Teams › MEAC · Compare Howard with another team
Howard
Howard returns 94% of last season's minutes and rates #217 on offense and #193 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -8.8 to +6.0.
Why we have them here
Howard's preseason projection of -1.5 (No. 196 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -1.0, about the -1.0 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 194 at the end of 2025-26) adds -0.3, about its neighbours' -0.2; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -0.5. It returns 94% of last season's minutes, more than teams ranked near it (66%). The projection leans most on Cedric Taylor III (+2.7), Cam Gillus (+1.9) and James Brown (+0.3); the newcomer who matters most is James Brown, a transfer from North Carolina, at +0.3. Its 80% range, -8.8 to +6.0, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 94% · Transfer 6%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 359 | Cedric Taylor III | G | 6-7 | 3 | Returning | Howard | 29 | +3.7 | +2.7 |
| 583 | Cam Gillus | G | 5-11 | 3 | Returning | Howard | 30 | +2.5 | +1.9 |
| 1228 | James Brown | F | 6-10 | 2 | Transfer | North Carolina | 12 | +1.0 | +0.3 |
| 2241 | Alex Cotton | G | 6-5 | 3 | Returning | Howard | 26 | -0.5 | -0.3 |
| 3906 | Jeremiah Johnson | G | 6-3 | 1 | Returning | Howard | 13 | -1.9 | -0.6 |
| 4010 | Isaiah Brown | G | 6-1 | 1 | Returning | Howard | 15 | -1.8 | -0.7 |
| 4035 | Shane Frazier | G | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | Howard | 9 | -2.5 | -0.5 |
| 4212 | Stefan Isailovic | F | 6-8 | 1 | Returning | Howard | 9 | -2.7 | -0.6 |
| 4270 | River Smith | G | 5-10 | 1 | Returning | Howard | 8 | -2.9 | -0.6 |
| 4357 | Julian Johnson | F | 6-9 | 1 | Returning | Howard | 10 | -2.8 | -0.7 |
| 4471 | Calvin Robins Jr. | F | 6-5 | 2 | Returning | Howard | 13 | -2.5 | -0.8 |
| 4517 | BJ Powell | G | 6-0 | 1 | Returning | Howard | 10 | -3.1 | -0.7 |
| 4917 | Danas Kazakevicius | C | 6-10 | 1 | Returning | Howard | 17 | -3.1 | -1.3 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | at |  Yale #95 | -11.1 | 18% | |
| Thu Nov 05 | at |  Alcorn State #358 | +2.4 | 58% | |
| Mon Nov 09 | at |  Pennsylvania #144 | -7.6 | 27% | |
| Thu Nov 12 | vs |  Stetson #311 | +8.9 | 77% | |
| Sat Nov 14 | at |  Davidson #132 | -7.9 | 26% | |
| Wed Nov 18 | N |  Duquesne #156 | -1.5 | 45% | |
| Thu Dec 03 | vs |  Grambling #302 | +8.4 | 75% | |
| Sat Dec 05 | N |  Hampton #288 | +3.1 | 60% | |
| Thu Dec 10 | vs |  Loyola Chicago #166 | +3.5 | 61% | |
| Mon Dec 14 | vs |  Towson #193 | +4.5 | 64% | |
| Thu Dec 17 | vs |  North Carolina A&T #285 | +7.9 | 74% | |
| Sun Dec 20 | at |  UTEP #237 | -3.6 | 38% | |
| Sat Jan 02 | vs |  South Carolina State #360 | conf | +10.7 | 80% |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs |  Maryland Eastern Shore #356 | conf | +9.3 | 78% |
| Mon Jan 11 | at |  Delaware State #363 | conf | +8.2 | 75% |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs |  North Carolina Central #353 | conf | +9.1 | 77% |
| Sat Jan 23 | at |  Morgan State #348 | conf | +3.9 | 62% |
| Mon Jan 25 | vs |  Coppin State #364 | conf | +12.7 | 85% |
| Sat Jan 30 | at |  Norfolk State #300 | conf | +0.3 | 51% |
| Sat Feb 06 | at | South Carolina State #360 | conf | +6.2 | 69% |
| Sat Feb 13 | at | Maryland Eastern Shore #356 | conf | +4.8 | 65% |
| Mon Feb 15 | vs | Delaware State #363 | conf | +12.1 | 84% |
| Sat Feb 20 | at | North Carolina Central #353 | conf | +4.5 | 64% |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs | Morgan State #348 | conf | +8.9 | 76% |
| Mon Mar 01 | at | Coppin State #364 | conf | +8.5 | 75% |
| Thu Mar 04 | vs | Norfolk State #300 | conf | +5.2 | 66% |
Projected margin is from Howard's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.