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Davidson
Davidson returns 63% of last season's minutes and rates #142 on offense and #127 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -5.0 to +9.6.
Why we have them here
Davidson's preseason projection of +2.2 (No. 132 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +1.0, about the +1.1 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 136 at the end of 2025-26) adds +0.4, about its neighbours' +0.3; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +0.5. It returns 63% of last season's minutes, more than teams ranked near it (53%). The projection leans most on Nick Janowski (+1.6), Josh Scovens (+1.5) and Hunter Adam (+0.7); the newcomer who matters most is Nick Janowski, a transfer from St. Thomas-Minnesota, at +1.6. Its 80% range, -5.0 to +9.6, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 63% · Transfer 20% · Other newcomer 4%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 631 | Josh Scovens | G | 6-6 | 3 | Returning | Davidson | 23 | +2.7 | +1.5 |
| 676 | Nick Janowski | G | 6-4 | 1 | Transfer | St. Thomas-Minnesota | 28 | +2.2 | +1.6 |
| 987 | Hunter Adam | G | 6-7 | 3 | Returning | Davidson | 18 | +1.6 | +0.7 |
| 1120 | Sam Brown | G | 6-3 | 3 | Returning | Davidson | 22 | +1.0 | +0.5 |
| 1242 | Nick Coval | G | 6-2 | 1 | Returning | Davidson | 19 | +0.7 | +0.4 |
| 1529 | Jackson Keith | F | 6-5 | 1 | Transfer | Butler | 12 | +0.2 | +0.1 |
| 1647 | Ian Platteeuw | G | 7-0 | 1 | Returning | Davidson | 16 | +0.0 | +0.0 |
| 3388 | Quadri Bashiru | F | 6-10 | 0 | Other newcomer | 9 | -1.8 | -0.4 | |
| 3452 | John Nowland | F | 6-8 | 1 | Returning | Davidson | 7 | -2.0 | -0.4 |
| 3565 | Phillip Kavu | G | 6-2 | 1 | Returning | Davidson | 7 | -2.1 | -0.4 |
| 3971 | JaQualon Roberts | F | 6-8 | 3 | Returning | Davidson | 13 | -1.9 | -0.6 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | at |  Washington State #162 | -5.1 | 34% | |
| Sat Nov 07 | vs |  Mercer #231 | +9.1 | 77% | |
| Tue Nov 10 | vs |  Bradley #194 | +7.9 | 74% | |
| Sat Nov 14 | vs |  Howard #196 | +7.9 | 74% | |
| Tue Nov 17 | vs |  Charlotte #131 | +5.1 | 66% | |
| Mon Nov 23 | N |  Northern Iowa #88 | -2.8 | 41% | |
| Wed Nov 25 | N |  Tulane #250 | +4.0 | 63% | |
| Sun Nov 29 | at |  Florida Atlantic #122 | -6.6 | 30% | |
| Wed Dec 02 | vs |  Dartmouth #290 | +11.1 | 82% | |
| Sun Dec 06 | at |  Charleston #141 | -4.6 | 36% | |
| Wed Dec 09 | vs |  Campbell #224 | +8.8 | 76% | |
| Sat Dec 12 | vs |  South Carolina Upstate #268 | +10.2 | 80% | |
| Fri Dec 18 | N |  Drake #104 | -1.4 | 45% | |
| Tue Dec 22 | vs |  UT Martin #271 | +9.8 | 79% | |
| Wed Dec 30 | at |  Duquesne #156 | conf | -1.5 | 45% |
| Sat Jan 02 | vs |  Dayton #74 | conf | -2.1 | 43% |
| Wed Jan 06 | at |  VCU #44 | conf | -10.2 | 20% |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs |  Richmond #136 | conf | +2.6 | 58% |
| Sat Jan 16 | at |  Loyola Chicago #166 | conf | -1.2 | 46% |
| Wed Jan 20 | vs |  Fordham #125 | conf | +1.9 | 56% |
| Sat Jan 23 | at |  La Salle #218 | conf | +0.1 | 50% |
| Wed Jan 27 | vs |  Saint Joseph's #129 | conf | +2.1 | 57% |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs | Loyola Chicago #166 | conf | +3.7 | 62% |
| Wed Feb 03 | at | Richmond #136 | conf | -2.3 | 43% |
| Sun Feb 07 | at |  Rhode Island #148 | conf | -2.5 | 42% |
| Wed Feb 10 | vs |  St. Bonaventure #126 | conf | +2.0 | 56% |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs |  George Mason #107 | conf | +1.0 | 53% |
| Tue Feb 16 | at |  Saint Louis #56 | conf | -9.2 | 23% |
| Wed Feb 24 | vs |  George Washington #119 | conf | +1.8 | 56% |
| Sat Feb 27 | at | Saint Joseph's #129 | conf | -2.5 | 42% |
| Wed Mar 03 | at | Fordham #125 | conf | -2.0 | 44% |
| Sat Mar 06 | vs | Duquesne #156 | conf | +3.4 | 61% |
Projected margin is from Davidson's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.