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Saint Joseph's
Saint Joseph's returns 55% of last season's minutes and rates #180 on offense and #91 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -5.0 to +9.9.
Why we have them here
Saint Joseph's's preseason projection of +2.5 (No. 129 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +0.1, less than the +1.6 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 144 at the end of 2025-26) adds +0.2, about its neighbours' +0.4; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +1.9. It returns 55% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (51%). The projection leans most on Jaiden Glover-Toscano (+2.6), Austin Williford (+0.9) and Logan Carey (+0.5); the newcomer who matters most is Logan Carey, a transfer from Maine, at +0.5. Its 80% range, -5.0 to +9.9, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 50% · Transfer 20% · Freshman 6% · Other newcomer 10%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 375 | Jaiden Glover-Toscano | G | 6-6 | 2 | Returning | Saint Joseph's | 28 | +3.6 | +2.6 |
| 979 | Austin Williford | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | Saint Joseph's | 26 | +1.3 | +0.9 |
| 1183 | Logan Carey | G | 6-3 | 3 | Transfer | Maine | 24 | +0.8 | +0.5 |
| 1287 | Khaafiq Myers | G | 5-10 | 1 | Returning | Saint Joseph's | 19 | +0.6 | +0.3 |
| 2433 | Sean Logan | F | 6-10 | 4 | Transfer | Davidson | 17 | -0.7 | -0.3 |
| 2939 | Owen Verna | F | 6-3 | 0 | Other newcomer | 10 | -1.4 | -0.3 | |
| 3137 | Billy Rayer | G | 5-11 | 2 | Returning | Saint Joseph's | 8 | -1.7 | -0.3 |
| 3491 | BJ Ranson | G | 6-3 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 11 | -1.6 | -0.5 |
| 3689 | Gavin Marrs | F | 7-0 | 3 | Other newcomer | 10 | -1.9 | -0.5 | |
| 3893 | Will Lange | G | 6-4 | 3 | Returning | Saint Joseph's | 8 | -2.3 | -0.5 |
| 3901 | Mekai Johnson | G | 6-5 | 2 | Returning | Saint Joseph's | 9 | -2.2 | -0.5 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed Nov 04 | vs | +8.5 | 75% | ||
| Sat Nov 07 | vs | +13.9 | 87% | ||
| Wed Nov 11 | N | -4.0 | 38% | ||
| Sat Nov 14 | vs | +6.5 | 70% | ||
| Tue Nov 17 | vs | +11.5 | 82% | ||
| Fri Nov 20 | at | -1.4 | 45% | ||
| Sat Nov 28 | at | -2.5 | 42% | ||
| Tue Dec 08 | vs | +9.0 | 77% | ||
| Wed Dec 16 | vs | +15.7 | 90% | ||
| Sat Dec 19 | vs | +19.4 | 94% | ||
| Tue Dec 22 | N | -2.9 | 41% | ||
| Wed Dec 30 | vs | conf | +3.3 | 61% | |
| Sat Jan 02 | at | conf | -3.5 | 39% | |
| Wed Jan 06 | at | conf | -2.3 | 43% | |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs | conf | +1.3 | 54% | |
| Wed Jan 13 | at | conf | -1.9 | 44% | |
| Mon Jan 18 | vs | conf | -5.0 | 34% | |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs | conf | -3.7 | 38% | |
| Wed Jan 27 | at | conf | -2.1 | 43% | |
| Sat Jan 30 | at | conf | -4.3 | 36% | |
| Sat Feb 06 | vs | conf | +5.6 | 68% | |
| Tue Feb 09 | vs | conf | +2.1 | 57% | |
| Fri Feb 12 | at | conf | -9.4 | 23% | |
| Tue Feb 16 | vs | conf | +4.0 | 63% | |
| Fri Feb 19 | at | conf | -7.4 | 27% | |
| Wed Feb 24 | at | conf | -1.3 | 46% | |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs | conf | +2.5 | 58% | |
| Wed Mar 03 | vs | conf | +2.9 | 59% | |
| Sat Mar 06 | at | conf | +0.3 | 51% |
Projected margin is from Saint Joseph's's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.