Teams › MAC · Compare Eastern Michigan with another team
Eastern Michigan
Eastern Michigan returns 53% of last season's minutes and rates #301 on offense and #163 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -10.8 to +3.7.
Why we have them here
Eastern Michigan's preseason projection of -3.6 (No. 244 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -2.0, about the -2.4 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 249 at the end of 2025-26) adds -0.9, about its neighbours' -0.7; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -1.0. It returns 53% of last season's minutes, less than teams ranked near it (69%). The projection leans most on Carlos Hart (+0.9), Jabri Fitzpatrick (+0.7) and Sencire Harris (+0.5); the newcomer who matters most is Jabri Fitzpatrick, a transfer from New Haven, at +0.7. Its 80% range, -10.8 to +3.7, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 53% · Transfer 32% · Other newcomer 15%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 922 | Carlos Hart | G | 6-5 | 3 | Returning | Eastern Michigan | 21 | +1.7 | +0.9 |
| 1018 | Jabri Fitzpatrick | G | 6-2 | 3 | Transfer | New Haven | 24 | +1.2 | +0.7 |
| 1030 | Sencire Harris | G | 6-4 | 4 | Transfer | Cincinnati | 12 | +1.7 | +0.5 |
| 1341 | Mohammad Habhab | F | 6-9 | 2 | Returning | Eastern Michigan | 26 | +0.4 | +0.3 |
| 1346 | Kilian Brockhoff | F | 6-8 | 3 | Transfer | William & Mary | 14 | +0.6 | +0.2 |
| 1460 | Mak Manciel | G | 6-4 | 3 | Returning | Eastern Michigan | 10 | +0.4 | +0.1 |
| 2615 | Gregory Lawson II | G | 6-3 | 1 | Returning | Eastern Michigan | 11 | -1.0 | -0.3 |
| 2764 | Max Booher | F | 6-4 | 0 | Other newcomer | 4 | -1.9 | -0.2 | |
| 2764 | Jaiden Martin | F | 6-4 | 0 | Other newcomer | 4 | -1.9 | -0.2 | |
| 2833 | DaCory Porter | F | 6-4 | 0 | Other newcomer | 4 | -1.9 | -0.2 | |
| 2835 | Aviv Aronov | F | 6-5 | 0 | Other newcomer | 4 | -2.0 | -0.2 | |
| 2900 | Jordan Wright | F | 6-6 | 0 | Other newcomer | 4 | -2.0 | -0.2 | |
| 2900 | Omar Suleiman | F | 6-6 | 3 | Other newcomer | 4 | -2.0 | -0.2 | |
| 2978 | Mbaye N'Diaye | G | 6-5 | 2 | Returning | Eastern Michigan | 3 | -2.4 | -0.2 |
| 3301 | Kaden Johnson | F | 6-11 | 0 | Other newcomer | 5 | -2.3 | -0.3 | |
| 4334 | Mehki Ellison | G | 6-0 | 2 | Returning | Eastern Michigan | 8 | -3.0 | -0.6 |
| 4429 | Aidan Rubio | G | 6-7 | 3 | Returning | Eastern Michigan | 6 | -3.8 | -0.5 |
| 4462 | Jon Sanders II | G | 6-2 | 3 | Returning | Eastern Michigan | 10 | -3.0 | -0.7 |
| 4740 | Braelon Green | G | 6-3 | 3 | Returning | Eastern Michigan | 12 | -3.3 | -0.9 |
| 5194 | Emanuel Richards | G | 6-4 | 3 | Transfer | Longwood | 14 | -5.4 | -1.8 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | at |  Coastal Carolina #301 | -2.8 | 41% | |
| Fri Nov 06 | at |  Xavier #57 | -16.7 | 9% | |
| Wed Nov 18 | vs |  Detroit Mercy #312 | +7.9 | 74% | |
| Sat Nov 21 | vs |  Denver #240 | +4.9 | 66% | |
| Tue Nov 24 | N |  Kennesaw State #167 | -2.6 | 42% | |
| Wed Dec 02 | vs |  Massachusetts #178 | conf | -0.1 | 50% |
| Sat Dec 05 | at |  Ball State #153 | conf | -4.8 | 35% |
| Wed Dec 09 | at |  Toledo #173 | conf | -4.1 | 37% |
| Sat Dec 12 | vs |  Central Michigan #259 | conf | +2.5 | 58% |
| Sat Dec 19 | at |  Louisville #7 | -23.9 | 3% | |
| Sat Jan 02 | at |  Miami (OH) #96 | conf | -9.9 | 21% |
| Tue Jan 05 | at |  Western Michigan #151 | conf | -5.1 | 34% |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs |  Bowling Green #266 | conf | +2.8 | 59% |
| Tue Jan 12 | vs |  Akron #73 | conf | -6.8 | 29% |
| Sat Jan 16 | at |  Ohio #232 | conf | -3.5 | 39% |
| Tue Jan 19 | vs |  Kent State #133 | conf | -2.1 | 43% |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs | Ball State #153 | conf | -1.0 | 47% |
| Tue Jan 26 | at |  Buffalo #209 | conf | -1.6 | 45% |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs | Western Michigan #151 | conf | -1.2 | 46% |
| Tue Feb 02 | vs | Toledo #173 | conf | -0.4 | 49% |
| Tue Feb 09 | at | Central Michigan #259 | conf | -2.4 | 42% |
| Sat Feb 13 | at | Massachusetts #178 | conf | -4.8 | 35% |
| Tue Feb 16 | vs | Ohio #232 | conf | +1.7 | 55% |
| Sat Feb 20 | at | Akron #73 | conf | -11.7 | 17% |
| Tue Feb 23 | vs | Miami (OH) #96 | conf | -4.9 | 35% |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs | Buffalo #209 | conf | +0.8 | 53% |
| Tue Mar 02 | at | Kent State #133 | conf | -5.8 | 32% |
| Fri Mar 05 | at | Bowling Green #266 | conf | -1.8 | 44% |
Projected margin is from Eastern Michigan's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.