Teams › Sun Belt · Compare Louisiana with another team
Louisiana
Louisiana returns 70% of last season's minutes and rates #319 on offense and #247 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -13.7 to +0.8.
Why we have them here
Louisiana's preseason projection of -6.5 (No. 294 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -2.8, more than the -3.7 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 324 at the end of 2025-26) adds -2.2, less than its neighbours' -1.1; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -1.8. It returns 70% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (68%). The projection leans most on Dani Pounds (+1.5), De'Vion Lavergne (+0.2) and Trent Middleton Jr. (+0.2); the newcomer who matters most is Dani Pounds, a transfer from Tennessee Tech, at +1.5. Its 80% range, -13.7 to +0.8, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 62% · Transfer 21% · Freshman 9% · Other newcomer 8%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 558 | Dani Pounds | F | 6-8 | 3 | Transfer | Tennessee Tech | 18 | +3.4 | +1.5 |
| 1395 | De'Vion Lavergne | G | 6-3 | 1 | Returning | Louisiana | 25 | +0.3 | +0.2 |
| 1403 | Trent Middleton Jr. | G | 6-3 | 3 | Transfer | North Carolina A&T | 25 | +0.3 | +0.2 |
| 1746 | Tyshawn Duncan | C | 6-8 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 7 | -0.2 | +0.0 |
| 2222 | Isaiah Wilks | G | 5-9 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 11 | -0.7 | -0.2 |
| 2849 | Todd Jones Jr. | F | 6-9 | 2 | Returning | Louisiana | 16 | -1.0 | -0.4 |
| 3537 | Christian Landry | G | 6-5 | 2 | Returning | Louisiana | 3 | -3.2 | -0.3 |
| 3756 | Logan Myers | G | 6-3 | 1 | Returning | Louisiana | 3 | -3.7 | -0.3 |
| 3811 | Jeremiah Evans | F | 6-10 | 2 | Returning | Louisiana | 10 | -2.0 | -0.5 |
| 3829 | Dariyus Woodson | F | 6-7 | 2 | Returning | Louisiana | 16 | -1.6 | -0.7 |
| 3835 | Michael Mouton | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | Louisiana | 3 | -3.5 | -0.3 |
| 4109 | Sean Elkinton | F | 6-8 | 2 | Other newcomer | 8 | -2.7 | -0.5 | |
| 4109 | Rahman Olajuwon | F | 6-8 | 0 | Other newcomer | 8 | -2.7 | -0.5 | |
| 4297 | Kyran Ratliff | F | 6-8 | 3 | Returning | Louisiana | 8 | -3.0 | -0.6 |
| 4454 | Mike Collins | G | 6-1 | 1 | Returning | Louisiana | 8 | -3.2 | -0.7 |
| 4786 | Karris Bilal | G | 1 | Returning | Louisiana | 15 | -3.0 | -1.1 | |
| 4975 | Jamyron Keller | G | 6-3 | 3 | Returning | Louisiana | 16 | -3.4 | -1.4 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | vs |  Akron #73 | -5.2 | 34% | |
| Fri Nov 06 | vs |  Texas A&M-Corpus Christi #145 | -0.1 | 50% | |
| Sat Nov 14 | at |  UNC Wilmington #101 | -12.1 | 16% | |
| Wed Nov 18 | at |  San Francisco #189 | -8.5 | 24% | |
| Sun Nov 22 | at |  USC #35 | -20.2 | 5% | |
| Sat Nov 28 | vs |  McNeese #80 | -4.4 | 36% | |
| Wed Dec 02 | vs |  Houston Christian #273 | +3.9 | 63% | |
| Sun Dec 06 | at |  Tulane #250 | -7.3 | 27% | |
| Sat Dec 12 | at |  Oral Roberts #323 | -3.5 | 39% | |
| Wed Dec 16 | vs |  UL Monroe #359 | conf | +7.3 | 72% |
| Sat Dec 19 | vs |  Marshall #247 | conf | +0.2 | 51% |
| Tue Dec 22 | at |  LSU #39 | -18.6 | 6% | |
| Thu Dec 31 | at |  Georgia Southern #298 | conf | -2.1 | 43% |
| Sat Jan 02 | at |  Georgia State #260 | conf | -3.9 | 38% |
| Thu Jan 07 | vs |  Old Dominion #297 | conf | +2.1 | 57% |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs |  James Madison #147 | conf | -2.9 | 41% |
| Sat Jan 16 | at |  Coastal Carolina #301 | conf | -1.6 | 45% |
| Thu Jan 21 | vs |  South Alabama #228 | conf | -0.4 | 49% |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs |  Troy #155 | conf | -2.7 | 41% |
| Wed Jan 27 | at |  Arkansas State #134 | conf | -8.7 | 24% |
| Sat Jan 30 | at |  Southern Miss #214 | conf | -5.3 | 33% |
| Wed Feb 03 | vs |  Louisiana Tech #269 | +3.8 | 62% | |
| Wed Feb 10 | at | Troy #155 | conf | -7.6 | 27% |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | Southern Miss #214 | conf | -0.8 | 47% |
| Wed Feb 17 | vs | Arkansas State #134 | conf | -3.8 | 38% |
| Sat Feb 20 | at | South Alabama #228 | conf | -4.2 | 36% |
| Wed Feb 24 | at | Louisiana Tech #269 | -5.8 | 32% | |
| Fri Feb 26 | at | UL Monroe #359 | conf | +2.9 | 59% |
Projected margin is from Louisiana's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.