Roster Math

Teams › A-10 · Compare Fordham with another team

Fordham

Fordham returns 64% of last season's minutes and rates #140 on offense and #115 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -4.4 to +10.1.

+2.8
Rating · #125 of 365
+1.0
Offense · #140
+1.8
Defense · #115
-4.4 to +10.1
80% range
<1%
Chance of top 25
0%
Chance of No. 1
16-14
Projected record · 11 to 22 wins
9-9
Projected in A-10 · 5 to 12 wins

Why we have them here

Fordham's preseason projection of +2.8 (No. 125 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +3.7, more than the +1.8 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 191 at the end of 2025-26) adds -0.4, less than its neighbours' +0.4; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -0.8. It returns 64% of last season's minutes, more than teams ranked near it (55%). The projection leans most on Dejour Reaves (+2.8), Lateef Patrick (+2.0) and Rikus Schulte (+2.0); the newcomer who matters most is Lateef Patrick, a transfer from Stephen F. Austin, at +2.0. Its 80% range, -4.4 to +10.1, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.

Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.

Roster

Returning 64% · Transfer 30% · Freshman 6%

Dejour Reaves+2.8
Lateef Patrick+2.0
Rikus Schulte+2.0
Amir Lindsey+1.8
Roor Akhuar+0.4
Kelvin Odih+0.1
Abass Bodija+0.0
John Laboy II+0.0
Aidan Crotty-0.1
Jack Whitbourn-0.2
Jameson O'Toole-0.2
Desmond Bellot-0.2
Hassan Koureissi-0.2
Max Miller-0.2
Kingston Price-0.4
Akira Jacobs-0.4
RankPlayerPosHtD1 yrsGroupFromMPGRatingContrib.
298Dejour ReavesG6-03ReturningFordham26+4.3+2.8
467Lateef PatrickG1TransferStephen F. Austin24+3.4+2.0
475Rikus SchulteF6-93ReturningFordham23+3.4+2.0
572Amir LindseyG5-112TransferUAlbany27+2.7+1.8
1194Roor AkhuarF6-71ReturningFordham16+0.9+0.4
1348Kelvin OdihG6-41TransferSt. John's5+0.9+0.1
1680Abass BodijaF6-101ReturningFordham14+0.0+0.0
1812John Laboy IIG6-31TransferMiami4-0.4+0.0
2052Jack WhitbournC6-112ReturningFordham14-0.5-0.2
2486Aidan CrottyG5-111ReturningFordham3-1.7-0.1
2574Desmond BellotG6-30FreshmanHigh school6-1.4-0.2
2636Hassan KoureissiG6-30FreshmanHigh school6-1.5-0.2
2644Akira JacobsF6-103ReturningFordham20-0.8-0.4
2703Jameson O'TooleG6-32ReturningFordham4-1.9-0.2
3188Max MillerG6-02ReturningFordham3-2.8-0.2
3684Kingston PriceG6-21ReturningFordham5-2.7-0.4

A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.

Schedule

DateOpponentProj. marginWin prob.
Mon Nov 02atKansas #10-20.25%
Thu Nov 05vsStonehill #354+14.989%
Tue Nov 10vsIona #282+10.781%
Fri Nov 13vsLong Island University #210+7.974%
Tue Nov 17atManhattan #309+1.956%
Sat Nov 21atPortland #339+2.859%
Sun Nov 22atSan Diego #263+0.150%
Sat Nov 28atHarvard #123-4.037%
Tue Dec 01vsBoston University #230+8.275%
Mon Dec 07vsFairleigh Dickinson #334+12.284%
Thu Dec 10vsBryant #327+11.984%
Sun Dec 20vsCentral Connecticut #316+11.583%
Wed Dec 30vsSaint Louis #56conf-4.037%
Sat Jan 02atLa Salle #218conf+0.551%
Wed Jan 06atGeorge Mason #107conf-3.937%
Sat Jan 09vsSt. Bonaventure #126conf+1.756%
Wed Jan 13vsSaint Joseph's #129conf+1.956%
Sat Jan 16atDuquesne #156conf-1.147%
Wed Jan 20atDavidson #132conf-1.944%
Wed Jan 27vsLa Salle #218conf+4.966%
Sat Jan 30vsGeorge Washington #119conf+1.555%
Wed Feb 03atRhode Island #148conf-2.143%
Sat Feb 06vsDayton #74conf-2.342%
Tue Feb 09atSaint Joseph's #129conf-2.143%
Sat Feb 13atSt. Bonaventure #126conf-2.044%
Tue Feb 16vsVCU #44conf-5.234%
Sat Feb 20vsRhode Island #148conf+2.859%
Sat Feb 27atLoyola Chicago #166conf-0.847%
Wed Mar 03vsDavidson #132conf+2.056%
Sat Mar 06atRichmond #136conf-1.944%

Projected margin is from Fordham's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.