Teams › Big 12 · Compare Utah with another team
Utah
Utah returns 14% of last season's minutes and rates #106 on offense and #41 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: +1.6 to +16.2.
Why we have them here
Utah's preseason projection of +8.9 (No. 72 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +4.7, about the +4.9 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 192 at the end of 2025-26) adds +0.0, less than its neighbours' +1.2; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +3.7. It returns 14% of last season's minutes, less than teams ranked near it (41%). The projection leans most on Jackson Holcombe (+6.4), Trey Campbell (+4.5) and TJ Burch (+1.8); the newcomer who matters most is Jackson Holcombe, a transfer from Utah Valley, at +6.4. Its 80% range, +1.6 to +16.2, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 11% · Transfer 62% · Freshman 4% · Other newcomer 23%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Jackson Holcombe | G | 6-7 | 2 | Transfer | Utah Valley | 29 | +8.8 | +6.4 |
| 110 | Trey Campbell | G | 6-4 | 4 | Transfer | Northern Iowa | 31 | +5.9 | +4.5 |
| 531 | TJ Burch | G | 6-1 | 2 | Transfer | Wright State | 23 | +3.1 | +1.8 |
| 1035 | Taison Chatman | G | 6-4 | 3 | Transfer | Ohio State | 13 | +1.6 | +0.5 |
| 1338 | Malek Gomma | F | 6-8 | 3 | Transfer | Weber State | 22 | +0.5 | +0.3 |
| 2264 | Grayson Gaddis | F | 6-7 | 2 | Transfer | Montana State | 6 | -1.0 | -0.1 |
| 2773 | Styles Clemmons | G | 6-2 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 8 | -1.4 | -0.3 |
| 3149 | David Katoa | G | 6-4 | 0 | Other newcomer | 6 | -1.9 | -0.3 | |
| 3200 | Zati Loubaki | F | 6-8 | 0 | Other newcomer | 7 | -1.9 | -0.3 | |
| 3204 | Alec Anigbata | F | 6-9 | 0 | Other newcomer | 6 | -2.0 | -0.3 | |
| 3204 | Jaxon Johnson | F | 6-9 | 0 | Other newcomer | 6 | -2.0 | -0.3 | |
| 3204 | Babacar Faye | F | 6-9 | 5 | Other newcomer | 6 | -2.0 | -0.3 | |
| 3676 | Fynn Schott | C | 6-11 | 0 | Other newcomer | 4 | -3.1 | -0.3 | |
| 3696 | Lukas McCanna | C | 6-10 | 0 | Other newcomer | 4 | -3.1 | -0.3 | |
| 4224 | Colin McHaney | C | 6-10 | 0 | Other newcomer | 7 | -3.1 | -0.5 | |
| 4446 | Obomate Abbey | G | 6-0 | 1 | Returning | Utah | 13 | -2.5 | -0.8 |
| 4611 | Lucas Langarita | G | 1 | Returning | Utah | 8 | -3.6 | -0.7 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | vs |  Long Beach State #278 | +17.4 | 92% | |
| Thu Nov 05 | vs |  Towson #193 | +13.7 | 87% | |
| Tue Nov 10 | vs |  Weber State #233 | +16.1 | 90% | |
| Sat Nov 14 | vs |  Washington #92 | +9.0 | 77% | |
| Tue Nov 17 | vs |  Eastern Washington #146 | +12.7 | 85% | |
| Fri Nov 20 | N |  Dayton #74 | +0.0 | 50% | |
| Sun Nov 22 | N |  Minnesota #65 | -0.5 | 48% | |
| Wed Dec 02 | vs |  California #115 | +11.2 | 82% | |
| Wed Dec 09 | vs |  California Baptist #157 | +12.8 | 85% | |
| Sun Dec 13 | vs |  Abilene Christian #192 | +14.3 | 88% | |
| Wed Dec 16 | vs |  Portland #339 | +20.4 | 95% | |
| Sat Dec 19 | vs |  Sam Houston #185 | +14.3 | 88% | |
| Tue Dec 22 | vs |  Southern Utah #292 | +18.4 | 93% | |
| Tue Dec 29 | vs |  Air Force #357 | +22.2 | 96% | |
| Sat Jan 02 | at |  UCF #70 | conf | -3.2 | 40% |
| Wed Jan 06 | vs |  Kansas #10 | conf | -4.4 | 36% |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs |  Cincinnati #42 | conf | +1.4 | 55% |
| Tue Jan 12 | at |  Oklahoma State #91 | conf | -1.6 | 45% |
| Sat Jan 16 | at |  BYU #23 | conf | -11.5 | 18% |
| Wed Jan 20 | vs |  West Virginia #48 | conf | +1.9 | 56% |
| Tue Jan 26 | at |  Arizona #3 | conf | -15.1 | 11% |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs |  Baylor #37 | conf | +1.0 | 53% |
| Tue Feb 02 | at |  Iowa State #9 | conf | -12.6 | 15% |
| Sat Feb 06 | vs | BYU #23 | conf | -2.1 | 43% |
| Wed Feb 10 | vs |  Kansas State #99 | conf | +7.2 | 72% |
| Sat Feb 13 | at |  Houston #8 | conf | -13.4 | 14% |
| Tue Feb 16 | at |  TCU #51 | conf | -5.8 | 32% |
| Sat Feb 20 | vs |  Colorado #85 | conf | +5.2 | 66% |
| Tue Feb 23 | at |  Arizona State #52 | conf | -5.1 | 34% |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs | Oklahoma State #91 | conf | +6.1 | 69% |
| Tue Mar 02 | vs |  Texas Tech #15 | conf | -3.1 | 40% |
| Sat Mar 06 | at | Colorado #85 | conf | -3.0 | 40% |
Projected margin is from Utah's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.