 to +1.6, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 83% · Transfer 10% · Other newcomer 6%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1144 | Marcus Hall | F | 6-6 | 3 | Returning | Green Bay | 28 | +0.8 | +0.6 |
| 1291 | C.J. O'Hara | G | 6-4 | 2 | Returning | Green Bay | 27 | +0.5 | +0.4 |
| 1938 | Justin Allen | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | Green Bay | 25 | -0.3 | -0.2 |
| 2435 | Jaxon Edwards | G | 6-5 | 4 | Transfer | IU Indianapolis | 20 | -0.7 | -0.3 |
| 2753 | Ramel Bethea | F | 6-9 | 1 | Returning | Green Bay | 14 | -1.0 | -0.4 |
| 2822 | Josh Hines | G | 6-2 | 1 | Returning | Green Bay | 9 | -1.3 | -0.3 |
| 2981 | Trey Schachter | F | 6-3 | 0 | Other newcomer | 6 | -1.7 | -0.3 | |
| 3177 | Brady Fitzgerald | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | Green Bay | 4 | -2.4 | -0.2 |
| 3420 | Rob Stroud | F | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | Green Bay | 6 | -2.2 | -0.3 |
| 4081 | Jalen Overway | C | 1 | Other newcomer | 7 | -2.9 | -0.5 | ||
| 4371 | Keegan Van Kauwenberg | G | 6-3 | 1 | Returning | Green Bay | 8 | -3.1 | -0.6 |
| 4382 | Dontrell Hewlett | G | 6-4 | 3 | Returning | Green Bay | 8 | -3.1 | -0.6 |
| 4473 | LeBron Thomas | G | 6-3 | 1 | Returning | Green Bay | 11 | -2.8 | -0.8 |
| 4641 | Vukasin Todorovic | F | 6-8 | 1 | Returning | Green Bay | 8 | -3.7 | -0.7 |
| 4675 | Mac Wrecke | G | 6-5 | 2 | Returning | Green Bay | 10 | -3.4 | -0.8 |
| 4895 | Maruan Cicic | C | 7-0 | 1 | Returning | Green Bay | 8 | -4.4 | -0.9 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu Nov 05 | at |  Cincinnati #42 | -18.9 | 6% | |
| Sun Nov 08 | at |  St. Thomas-Minnesota #130 | -10.8 | 19% | |
| Tue Nov 10 | at |  Northern Iowa #88 | -12.7 | 15% | |
| Tue Nov 17 | at |  West Florida #304 | -4.6 | 35% | |
| Fri Nov 20 | at |  Florida State #90 | -14.3 | 12% | |
| Tue Nov 24 | at |  Kansas City #338 | -2.9 | 41% | |
| Sun Nov 29 | vs |  North Dakota #310 | +6.6 | 71% | |
| Thu Dec 03 | vs |  Northern Illinois #333 | conf | +4.7 | 65% |
| Sat Dec 05 | vs |  Wright State #165 | conf | -1.4 | 45% |
| Tue Dec 08 | at |  Bradley #194 | -8.9 | 23% | |
| Thu Dec 17 | at | North Dakota #310 | -4.0 | 37% | |
| Mon Dec 21 | at |  South Dakota State #213 | -7.5 | 27% | |
| Wed Dec 30 | at |  Oakland #159 | conf | -6.3 | 31% |
| Sun Jan 03 | at |  Detroit Mercy #312 | conf | -0.7 | 48% |
| Thu Jan 07 | vs |  Northern Kentucky #270 | conf | +2.0 | 57% |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs |  Purdue Fort Wayne #212 | conf | +0.1 | 50% |
| Thu Jan 14 | vs |  Youngstown State #215 | conf | +0.1 | 50% |
| Sun Jan 17 | at | Northern Illinois #333 | conf | +0.6 | 52% |
| Wed Jan 20 | at |  Cleveland State #207 | conf | -5.1 | 34% |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs |  Milwaukee #242 | conf | +1.0 | 53% |
| Wed Jan 27 | at |  IU Indianapolis #279 | conf | -2.8 | 41% |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs |  Robert Morris #113 | conf | -3.6 | 38% |
| Thu Feb 04 | vs | Detroit Mercy #312 | conf | +3.8 | 62% |
| Sun Feb 07 | at | Milwaukee #242 | conf | -3.9 | 37% |
| Thu Feb 11 | at | Wright State #165 | conf | -6.0 | 31% |
| Sat Feb 13 | at | Northern Kentucky #270 | conf | -3.0 | 41% |
| Fri Feb 19 | vs | Cleveland State #207 | conf | -0.1 | 50% |
| Sun Feb 21 | vs | IU Indianapolis #279 | conf | +2.4 | 58% |
| Wed Feb 24 | at | Youngstown State #215 | conf | -4.6 | 35% |
| Sat Feb 27 | at | Robert Morris #113 | conf | -8.2 | 25% |
Projected margin is from Green Bay's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.