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Bethune-Cookman
Bethune-Cookman returns 57% of last season's minutes and rates #215 on offense and #224 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -9.6 to +4.9.
Why we have them here
Bethune-Cookman's preseason projection of -2.3 (No. 220 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -1.2, about the -1.7 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 259 at the end of 2025-26) adds -1.0, about its neighbours' -0.3; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -0.5. It returns 57% of last season's minutes, less than teams ranked near it (66%). The projection leans most on Jakobi Heady (+2.9), Koron Davis (+0.2) and Jameel Morris (+0.0); the newcomer who matters most is Koron Davis, a transfer from Alabama A&M, at +0.2. Its 80% range, -9.6 to +4.9, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 54% · Transfer 43% · Other newcomer 3%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 302 | Jakobi Heady | G | 6-6 | 3 | Returning | Bethune-Cookman | 29 | +4.0 | +2.9 |
| 1366 | Koron Davis | G | 6-7 | 2 | Transfer | Alabama A&M | 25 | +0.4 | +0.2 |
| 1654 | Jameel Morris | G | 6-1 | 3 | Transfer | Alcorn State | 23 | +0.0 | +0.0 |
| 1959 | Quentin Heady | F | 6-6 | 2 | Returning | Bethune-Cookman | 20 | -0.3 | -0.2 |
| 2098 | Jaylen Jones | G | 6-0 | 3 | Transfer | Jacksonville | 21 | -0.4 | -0.2 |
| 2288 | Melian Martinez | C | 7-0 | 1 | Transfer | Louisiana Tech | 12 | -0.7 | -0.2 |
| 3004 | William Gonzalez | G | 6-6 | 1 | Returning | Bethune-Cookman | 4 | -2.2 | -0.2 |
| 3351 | Trayvon Barbary | G | 6-4 | 2 | Returning | Bethune-Cookman | 4 | -2.8 | -0.2 |
| 3445 | Reggie Ward Jr. | F | 6-6 | 3 | Other newcomer | 7 | -2.1 | -0.4 | |
| 3693 | Seneca Willoughby | G | 6-3 | 3 | Returning | Bethune-Cookman | 19 | -1.4 | -0.7 |
| 3777 | David Onanina | C | 6-8 | 3 | Returning | Bethune-Cookman | 6 | -2.7 | -0.4 |
| 3856 | IJ Ezuma | F | 6-8 | 5 | Transfer | Southern Miss | 6 | -2.8 | -0.4 |
| 4272 | Dailon Minor | G | 6-1 | 1 | Returning | Bethune-Cookman | 4 | -4.3 | -0.4 |
| 4866 | Rickey Mitchell Jr. | G | 6-4 | 3 | Returning | Bethune-Cookman | 10 | -3.8 | -1.0 |
| 4927 | Jordan Johnson | G | 6-4 | 3 | Returning | Bethune-Cookman | 12 | -3.8 | -1.1 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | N | -4.3 | 36% | ||
| Thu Nov 05 | at | -22.3 | 4% | ||
| Sat Nov 07 | at | -15.2 | 11% | ||
| Wed Nov 11 | at | -13.9 | 13% | ||
| Wed Nov 18 | at | -17.8 | 8% | ||
| Wed Nov 25 | at | -8.9 | 24% | ||
| Sat Nov 28 | at | -6.3 | 31% | ||
| Sat Dec 05 | at | -5.1 | 34% | ||
| Tue Dec 08 | at | -22.1 | 4% | ||
| Thu Dec 17 | at | -18.0 | 7% | ||
| Sun Dec 20 | at | -8.3 | 25% | ||
| Tue Dec 22 | at | -13.0 | 15% | ||
| Tue Dec 29 | at | -18.0 | 7% | ||
| Sat Jan 02 | at | conf | +2.3 | 57% | |
| Sat Jan 09 | at | conf | +1.5 | 55% | |
| Mon Jan 11 | at | conf | -2.9 | 41% | |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs | conf | +19.6 | 94% | |
| Mon Jan 18 | vs | conf | +10.0 | 79% | |
| Sat Jan 23 | at | conf | +4.6 | 64% | |
| Mon Jan 25 | at | conf | +5.0 | 66% | |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs | conf | +8.3 | 75% | |
| Mon Feb 01 | vs | conf | +8.2 | 75% | |
| Sat Feb 06 | at | conf | +3.5 | 61% | |
| Mon Feb 08 | at | conf | +1.8 | 56% | |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | conf | +11.1 | 81% | |
| Mon Feb 15 | vs | conf | +10.9 | 81% | |
| Thu Feb 18 | at | conf | +2.3 | 57% | |
| Thu Feb 25 | vs | conf | +6.1 | 69% | |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs | conf | +3.9 | 62% | |
| Thu Mar 04 | vs | conf | +8.1 | 74% |
Projected margin is from Bethune-Cookman's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.