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Lindenwood
Lindenwood returns 68% of last season's minutes and rates #296 on offense and #207 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -11.5 to +3.0.
Why we have them here
Lindenwood's preseason projection of -4.3 (No. 258 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -2.2, about the -2.7 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 205 at the end of 2025-26) adds -0.5, about its neighbours' -0.8; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -1.9. It returns 68% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (68%). The projection leans most on Anias Futrell (+3.0), Xavier Spencer (+1.0) and Jeremiah Talton (+0.1); the newcomer who matters most is Xavier Spencer, a transfer from UMass Lowell, at +1.0. Its 80% range, -11.5 to +3.0, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 64% · Transfer 23% · Other newcomer 13%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 262 | Anias Futrell | G | 6-5 | 2 | Returning | Lindenwood | 28 | +4.4 | +3.0 |
| 952 | Xavier Spencer | G | 6-1 | 1 | Transfer | UMass Lowell | 29 | +1.4 | +1.0 |
| 1419 | Jeremiah Talton | F | 6-6 | 3 | Returning | Lindenwood | 13 | +0.4 | +0.1 |
| 3162 | Miles White | F | 6-3 | 2 | Other newcomer | 8 | -1.7 | -0.3 | |
| 3165 | William Campbell | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | Lindenwood | 8 | -1.7 | -0.3 |
| 3188 | Daniel Kwon | F | 6-4 | 0 | Other newcomer | 8 | -1.7 | -0.3 | |
| 3203 | Kellen Robinson | F | 6-3 | 0 | Other newcomer | 9 | -1.7 | -0.4 | |
| 3549 | Tidiane d'Almeida | G | 6-1 | 1 | Returning | Lindenwood | 9 | -1.9 | -0.4 |
| 3883 | Todd Bieg | F | 6-6 | 1 | Returning | Lindenwood | 8 | -2.3 | -0.5 |
| 4010 | Jaylon McDaniel | F | 6-7 | 3 | Returning | Lindenwood | 9 | -2.4 | -0.5 |
| 4211 | Makhan Diouf | F | 6-11 | 1 | Transfer | Fresno State | 7 | -2.9 | -0.5 |
| 4346 | Kevin Anthony | C | 6-10 | 1 | Returning | Lindenwood | 9 | -2.9 | -0.7 |
| 4552 | Clayton Jackson | G | 6-2 | 2 | Returning | Lindenwood | 21 | -2.2 | -1.1 |
| 4962 | Mekhi Cooper | G | 6-0 | 3 | Returning | Lindenwood | 23 | -2.8 | -1.6 |
| 5189 | Matar Diop | F | 6-10 | 3 | Transfer | Stetson | 11 | -6.1 | -1.6 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | at | -19.1 | 6% | ||
| Wed Nov 11 | at | -24.6 | 2% | ||
| Fri Nov 13 | at | -4.7 | 35% | ||
| Tue Nov 17 | at | -13.3 | 14% | ||
| Tue Nov 24 | N | +3.0 | 60% | ||
| Wed Nov 25 | at | -4.9 | 35% | ||
| Mon Nov 30 | at | -6.9 | 29% | ||
| Sat Dec 05 | vs | +6.4 | 70% | ||
| Sat Dec 12 | vs | +9.4 | 78% | ||
| Sat Dec 19 | at | -2.2 | 43% | ||
| Mon Dec 21 | at | -13.6 | 14% | ||
| Wed Dec 30 | at | conf | -3.6 | 39% | |
| Sat Jan 02 | vs | conf | +3.1 | 60% | |
| Thu Jan 07 | at | conf | +1.1 | 53% | |
| Sat Jan 09 | at | conf | -2.5 | 42% | |
| Thu Jan 14 | vs | conf | +1.2 | 54% | |
| Sat Jan 16 | at | conf | +0.6 | 52% | |
| Thu Jan 21 | vs | conf | -1.1 | 46% | |
| Thu Jan 28 | vs | conf | +2.8 | 59% | |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs | conf | +5.6 | 67% | |
| Thu Feb 04 | at | conf | -6.4 | 31% | |
| Sat Feb 06 | at | conf | -1.4 | 46% | |
| Thu Feb 11 | at | conf | +7.1 | 72% | |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | conf | +5.2 | 66% | |
| Wed Feb 17 | at | conf | -4.0 | 38% | |
| Sat Feb 20 | vs | conf | +1.9 | 56% | |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs | conf | +11.2 | 82% |
Projected margin is from Lindenwood's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.