Teams › SEC · Compare Oklahoma with another team
Oklahoma
Oklahoma returns 34% of last season's minutes and rates #27 on offense and #51 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: +7.8 to +22.6.
Why we have them here
Oklahoma's preseason projection of +15.1 (No. 30 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +10.5, more than the +9.1 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 49 at the end of 2025-26) adds +2.5, about its neighbours' +2.8; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +4.2. A stretch at the top of the scale adds +0.8, because a straight-line calibration shrinks elite teams. It returns 34% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (33%). The projection leans most on Duke Brennan (+5.7), B.J. Edwards (+4.5) and Xzayvier Brown (+2.8); the newcomer who matters most is Duke Brennan, a transfer from Villanova, at +5.7. Its 80% range, +7.8 to +22.6, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 32% · Transfer 58% · Freshman 8% · Other newcomer 2%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Duke Brennan | F | 6-10 | 4 | Transfer | Villanova | 26 | +8.7 | +5.7 |
| 77 | B.J. Edwards | G | 6-3 | 4 | Transfer | SMU | 25 | +7.1 | +4.5 |
| 282 | Xzayvier Brown | G | 6-2 | 3 | Returning | Oklahoma | 25 | +4.4 | +2.8 |
| 298 | Tyler Hendricks | G | 6-6 | 3 | Transfer | Utah Valley | 23 | +4.5 | +2.6 |
| 427 | Khani Rooths | F | 6-10 | 2 | Transfer | Louisville | 15 | +4.6 | +1.7 |
| 549 | Pop Isaacs | G | 6-2 | 4 | Transfer | Texas A&M | 17 | +3.5 | +1.5 |
| 733 | Derrion Reid | F | 6-8 | 2 | Returning | Oklahoma | 20 | +2.4 | +1.2 |
| 1083 | Dayton Forsythe | G | 6-2 | 2 | Returning | Oklahoma | 12 | +1.5 | +0.5 |
| 1409 | Quincy Wadley | G | 6-4 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 8 | +0.6 | +0.1 |
| 1439 | Kai Rogers | F | 6-10 | 1 | Returning | Oklahoma | 7 | +0.5 | +0.1 |
| 1504 | Gage Mayfield | F | 6-7 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 8 | +0.3 | +0.1 |
| 1834 | Ben Moser | F | 6-3 | 0 | Other newcomer | 2 | -0.6 | +0.0 | |
| 1943 | Finley Keeffe | F | 6-7 | 0 | Other newcomer | 3 | -0.8 | -0.1 | |
| 2368 | Yaak Yaak | C | 6-11 | 3 | Transfer | Oregon State | 9 | -0.9 | -0.2 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | vs |  East Texas A&M #319 | +23.0 | 97% | |
| Fri Nov 06 | vs |  Mississippi Valley State #365 | +34.8 | >99% | |
| Mon Nov 09 | vs |  North Alabama #332 | +22.6 | 97% | |
| Fri Nov 13 | vs |  Fairleigh Dickinson #334 | +22.3 | 97% | |
| Wed Nov 18 | vs |  Campbell #224 | +19.3 | 94% | |
| Tue Nov 24 | N |  Pittsburgh #68 | +3.8 | 62% | |
| Thu Nov 26 | N |  Purdue #38 | +1.0 | 53% | |
| Tue Dec 01 | vs |  Syracuse #71 | +11.0 | 81% | |
| Sat Dec 05 | N |  Arizona State #52 | +2.3 | 57% | |
| Mon Dec 07 | vs |  Alabama State #340 | +24.1 | 97% | |
| Sat Dec 12 | N |  Oklahoma State #91 | +6.1 | 69% | |
| Thu Dec 17 | vs |  Jackson State #355 | +26.7 | 98% | |
| Tue Dec 22 | at |  SMU #53 | -3.9 | 38% | |
| Mon Dec 28 | vs |  UL Monroe #359 | +27.6 | 99% | |
| Sat Jan 02 | vs |  Kentucky #22 | conf | +1.4 | 55% |
| Wed Jan 06 | at |  Florida #1 | conf | -14.8 | 12% |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs |  Mississippi State #78 | conf | +8.7 | 76% |
| Tue Jan 12 | at |  Georgia #32 | conf | -3.5 | 39% |
| Sat Jan 16 | at |  Texas #20 | conf | -5.7 | 32% |
| Tue Jan 19 | vs |  Missouri #43 | conf | +4.9 | 66% |
| Sat Jan 23 | at |  Alabama #17 | conf | -6.9 | 29% |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs |  South Carolina #98 | conf | +10.1 | 79% |
| Tue Feb 02 | at |  Texas A&M #31 | conf | -3.2 | 40% |
| Sat Feb 06 | at |  Auburn #16 | conf | -6.7 | 29% |
| Wed Feb 10 | vs |  Tennessee #13 | conf | -0.1 | 50% |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs |  LSU #39 | conf | +4.7 | 65% |
| Tue Feb 16 | at | Missouri #43 | conf | -1.5 | 45% |
| Sat Feb 20 | vs | Texas #20 | conf | +1.3 | 54% |
| Wed Feb 24 | vs | Georgia #32 | conf | +4.0 | 63% |
| Sat Feb 27 | at |  Ole Miss #61 | conf | +1.1 | 54% |
| Wed Mar 03 | vs |  Vanderbilt #26 | conf | +3.0 | 60% |
| Sat Mar 06 | at |  Arkansas #25 | conf | -5.2 | 34% |
Projected margin is from Oklahoma's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.