Teams › Big 12 · Compare Colorado with another team
Colorado
Colorado returns 43% of last season's minutes and rates #103 on offense and #65 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: +0.4 to +14.9.
Why we have them here
Colorado's preseason projection of +7.7 (No. 85 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +4.3, about the +3.9 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 93 at the end of 2025-26) adds +1.1, about its neighbours' +1.2; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +1.9. It returns 43% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (41%). The projection leans most on Justin Neely (+4.7), Barrington Hargress (+4.4) and Noah Feddersen (+1.0); the newcomer who matters most is Justin Neely, a transfer from UNC Greensboro, at +4.7. Its 80% range, +0.4 to +14.9, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 43% · Transfer 38% · Freshman 6% · Other newcomer 13%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | Justin Neely | F | 6-6 | 5 | Transfer | UNC Greensboro | 28 | +6.7 | +4.7 |
| 107 | Barrington Hargress | G | 6-1 | 3 | Returning | Colorado | 28 | +6.1 | +4.4 |
| 854 | Noah Feddersen | F | 6-10 | 3 | Transfer | North Dakota State | 20 | +2.0 | +1.0 |
| 1142 | Elijah Malone | C | 6-10 | 2 | Returning | Colorado | 13 | +1.2 | +0.4 |
| 1573 | Rider Portela | F | 6-6 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 11 | +0.1 | +0.0 |
| 1684 | Ian Inman | G | 6-6 | 1 | Returning | Colorado | 11 | +0.0 | +0.0 |
| 2151 | Iaroslav Niagu | F | 7-0 | 4 | Transfer | Jacksonville State | 17 | -0.5 | -0.2 |
| 2213 | Nick Randall | F | 6-8 | 2 | Returning | Colorado | 4 | -1.1 | -0.1 |
| 2220 | Amir Jones | F | 6-3 | 0 | Other newcomer | 4 | -1.1 | -0.1 | |
| 2277 | Alex Dickeson | F | 6-4 | 0 | Other newcomer | 4 | -1.2 | -0.1 | |
| 2321 | Luke Mirhashemi | F | 6-5 | 0 | Other newcomer | 4 | -1.3 | -0.1 | |
| 2410 | Chase Hill | F | 6-7 | 0 | Other newcomer | 4 | -1.4 | -0.2 | |
| 2441 | Josiah Sanders | G | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | Colorado | 15 | -0.8 | -0.3 |
| 2475 | Goc Malual | F | 6-8 | 0 | Other newcomer | 5 | -1.5 | -0.2 | |
| 2490 | Jalin Holland | G | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | Colorado | 15 | -0.8 | -0.3 |
| 2697 | Eric Jacobsen | F | 6-11 | 0 | Other newcomer | 5 | -1.6 | -0.2 | |
| 3988 | David Gomez | F | 6-9 | 1 | Transfer | Charlotte | 11 | -2.1 | -0.6 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | vs |  Abilene Christian #192 | +13.4 | 86% | |
| Sat Nov 07 | N |  San Diego State #81 | -0.1 | 50% | |
| Tue Nov 10 | vs |  San Diego #263 | +16.1 | 90% | |
| Sat Nov 14 | at |  Providence #49 | -10.1 | 21% | |
| Wed Nov 18 | vs |  Portland #339 | +19.7 | 94% | |
| Tue Nov 24 | N |  Stanford #69 | -0.9 | 47% | |
| Wed Nov 25 | N |  Saint Louis #56 | -2.5 | 42% | |
| Tue Dec 01 | vs |  UTEP #237 | +14.7 | 88% | |
| Sat Dec 05 | vs |  Colorado State #67 | +5.5 | 67% | |
| Sat Dec 12 | vs |  Central Arkansas #181 | +13.3 | 86% | |
| Tue Dec 15 | vs |  Cal Poly #223 | +15.5 | 89% | |
| Sat Dec 19 | N |  Purdue #38 | -4.0 | 37% | |
| Tue Dec 22 | vs |  North Dakota #310 | +17.9 | 93% | |
| Tue Dec 29 | vs |  Denver #240 | +15.0 | 89% | |
| Sat Jan 02 | at |  Oklahoma State #91 | conf | -2.5 | 42% |
| Tue Jan 05 | vs |  Iowa State #9 | conf | -6.0 | 31% |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs |  West Virginia #48 | conf | +0.7 | 52% |
| Wed Jan 13 | at |  Kansas #10 | conf | -14.8 | 12% |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs |  Houston #8 | conf | -6.0 | 31% |
| Tue Jan 19 | at |  UCF #70 | conf | -4.2 | 37% |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs |  Cincinnati #42 | conf | +0.1 | 50% |
| Wed Jan 27 | at |  Baylor #37 | conf | -8.6 | 24% |
| Sat Jan 30 | at |  TCU #51 | conf | -6.8 | 29% |
| Tue Feb 02 | vs |  Texas Tech #15 | conf | -4.6 | 35% |
| Sat Feb 06 | at |  Kansas State #99 | conf | -0.9 | 47% |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | Baylor #37 | conf | -0.4 | 49% |
| Wed Feb 17 | vs |  BYU #23 | conf | -3.5 | 39% |
| Sat Feb 20 | at |  Utah #72 | conf | -5.2 | 34% |
| Wed Feb 24 | at | Houston #8 | conf | -14.6 | 12% |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs |  Arizona State #52 | conf | +1.0 | 53% |
| Wed Mar 03 | at |  Arizona #3 | conf | -16.5 | 9% |
| Sat Mar 06 | vs | Utah #72 | conf | +3.0 | 60% |
Projected margin is from Colorado's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.