Teams › CAA · Compare Northeastern with another team
Northeastern
Northeastern returns 75% of last season's minutes and rates #243 on offense and #328 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -13.8 to +0.8.
Why we have them here
Northeastern's preseason projection of -6.6 (No. 296 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -4.7, less than the -3.7 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 279 at the end of 2025-26) adds -1.1, about its neighbours' -1.1; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -1.1. It returns 75% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (68%). The projection leans most on Ryan Williams (+0.3), Mike Loughnane (+0.1) and Dorian Grosber (-0.5); the newcomer who matters most is Dorian Grosber, a newcomer from outside Division I, at -0.5. Its 80% range, -13.8 to +0.8, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 75% · Transfer 11% · Freshman 5% · Other newcomer 4%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1299 | Ryan Williams | G | 6-4 | 2 | Returning | Northeastern | 17 | +0.6 | +0.3 |
| 1520 | Mike Loughnane | G | 6-4 | 3 | Returning | Northeastern | 27 | +0.2 | +0.1 |
| 3310 | Xavier Abreu | G | 6-3 | 1 | Returning | Northeastern | 20 | -1.1 | -0.6 |
| 3679 | Miles Newton | G | 6-3 | 1 | Returning | Northeastern | 15 | -1.6 | -0.6 |
| 3873 | Dorian Grosber | F | 6-7 | 0 | Other newcomer | 8 | -2.3 | -0.5 | |
| 4024 | Liam Koelsch | C | 6-9 | 1 | Returning | Northeastern | 11 | -2.1 | -0.6 |
| 4123 | Josh Goodwin | G | 6-5 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 9 | -2.5 | -0.6 |
| 4249 | Louis Bond | G | 6-5 | 1 | Transfer | Idaho State | 14 | -2.2 | -0.8 |
| 4401 | Luca Soroa Schaller | G | 6-7 | 2 | Returning | Northeastern | 19 | -2.0 | -1.0 |
| 4657 | Ty Francis | F | 6-7 | 1 | Returning | Northeastern | 17 | -2.6 | -1.1 |
| 4719 | Haris Elezovic | F | 6-8 | 2 | Returning | Northeastern | 10 | -3.4 | -0.9 |
| 4745 | Brayden Young | F | 6-9 | 1 | Transfer | Loyola Chicago | 7 | -4.2 | -0.7 |
| 5108 | Petar Pinter | C | 6-11 | 1 | Returning | Northeastern | 13 | -4.5 | -1.5 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | at |  Boston University #230 | -8.0 | 26% | |
| Fri Nov 06 | at |  Virginia #19 | -25.0 | 2% | |
| Tue Nov 10 | vs |  Harvard #123 | -1.6 | 45% | |
| Fri Nov 13 | vs |  Yale #95 | -3.9 | 38% | |
| Thu Nov 19 | at |  Butler #86 | -16.0 | 10% | |
| Sat Nov 21 | at |  Stonehill #354 | -1.1 | 46% | |
| Wed Nov 25 | vs |  Massachusetts #178 | +0.8 | 52% | |
| Fri Nov 27 | at |  Northwestern #79 | -16.4 | 9% | |
| Wed Dec 02 | vs |  Holy Cross #352 | +8.7 | 76% | |
| Sun Dec 06 | vs |  Princeton #164 | +0.2 | 51% | |
| Wed Dec 09 | at |  Boston College #114 | -12.8 | 15% | |
| Sun Dec 13 | at |  Vermont #202 | -8.9 | 23% | |
| Sat Dec 19 | vs |  Rhode Island #148 | -0.4 | 49% | |
| Tue Dec 22 | at |  California #115 | -12.9 | 15% | |
| Thu Dec 31 | at |  Charleston #141 | conf | -7.9 | 26% |
| Sat Jan 02 | at |  UNC Wilmington #101 | conf | -10.1 | 21% |
| Thu Jan 07 | vs |  William & Mary #168 | conf | -2.9 | 41% |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs |  Hampton #288 | conf | +1.3 | 54% |
| Thu Jan 14 | at |  Drexel #254 | conf | -4.5 | 36% |
| Mon Jan 18 | vs |  Monmouth #216 | conf | -1.3 | 46% |
| Thu Jan 21 | at |  Hofstra #124 | conf | -9.1 | 23% |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs |  Stony Brook #283 | conf | +1.2 | 54% |
| Thu Jan 28 | at |  Elon #198 | conf | -5.4 | 33% |
| Sat Jan 30 | at | William & Mary #168 | conf | -8.0 | 26% |
| Thu Feb 04 | vs | Drexel #254 | conf | -0.1 | 50% |
| Sat Feb 06 | vs |  North Carolina A&T #285 | conf | +1.3 | 54% |
| Thu Feb 11 | vs | Hofstra #124 | conf | -4.7 | 35% |
| Sat Feb 13 | at |  Towson #193 | conf | -6.6 | 30% |
| Thu Feb 18 | vs |  Campbell #224 | conf | -1.0 | 47% |
| Sat Feb 20 | vs | Charleston #141 | conf | -4.0 | 37% |
| Thu Feb 25 | at | Monmouth #216 | conf | -5.7 | 32% |
| Tue Mar 02 | at | Stony Brook #283 | conf | -3.2 | 40% |
Projected margin is from Northeastern's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.