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Omaha
Omaha returns 80% of last season's minutes and rates #252 on offense and #280 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -12.4 to +2.2.
Why we have them here
Omaha's preseason projection of -5.1 (No. 274 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -2.9, about the -2.9 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 294 at the end of 2025-26) adds -1.3, about its neighbours' -1.0; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -1.2. It returns 80% of last season's minutes, more than teams ranked near it (65%). The projection leans most on Paul Djobet (+1.8), Grant Stubblefield (+0.5) and Justin Bolis (+0.0); the newcomer who matters most is Justin Bolis, a transfer from Nebraska, at +0.0. Its 80% range, -12.4 to +2.2, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 65% · Transfer 7% · Freshman 9% · Other newcomer 19%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 546 | Paul Djobet | G | 6-7 | 3 | Returning | Omaha | 26 | +2.9 | +1.8 |
| 1161 | Grant Stubblefield | G | 6-1 | 3 | Returning | Omaha | 26 | +0.8 | +0.5 |
| 1672 | Justin Bolis | F | 6-8 | 1 | Transfer | Nebraska | 5 | +0.0 | +0.0 |
| 2713 | Marcus Gillespie | G | 6-4 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 10 | -1.2 | -0.3 |
| 2733 | Cahmai Crosby | G | 6-3 | 1 | Transfer | North Texas | 10 | -1.2 | -0.3 |
| 2822 | Valentino Simon | F | 6-6 | 1 | Returning | Omaha | 15 | -1.0 | -0.4 |
| 3053 | Rob Matos | F | 5-9 | 3 | Other newcomer | 7 | -1.8 | -0.3 | |
| 3510 | Jonny Jordan | G | 6-3 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 7 | -2.1 | -0.4 |
| 3574 | Christian Richardson | C | 7-1 | 2 | Returning | Omaha | 14 | -1.5 | -0.5 |
| 3628 | Brandon Orgilbold | G | 6-0 | 0 | Other newcomer | 7 | -2.2 | -0.4 | |
| 3856 | Deng Mayar | F | 6-7 | 3 | Other newcomer | 8 | -2.4 | -0.5 | |
| 3928 | Isaac Ondekane | F | 6-8 | 3 | Other newcomer | 8 | -2.4 | -0.5 | |
| 3928 | Benji Nelson | F | 6-8 | 0 | Other newcomer | 8 | -2.4 | -0.5 | |
| 4578 | Brock Scholl | F | 6-8 | 1 | Returning | Omaha | 13 | -2.7 | -0.9 |
| 4680 | Aidan Skradis | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | Omaha | 6 | -4.3 | -0.7 |
| 4729 | Kamryn Thomas | F | 6-8 | 2 | Returning | Omaha | 18 | -2.6 | -1.1 |
| 5003 | Khamani Cooper | G | 6-4 | 2 | Returning | Omaha | 13 | -3.9 | -1.3 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri Nov 06 | at | -24.4 | 2% | ||
| Sat Nov 07 | at | -20.5 | 5% | ||
| Fri Nov 13 | vs | +4.7 | 65% | ||
| Tue Nov 17 | vs | +3.9 | 62% | ||
| Wed Nov 25 | N | -0.7 | 48% | ||
| Thu Nov 26 | N | -3.1 | 40% | ||
| Fri Nov 27 | N | -2.2 | 43% | ||
| Sat Dec 05 | at | -6.4 | 30% | ||
| Tue Dec 08 | at | -23.4 | 3% | ||
| Tue Dec 15 | vs | +2.2 | 57% | ||
| Sun Dec 20 | N | -5.3 | 34% | ||
| Tue Dec 29 | at | -13.4 | 14% | ||
| Thu Jan 07 | vs | conf | +3.7 | 62% | |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs | conf | +0.3 | 51% | |
| Sat Jan 16 | at | conf | -7.8 | 26% | |
| Thu Jan 21 | at | conf | +0.4 | 51% | |
| Sat Jan 23 | at | conf | +0.3 | 51% | |
| Thu Jan 28 | vs | conf | +4.5 | 64% | |
| Sun Jan 31 | vs | conf | +0.0 | 50% | |
| Thu Feb 04 | at | conf | -3.8 | 38% | |
| Sat Feb 06 | at | conf | -0.8 | 48% | |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | conf | -3.2 | 40% | |
| Thu Feb 18 | vs | conf | +4.4 | 64% | |
| Sun Feb 21 | vs | conf | +5.2 | 66% | |
| Thu Feb 25 | at | conf | -4.4 | 36% | |
| Sat Feb 27 | at | conf | -0.8 | 48% |
Projected margin is from Omaha's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.