Teams › Big East · Compare Villanova with another team
Villanova
Villanova returns 28% of last season's minutes and rates #17 on offense and #32 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: +10.0 to +24.8.
Why we have them here
Villanova's preseason projection of +17.5 (No. 24 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +10.3, more than the +9.3 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 43 at the end of 2025-26) adds +2.5, about its neighbours' +3.2; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +3.6. A stretch at the top of the scale adds +0.8, because a straight-line calibration shrinks elite teams. It returns 28% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (32%). The projection leans most on Kwame Evans Jr. (+5.3), Elijah Crawford (+4.0) and Tyler Perkins (+3.3); the newcomer who matters most is Kwame Evans Jr., a transfer from Oregon, at +5.3. Its 80% range, +10.0 to +24.8, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 26% · Transfer 64% · Freshman 4% · Other newcomer 6%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | Kwame Evans Jr. | F | 6-10 | 3 | Transfer | Oregon | 27 | +7.9 | +5.3 |
| 98 | Elijah Crawford | G | 6-3 | 2 | Transfer | UIC | 22 | +7.3 | +4.0 |
| 213 | Tyler Perkins | G | 6-4 | 3 | Returning | Villanova | 26 | +4.9 | +3.3 |
| 226 | Devin Royal | F | 6-6 | 3 | Transfer | Ohio State | 27 | +4.7 | +3.2 |
| 306 | Jake Fiegen | G | 6-4 | 3 | Transfer | Cornell | 21 | +4.7 | +2.5 |
| 645 | Matt Hodge | F | 6-8 | 1 | Returning | Villanova | 22 | +2.7 | +1.5 |
| 871 | Darryl Simmons II | G | 5-11 | 3 | Transfer | St. Bonaventure | 26 | +1.6 | +1.1 |
| 1582 | Adam Oumiddoch | G | 6-5 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 8 | +0.1 | +0.0 |
| 1840 | Brady Muller | F | 6-4 | 4 | Other newcomer | 2 | -0.6 | +0.0 | |
| 1901 | Luigi Suigo | F | 6-6 | 0 | Other newcomer | 3 | -0.7 | +0.0 | |
| 1904 | Wade Chiddick | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | Villanova | 4 | -0.5 | -0.1 |
| 2006 | Carter Fisk | G | 6-5 | 0 | Other newcomer | 3 | -0.9 | -0.1 | |
| 2171 | Nico Onyekwere | F | 7-1 | 0 | Other newcomer | 3 | -1.1 | -0.1 | |
| 3498 | Abdou Samb | F | 6-8 | 4 | Transfer | Towson | 5 | -2.5 | -0.3 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Nov 01 | N |  Notre Dame #75 | +6.0 | 69% | |
| Fri Nov 06 | vs |  Holy Cross #352 | +25.8 | 98% | |
| Tue Nov 10 | vs |  La Salle #218 | +19.4 | 94% | |
| Sat Nov 14 | vs |  Rider #351 | +25.9 | 98% | |
| Tue Nov 17 | at |  Pittsburgh #68 | -0.4 | 49% | |
| Sat Nov 21 | vs |  Michigan #11 | +4.7 | 65% | |
| Tue Nov 24 | vs |  Coppin State #364 | +30.4 | >99% | |
| Fri Nov 27 | at |  Kansas #10 | -10.5 | 20% | |
| Tue Dec 01 | at |  Temple #149 | +5.9 | 69% | |
| Wed Dec 09 | vs |  Fairleigh Dickinson #334 | +23.6 | 97% | |
| Sat Dec 12 | N |  Wisconsin #34 | +2.1 | 57% | |
| Sat Dec 19 | at |  Creighton #41 | conf | -0.5 | 48% |
| Tue Dec 22 | vs |  Providence #49 | conf | +7.6 | 73% |
| Tue Dec 29 | vs | Fairleigh Dickinson #334 | +23.6 | 97% | |
| Sun Jan 03 | at |  Georgetown #84 | conf | +4.4 | 64% |
| Wed Jan 06 | at |  Xavier #57 | conf | +1.4 | 54% |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs |  Marquette #47 | conf | +7.2 | 72% |
| Tue Jan 12 | vs |  Seton Hall #106 | conf | +12.1 | 84% |
| Fri Jan 15 | at |  Butler #86 | conf | +4.4 | 64% |
| Tue Jan 19 | vs | Xavier #57 | conf | +8.4 | 75% |
| Fri Jan 22 | at |  DePaul #97 | conf | +5.2 | 67% |
| Wed Jan 27 | vs | Creighton #41 | conf | +6.4 | 70% |
| Wed Feb 03 | at |  UConn #4 | conf | -6.9 | 29% |
| Sat Feb 06 | vs |  St. John's #21 | conf | +3.1 | 60% |
| Wed Feb 10 | at | Seton Hall #106 | conf | +5.9 | 69% |
| Sun Feb 14 | vs | UConn #4 | conf | -0.4 | 49% |
| Wed Feb 17 | at | Providence #49 | conf | +0.7 | 52% |
| Sat Feb 20 | vs | Butler #86 | conf | +10.6 | 81% |
| Tue Feb 23 | at | St. John's #21 | conf | -3.7 | 38% |
| Fri Feb 26 | at | Marquette #47 | conf | -0.3 | 49% |
| Wed Mar 03 | vs | DePaul #97 | conf | +11.1 | 82% |
| Sat Mar 06 | vs | Georgetown #84 | conf | +10.1 | 79% |
Projected margin is from Villanova's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.