Teams › Big West · Compare Cal State Bakersfield with another team
Cal State Bakersfield
Cal State Bakersfield returns 72% of last season's minutes and rates #336 on offense and #279 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -16.0 to -1.2.
Why we have them here
Cal State Bakersfield's preseason projection of -8.6 (No. 328 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -4.5, more than the -5.5 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 350 at the end of 2025-26) adds -3.0, less than its neighbours' -2.1; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -1.5. It returns 72% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (74%). The projection leans most on Ronald Jessamy (+0.8), Bryce Cofield (+0.1) and CJ Hardy (+0.1); the newcomer who matters most is Bryce Cofield, a transfer from Cal State Fullerton, at +0.1. Its 80% range, -16.0 to -1.2, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 66% · Transfer 23% · Other newcomer 11%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 991 | Ronald Jessamy | F | 6-8 | 3 | Returning | Cal State Bakersfield | 23 | +1.4 | +0.8 |
| 1429 | Bryce Cofield | G | 6-6 | 1 | Transfer | Cal State Fullerton | 19 | +0.3 | +0.1 |
| 1511 | CJ Hardy | G | 6-3 | 2 | Returning | Cal State Bakersfield | 24 | +0.2 | +0.1 |
| 1627 | Cameron Barnes | F | 6-10 | 2 | Transfer | Illinois State | 12 | +0.1 | +0.0 |
| 3180 | Chudi Dioramma | F | 6-10 | 2 | Transfer | Arkansas State | 15 | -1.3 | -0.5 |
| 3603 | Jaden Alexander | G | 6-4 | 3 | Returning | Cal State Bakersfield | 17 | -1.4 | -0.6 |
| 4317 | Kjay Bradley Jr. | F | 6-1 | 2 | Other newcomer | 10 | -2.7 | -0.7 | |
| 4561 | TJ James Jr. | G | 6-1 | 1 | Returning | Cal State Bakersfield | 7 | -3.8 | -0.6 |
| 4602 | Colin Darby | F | 6-7 | 2 | Other newcomer | 11 | -3.0 | -0.8 | |
| 4655 | Tom Mark | F | 6-7 | 3 | Returning | Cal State Bakersfield | 20 | -2.3 | -1.2 |
| 4932 | Caleb McCarty | F | 6-8 | 3 | Returning | Cal State Bakersfield | 8 | -4.5 | -0.9 |
| 5044 | Bentley Waller | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | Cal State Bakersfield | 11 | -4.5 | -1.2 |
| 5087 | Dylan Purnell | G | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | Cal State Bakersfield | 8 | -5.5 | -1.1 |
| 5222 | Mike Price | G | 6-3 | 1 | Returning | Cal State Bakersfield | 15 | -5.9 | -2.2 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Nov 08 | vs |  North Dakota State #225 | +2.7 | 59% | |
| Thu Nov 12 | at |  Western Illinois #362 | +0.8 | 52% | |
| Sun Nov 15 | at | North Dakota State #225 | -9.6 | 22% | |
| Fri Nov 20 | at |  Idaho #251 | -8.6 | 24% | |
| Wed Nov 25 | at |  Pepperdine #249 | -8.6 | 25% | |
| Sat Nov 28 | vs |  Northern Arizona #307 | +5.6 | 68% | |
| Thu Dec 03 | vs |  UC Santa Barbara #103 | conf | -5.4 | 33% |
| Sat Dec 05 | vs |  Cal State Northridge #227 | conf | -0.4 | 49% |
| Sat Dec 19 | at |  Loyola Marymount #170 | -12.1 | 17% | |
| Tue Dec 22 | at |  San Diego #263 | -8.1 | 26% | |
| Thu Dec 31 | at |  Utah Valley #112 | conf | -12.4 | 16% |
| Sat Jan 02 | at |  Sacramento State #199 | conf | -7.8 | 27% |
| Thu Jan 07 | vs |  UC Riverside #252 | conf | +0.4 | 51% |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs |  California Baptist #157 | conf | -2.8 | 41% |
| Thu Jan 14 | at |  Cal State Fullerton #236 | conf | -6.2 | 31% |
| Sat Jan 16 | at |  Long Beach State #278 | conf | -4.2 | 37% |
| Thu Jan 21 | at |  Cal Poly #223 | conf | -7.0 | 29% |
| Sat Jan 23 | at | UC Santa Barbara #103 | conf | -11.5 | 18% |
| Thu Jan 28 | vs | Sacramento State #199 | conf | -1.2 | 46% |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs | Utah Valley #112 | conf | -5.1 | 34% |
| Thu Feb 04 | at |  UC Irvine #105 | conf | -11.8 | 17% |
| Sat Feb 06 | at |  UC San Diego #77 | conf | -13.8 | 13% |
| Thu Feb 11 | vs | Long Beach State #278 | conf | +1.4 | 55% |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | Cal State Fullerton #236 | conf | +0.1 | 50% |
| Thu Feb 18 | vs | Cal Poly #223 | conf | -0.6 | 48% |
| Sat Feb 20 | at | Cal State Northridge #227 | conf | -7.0 | 29% |
| Thu Feb 25 | at | California Baptist #157 | conf | -8.9 | 24% |
| Sat Feb 27 | at | UC Riverside #252 | conf | -6.1 | 31% |
| Thu Mar 04 | vs | UC San Diego #77 | conf | -8.0 | 26% |
| Sat Mar 06 | vs | UC Irvine #105 | conf | -5.5 | 33% |
Projected margin is from Cal State Bakersfield's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.