Teams › Big Sky · Compare Idaho with another team
Idaho
Idaho returns 55% of last season's minutes and rates #267 on offense and #223 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -11.2 to +3.2.
Why we have them here
Idaho's preseason projection of -3.9 (No. 251 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -3.1, less than the -2.3 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 145 at the end of 2025-26) adds +0.3, more than its neighbours' -0.8; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -1.4. It returns 55% of last season's minutes, less than teams ranked near it (68%). The projection leans most on Biko Johnson (+1.1), Miles Klapper (+0.0) and Aidan Sevilla (-0.1); the newcomer who matters most is Titus Yearout, a newcomer from outside Division I, at -0.2. Its 80% range, -11.2 to +3.2, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 46% · Transfer 17% · Other newcomer 37%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 874 | Biko Johnson | G | 6-2 | 3 | Returning | Idaho | 28 | +1.6 | +1.1 |
| 1634 | Miles Klapper | G | 6-3 | 2 | Returning | Idaho | 16 | +0.0 | +0.0 |
| 1968 | Aidan Sevilla | G | 6-0 | 3 | Returning | Idaho | 9 | -0.5 | -0.1 |
| 2455 | Brady Kennison | F | 6-1 | 0 | Other newcomer | 6 | -1.2 | -0.2 | |
| 2474 | Titus Yearout | F | 6-2 | 3 | Other newcomer | 6 | -1.3 | -0.2 | |
| 2544 | Ryan Carney | F | 6-3 | 0 | Other newcomer | 6 | -1.4 | -0.2 | |
| 2544 | Zuby Toms | F | 6-3 | 0 | Other newcomer | 6 | -1.4 | -0.2 | |
| 2544 | Jalen Williams | F | 6-3 | 0 | Other newcomer | 6 | -1.4 | -0.2 | |
| 2633 | Dylynn Groves | F | 6-4 | 0 | Other newcomer | 6 | -1.4 | -0.2 | |
| 2674 | Hudson Ward | F | 6-7 | 2 | Transfer | Western Michigan | 16 | -0.9 | -0.4 |
| 2744 | Ewan Steele | F | 6-9 | 2 | Returning | Idaho | 10 | -1.2 | -0.3 |
| 2794 | Nolan Newman-Gomez | F | 6-6 | 0 | Other newcomer | 6 | -1.6 | -0.2 | |
| 2876 | Diego Trejo-Delgado | F | 6-7 | 0 | Other newcomer | 6 | -1.6 | -0.3 | |
| 2876 | Talon Jenkins | F | 6-7 | 0 | Other newcomer | 6 | -1.6 | -0.3 | |
| 2876 | TJ Wal | F | 6-7 | 0 | Other newcomer | 6 | -1.6 | -0.3 | |
| 3043 | Will Jenson | F | 6-9 | 0 | Other newcomer | 7 | -1.7 | -0.3 | |
| 3043 | Mo Diao | F | 6-9 | 0 | Other newcomer | 7 | -1.7 | -0.3 | |
| 4005 | Ryan Lafferty | G | 6-5 | 2 | Transfer | St. Thomas-Minnesota | 12 | -2.1 | -0.6 |
| 4495 | Seth Joba | F | 6-9 | 3 | Returning | Idaho | 17 | -2.3 | -1.0 |
| 4550 | Kase Wynott | G | 6-6 | 2 | Transfer | Washington State | 7 | -3.6 | -0.7 |
| 5129 | Kristian Gonzalez | G | 6-3 | 3 | Returning | Idaho | 11 | -5.1 | -1.4 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri Nov 06 | at |  Colorado State #67 | -14.5 | 12% | |
| Fri Nov 13 | vs |  Cal Poly #223 | +4.6 | 64% | |
| Wed Nov 18 | at |  Nevada #66 | -15.3 | 11% | |
| Fri Nov 20 | vs |  Cal State Bakersfield #328 | +8.6 | 76% | |
| Fri Nov 27 | at |  Washington State #162 | -9.5 | 22% | |
| Thu Dec 03 | at |  Northern Colorado #128 | conf | -6.2 | 31% |
| Sat Dec 05 | at |  Portland State #186 | conf | -5.2 | 34% |
| Tue Dec 08 | vs |  North Dakota State #225 | +4.3 | 64% | |
| Sat Dec 12 | at |  South Dakota State #213 | -6.7 | 29% | |
| Wed Dec 23 | at |  Arizona State #52 | -17.2 | 8% | |
| Thu Dec 31 | vs |  Utah Tech #275 | conf | +2.9 | 59% |
| Sat Jan 02 | vs |  Southern Utah #292 | conf | +3.8 | 62% |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs |  Northern Arizona #307 | conf | +4.1 | 63% |
| Thu Jan 14 | at |  Montana #222 | conf | -3.6 | 39% |
| Sat Jan 16 | at |  Montana State #138 | conf | -6.5 | 30% |
| Mon Jan 18 | at |  Weber State #233 | conf | -3.7 | 38% |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs |  Eastern Washington #146 | conf | -1.4 | 45% |
| Mon Jan 25 | vs |  Idaho State #261 | conf | +2.4 | 58% |
| Thu Jan 28 | vs | Portland State #186 | conf | +0.0 | 50% |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs | Northern Colorado #128 | conf | -2.4 | 42% |
| Thu Feb 04 | at | Southern Utah #292 | conf | -0.8 | 48% |
| Sat Feb 06 | at | Utah Tech #275 | conf | -1.6 | 45% |
| Thu Feb 11 | vs | Montana State #138 | conf | -1.7 | 44% |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | Montana #222 | conf | +1.1 | 54% |
| Thu Feb 18 | at | Northern Arizona #307 | conf | -0.5 | 48% |
| Mon Feb 22 | vs | Weber State #233 | conf | +1.7 | 55% |
| Sat Feb 27 | at | Eastern Washington #146 | conf | -6.5 | 30% |
| Mon Mar 01 | at | Idaho State #261 | conf | -1.9 | 44% |
Projected margin is from Idaho's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.