Teams › Big East · Compare Xavier with another team
Xavier
Xavier returns 20% of last season's minutes and rates #55 on offense and #58 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: +3.5 to +18.2.
Why we have them here
Xavier's preseason projection of +10.9 (No. 57 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +7.0, about the +6.8 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 137 at the end of 2025-26) adds +0.6, less than its neighbours' +1.5; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +2.6. A stretch at the top of the scale adds +0.3, because a straight-line calibration shrinks elite teams. It returns 20% of last season's minutes, less than teams ranked near it (32%). The projection leans most on Chance Westry (+5.5), Rubén Dominguez (+2.3) and Mike Nwoko (+2.3); the newcomer who matters most is Chance Westry, a transfer from UAB, at +5.5. Its 80% range, +3.5 to +18.2, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 13% · Transfer 70% · Freshman 7% · Other newcomer 10%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | Chance Westry | G | 6-6 | 4 | Transfer | UAB | 27 | +8.2 | +5.5 |
| 325 | Mike Nwoko | F | 6-10 | 3 | Transfer | LSU | 19 | +4.8 | +2.3 |
| 358 | Rubén Dominguez | G | 6-6 | 1 | Transfer | Texas A&M | 22 | +4.3 | +2.3 |
| 533 | Tru Washington | G | 6-4 | 3 | Transfer | Miami | 22 | +3.2 | +1.7 |
| 641 | Jovan Milicevic | F | 6-10 | 2 | Returning | Xavier | 23 | +2.6 | +1.5 |
| 790 | Nikos Chitikoudis | F | 6-9 | 1 | Transfer | Robert Morris | 21 | +2.2 | +1.1 |
| 993 | Rolyns Aligbe | F | 6-9 | 2 | Transfer | Southern Illinois | 19 | +1.5 | +0.7 |
| 1727 | Kalek House | G | 6-3 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 8 | -0.1 | +0.0 |
| 2292 | Gedeon Basson | F | 6-2 | 0 | Other newcomer | 4 | -1.3 | -0.1 | |
| 2292 | Luke Naser | F | 6-2 | 0 | Other newcomer | 4 | -1.3 | -0.1 | |
| 2430 | Henry Thole | F | 6-7 | 2 | Returning | Xavier | 3 | -1.6 | -0.1 |
| 2542 | Gabriel Pozzato | F | 6-7 | 2 | Other newcomer | 4 | -1.6 | -0.2 | |
| 2615 | Harrison Aligbe | F | 6-8 | 0 | Other newcomer | 4 | -1.6 | -0.2 | |
| 2909 | Kason Westphal | F | 7-0 | 0 | Other newcomer | 5 | -1.9 | -0.2 | |
| 2944 | Asher Elson | F | 6-10 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 6 | -1.8 | -0.3 |
| 3160 | Braden Appelhans | G | 6-6 | 4 | Transfer | Drake | 10 | -1.5 | -0.4 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | vs |  Mount St. Mary's #204 | +15.6 | 90% | |
| Fri Nov 06 | vs |  Eastern Michigan #244 | +16.7 | 91% | |
| Tue Nov 10 | vs |  Detroit Mercy #312 | +20.0 | 95% | |
| Fri Nov 13 | N |  Mississippi State #78 | +2.1 | 57% | |
| Tue Nov 17 | vs |  Cleveland State #207 | +16.0 | 90% | |
| Fri Nov 20 | vs |  Iowa #33 | +3.7 | 62% | |
| Wed Nov 25 | N |  Texas A&M #31 | -3.0 | 40% | |
| Fri Nov 27 | N |  Virginia #19 | -5.5 | 33% | |
| Wed Dec 02 | vs |  Texas Southern #331 | +21.2 | 96% | |
| Sat Dec 05 | at |  Cincinnati #42 | -8.7 | 24% | |
| Wed Dec 09 | vs |  Purdue Fort Wayne #212 | +16.0 | 90% | |
| Sat Dec 12 | vs |  Florida International #143 | +14.2 | 87% | |
| Sat Dec 19 | at |  Marquette #47 | conf | -5.2 | 34% |
| Tue Dec 22 | vs |  Creighton #41 | conf | +1.6 | 55% |
| Wed Dec 30 | at |  Georgetown #84 | conf | +0.0 | 50% |
| Sat Jan 02 | vs |  Seton Hall #106 | conf | +7.8 | 74% |
| Wed Jan 06 | vs |  Villanova #24 | conf | -1.4 | 46% |
| Sat Jan 09 | at |  Providence #49 | conf | -4.4 | 36% |
| Tue Jan 12 | vs |  Butler #86 | conf | +5.9 | 68% |
| Sat Jan 16 | at |  UConn #4 | conf | -11.9 | 17% |
| Tue Jan 19 | at | Villanova #24 | conf | -8.4 | 25% |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs | Marquette #47 | conf | +2.3 | 57% |
| Tue Jan 26 | vs |  St. John's #21 | conf | -2.0 | 44% |
| Sat Jan 30 | at |  DePaul #97 | conf | +0.9 | 53% |
| Sat Feb 06 | at | Butler #86 | conf | -0.2 | 49% |
| Tue Feb 09 | vs | Georgetown #84 | conf | +5.6 | 67% |
| Sat Feb 13 | at | St. John's #21 | conf | -8.8 | 24% |
| Sat Feb 20 | vs | DePaul #97 | conf | +6.7 | 71% |
| Wed Feb 24 | at | Creighton #41 | conf | -5.3 | 33% |
| Sun Feb 28 | at | Seton Hall #106 | conf | +1.7 | 55% |
| Wed Mar 03 | vs | Providence #49 | conf | +2.5 | 58% |
| Sat Mar 06 | vs | UConn #4 | conf | -5.4 | 33% |
Projected margin is from Xavier's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.