Roster Math

Teams › WCC · Compare Seattle U with another team

Seattle U

Seattle U returns 69% of last season's minutes and rates #187 on offense and #67 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -3.5 to +11.0.

+3.7
Rating · #111 of 365
-0.6
Offense · #187
+4.4
Defense · #67
-3.5 to +11.0
80% range
<1%
Chance of top 25
0%
Chance of No. 1
18-12
Projected record · 12 to 23 wins
9-7
Projected in WCC · 6 to 13 wins

Why we have them here

Seattle U's preseason projection of +3.7 (No. 111 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +2.2, about the +2.2 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 126 at the end of 2025-26) adds +0.1, about its neighbours' +0.5; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +1.1. It returns 69% of last season's minutes, more than teams ranked near it (59%). The projection leans most on Brayden Maldonado (+4.4), Tyler Boston (+1.7) and Will Heimbrodt (+0.8); the newcomer who matters most is Tyler Boston, a transfer from Holy Cross, at +1.7. Its 80% range, -3.5 to +11.0, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.

Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.

Roster

Returning 63% · Transfer 22% · Freshman 4% · Other newcomer 11%

Brayden Maldonado+4.4
Tyler Boston+1.7
Will Heimbrodt+0.8
Jojo Murphy+0.7
Eric Zheng-0.1
Ray Adams-0.1
Jeremiah Harshman-0.1
JT White-0.2
Kaden Hansen-0.2
Mason Williams-0.2
Yuto Kawashima-0.2
Jaden Bailes-0.3
Stratos Papastavrou-0.4
Junseok Yeo-0.4
Tomas Thrastarson-0.5
Miles Amos-0.7
RankPlayerPosHtD1 yrsGroupFromMPGRatingContrib.
103Brayden MaldonadoG6-02ReturningSeattle U28+6.3+4.4
611Tyler BostonG6-02TransferHoly Cross28+2.5+1.7
982Jojo MurphyG6-21ReturningSeattle U16+1.7+0.7
1005Will HeimbrodtF6-72ReturningSeattle U25+1.2+0.8
1979Ray AdamsF6-81ReturningSeattle U10-0.5-0.1
2171Eric ZhengF5-112Other newcomer4-1.1-0.1
2273Jeremiah HarshmanF6-10Other newcomer4-1.2-0.1
2410JT WhiteF6-40Other newcomer5-1.4-0.2
2475Kaden HansenF1Other newcomer5-1.4-0.2
2475Mason WilliamsF6-53Other newcomer5-1.4-0.2
2535Yuto KawashimaF6-91ReturningSeattle U7-1.2-0.2
2619Junseok YeoF6-83ReturningSeattle U25-0.7-0.4
2990Jaden BailesG6-20FreshmanHigh school7-1.6-0.3
3102Tomas ThrastarsonG6-72TransferWashington State17-1.1-0.5
3859Stratos PapastavrouF6-71ReturningSeattle U6-2.7-0.4
4597Miles AmosG6-21ReturningSeattle U9-3.4-0.7

A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.

Schedule

DateOpponentProj. marginWin prob.
Mon Nov 02atHawai'i #179-2.642%
Sat Nov 07vsPortland State #186+9.377%
Wed Nov 11vsUTSA #284+12.885%
Sat Nov 14vsIdaho State #261+11.482%
Tue Nov 17atCalifornia Baptist #157-3.340%
Sun Nov 22NUC San Diego #77-3.040%
Mon Nov 23NLoyola Chicago #166+2.558%
Sat Nov 28vsUC Irvine #105+5.868%
Tue Dec 01vsNorfolk State #300+13.386%
Sat Dec 05atSan José State #187-2.044%
Tue Dec 15vsAustin Peay #163+8.676%
Sat Dec 19atWashington State #162-4.336%
Tue Dec 22vsUC Davis #255+11.883%
Tue Dec 29vsIllinois #5-7.328%
Sat Jan 02vsLoyola Marymount #170conf+5.768%
Wed Jan 06vsPepperdine #249conf+8.275%
Sat Jan 09atDenver #240conf+3.561%
Wed Jan 13vsSan Francisco #189conf+6.169%
Sat Jan 16atPacific #175conf+1.354%
Wed Jan 20vsSan Diego #263conf+8.976%
Sat Jan 23vsPortland #339conf+12.584%
Wed Jan 27atLoyola Marymount #170conf+0.050%
Wed Feb 03atSanta Clara #63conf-7.328%
Sat Feb 06vsSaint Mary's #60conf-1.545%
Wed Feb 10atPepperdine #249conf+3.461%
Sat Feb 13atSan Diego #263conf+3.963%
Tue Feb 16vsSanta Clara #63conf-1.346%
Sat Feb 20vsDenver #240conf+8.074%
Wed Feb 24atSaint Mary's #60conf-7.627%
Sat Feb 27atSan Francisco #189conf+1.053%

Projected margin is from Seattle U's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.