Teams › MAC · Compare Western Michigan with another team
Western Michigan
Western Michigan returns 30% of last season's minutes and rates #82 on offense and #306 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -6.3 to +8.3.
Why we have them here
Western Michigan's preseason projection of +0.9 (No. 151 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +2.3, more than the +0.7 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 299 at the end of 2025-26) adds -1.4, less than its neighbours' +0.1; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -0.3. It returns 30% of last season's minutes, less than teams ranked near it (52%). The projection leans most on Rob Lee Jr. (+2.8), Tanner Hayhurst (+2.0) and Jalen Griffith (+1.8); the newcomer who matters most is Rob Lee Jr., a transfer from Lamar, at +2.8. Its 80% range, -6.3 to +8.3, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 26% · Transfer 62% · Freshman 4% · Other newcomer 3%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 279 | Rob Lee Jr. | G | 6-2 | 1 | Transfer | Lamar | 25 | +4.4 | +2.8 |
| 503 | Tanner Hayhurst | G | 6-6 | 3 | Transfer | Southern Utah | 25 | +3.1 | +2.0 |
| 514 | Jalen Griffith | G | 5-10 | 3 | Returning | Western Michigan | 23 | +3.2 | +1.8 |
| 612 | Jaylen Washington | G | 5-10 | 2 | Transfer | UT Rio Grande Valley | 24 | +2.7 | +1.6 |
| 1090 | Augustinas Kiudulas | F | 6-8 | 3 | Transfer | Colorado State | 14 | +1.4 | +0.5 |
| 1722 | Adam Harakow | G | 6-7 | 3 | Transfer | Wyoming | 16 | -0.1 | +0.0 |
| 2036 | Jordan Sigmon | G | 5-11 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 9 | -0.6 | -0.1 |
| 2672 | Isaac Finlinson | F | 6-8 | 4 | Transfer | Hawai'i | 20 | -0.8 | -0.4 |
| 3601 | Camden Thompson | F | 6-5 | 0 | Other newcomer | 7 | -2.3 | -0.4 | |
| 3720 | Michael Sulaka | F | 6-9 | 2 | Returning | Western Michigan | 10 | -2.0 | -0.5 |
| 4171 | Declan Peterson | C | 6-11 | 1 | Returning | Western Michigan | 8 | -2.8 | -0.5 |
| 4190 | Nicholas Errica | G | 6-3 | 1 | Returning | Western Michigan | 4 | -3.8 | -0.4 |
| 4991 | Sharod Barnes | G | 6-2 | 1 | Returning | Western Michigan | 9 | -4.7 | -1.0 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | at |  Old Dominion #297 | -0.1 | 50% | |
| Sun Nov 08 | vs |  Campbell #224 | +7.8 | 74% | |
| Thu Nov 12 | at |  Purdue Fort Wayne #212 | -3.8 | 38% | |
| Sun Nov 15 | at |  Southern Indiana #315 | +1.5 | 55% | |
| Fri Nov 20 | at |  Mount St. Mary's #204 | -2.9 | 41% | |
| Wed Dec 02 | vs |  Buffalo #209 | conf | +4.0 | 63% |
| Sat Dec 05 | at |  Bowling Green #266 | conf | +1.4 | 54% |
| Wed Dec 09 | at |  Massachusetts #178 | conf | -1.6 | 45% |
| Sat Dec 12 | vs |  Toledo #173 | conf | +2.9 | 59% |
| Tue Dec 22 | at |  USC #35 | -16.0 | 10% | |
| Sat Jan 02 | at |  Akron #73 | conf | -8.7 | 24% |
| Tue Jan 05 | vs |  Eastern Michigan #244 | conf | +5.1 | 66% |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs |  Kent State #133 | conf | +1.3 | 54% |
| Tue Jan 12 | at |  Miami (OH) #96 | conf | -6.8 | 29% |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs |  Ball State #153 | conf | +2.1 | 57% |
| Tue Jan 19 | at |  Ohio #232 | conf | -0.4 | 49% |
| Sat Jan 23 | at |  Central Michigan #259 | conf | +0.6 | 52% |
| Tue Jan 26 | vs | Bowling Green #266 | conf | +6.2 | 69% |
| Sat Jan 30 | at | Eastern Michigan #244 | conf | +1.2 | 54% |
| Tue Feb 02 | vs | Akron #73 | conf | -3.5 | 39% |
| Tue Feb 09 | vs | Ohio #232 | conf | +5.0 | 66% |
| Sat Feb 13 | at | Toledo #173 | conf | -1.1 | 46% |
| Tue Feb 16 | at | Kent State #133 | conf | -2.7 | 42% |
| Sat Feb 20 | vs | Massachusetts #178 | conf | +3.3 | 60% |
| Tue Feb 23 | at | Ball State #153 | conf | -1.9 | 44% |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs | Central Michigan #259 | conf | +5.8 | 68% |
| Tue Mar 02 | vs | Miami (OH) #96 | conf | -1.6 | 45% |
| Fri Mar 05 | at | Buffalo #209 | conf | +1.4 | 54% |
Projected margin is from Western Michigan's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.