Teams › Big East · Compare Creighton with another team

Creighton
Creighton returns 43% of last season's minutes and rates #32 on offense and #80 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: +6.2 to +20.5.
Why we have them here
Creighton's preseason projection of +13.3 (No. 41 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +8.1, about the +8.4 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 86 at the end of 2025-26) adds +1.1, less than its neighbours' +2.5; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +4.5. A stretch at the top of the scale adds +0.6, because a straight-line calibration shrinks elite teams. It returns 43% of last season's minutes, more than teams ranked near it (33%). The projection leans most on BJ Davis (+3.9), Brody Robinson (+2.9) and Jasen Green (+2.7); the newcomer who matters most is BJ Davis, a transfer from San Diego State, at +3.9. Its 80% range, +6.2 to +20.5, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 43% · Transfer 49% · Freshman 6% · Other newcomer 2%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78 | BJ Davis | G | 6-2 | 3 | Transfer | San Diego State | 19 | +8.1 | +3.9 |
| 264 | Jasen Green | F | 6-8 | 3 | Returning | Creighton | 22 | +4.9 | +2.7 |
| 291 | Oswin Erhunmwunse | F | 6-10 | 2 | Transfer | Providence | 21 | +4.8 | +2.5 |
| 295 | Brody Robinson | G | 5-11 | 4 | Transfer | Oakland | 28 | +4.1 | +2.9 |
| 450 | Wes Enis | G | 6-2 | 1 | Transfer | South Florida | 24 | +3.5 | +2.1 |
| 680 | Austin Swartz | G | 6-4 | 2 | Returning | Creighton | 16 | +2.9 | +1.2 |
| 725 | Isaac Traudt | F | 6-10 | 3 | Returning | Creighton | 15 | +2.9 | +1.1 |
| 1149 | Jackson McAndrew | F | 6-10 | 2 | Returning | Creighton | 11 | +1.3 | +0.4 |
| 1272 | Kayden Edwards | G | 6-2 | 1 | Transfer | TCU | 6 | +1.2 | +0.2 |
| 1593 | Katrelle Harmon | G | 6-3 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 7 | +0.1 | +0.0 |
| 1698 | Hudson Greer | G | 6-7 | 1 | Returning | Creighton | 9 | -0.1 | +0.0 |
| 1759 | Trevon Carter-Givens | C | 6-11 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 5 | -0.2 | +0.0 |
| 2381 | Fredrick King | C | 1 | Other newcomer | 2 | -2.2 | -0.1 | ||
| 2815 | Shane Thomas | G | 6-3 | 2 | Returning | Creighton | 3 | -2.2 | -0.2 |
| 2855 | Wesly Rosa | C | 7-2 | 0 | Other newcomer | 2 | -2.8 | -0.1 | |
| 3771 | Fedor Zugic | G | 6-6 | 1 | Returning | Creighton | 10 | -2.0 | -0.5 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | vs | +22.9 | 97% | ||
| Thu Nov 05 | vs | +17.5 | 92% | ||
| Tue Nov 10 | at | -0.1 | 50% | ||
| Sun Nov 15 | N | -0.9 | 47% | ||
| Wed Nov 18 | vs | +17.8 | 92% | ||
| Tue Nov 24 | N | -5.3 | 33% | ||
| Tue Dec 01 | vs | +21.8 | 96% | ||
| Sat Dec 05 | vs | +1.4 | 55% | ||
| Sat Dec 12 | vs | +1.9 | 56% | ||
| Tue Dec 15 | vs | +16.9 | 92% | ||
| Sat Dec 19 | vs | conf | +0.5 | 52% | |
| Tue Dec 22 | at | conf | -1.6 | 45% | |
| Thu Dec 31 | vs | conf | +4.1 | 63% | |
| Sun Jan 03 | vs | conf | -3.5 | 39% | |
| Wed Jan 06 | at | conf | +3.2 | 60% | |
| Sat Jan 09 | at | conf | +1.6 | 55% | |
| Wed Jan 13 | vs | conf | +8.3 | 75% | |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs | conf | -0.1 | 50% | |
| Wed Jan 20 | at | conf | -3.3 | 39% | |
| Wed Jan 27 | at | conf | -6.4 | 30% | |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs | conf | +7.2 | 72% | |
| Wed Feb 03 | vs | conf | +4.4 | 64% | |
| Sun Feb 07 | at | conf | -9.9 | 21% | |
| Wed Feb 10 | at | conf | -6.8 | 29% | |
| Sun Feb 14 | vs | conf | +9.3 | 78% | |
| Wed Feb 17 | at | conf | +1.6 | 55% | |
| Wed Feb 24 | vs | conf | +5.3 | 67% | |
| Sat Feb 27 | at | conf | +2.5 | 58% | |
| Tue Mar 02 | vs | conf | +7.6 | 73% | |
| Sat Mar 06 | at | conf | -2.4 | 42% |
Projected margin is from Creighton's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.