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Robert Morris
Robert Morris returns 67% of last season's minutes and rates #130 on offense and #107 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -3.6 to +11.0.
Why we have them here
Robert Morris's preseason projection of +3.6 (No. 113 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +2.3, about the +2.0 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 139 at the end of 2025-26) adds +0.5, about its neighbours' +0.5; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +0.5. It returns 67% of last season's minutes, more than teams ranked near it (59%). The projection leans most on Ace Valentine (+2.7), KC Ugwuakazi (+1.6) and Nikolaos Chitikoudis (+1.6); the newcomer who matters most is Ace Valentine, a transfer from UMBC, at +2.7. Its 80% range, -3.6 to +11.0, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 65% · Transfer 31% · Other newcomer 5%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 329 | Ace Valentine | G | 6-3 | 3 | Transfer | UMBC | 27 | +4.0 | +2.7 |
| 508 | KC Ugwuakazi | F | 6-8 | 3 | Transfer | Merrimack | 18 | +3.7 | +1.6 |
| 637 | KJ Garris | G | 6-5 | 1 | Transfer | Cal State Fullerton | 17 | +3.1 | +1.3 |
| 651 | Nikolaos Chitikoudis | F | 6-9 | 3 | Returning | Robert Morris | 24 | +2.6 | +1.6 |
| 1331 | Albert Vargas | G | 5-10 | 1 | Returning | Robert Morris | 20 | +0.5 | +0.3 |
| 1467 | Eddie Cooke III | F | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | Robert Morris | 9 | +0.4 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | Darius Livingston | G | 6-2 | 1 | Returning | Robert Morris | 20 | -0.4 | -0.2 |
| 2385 | Josh Hill | F | 6-11 | 2 | Returning | Robert Morris | 13 | -0.8 | -0.3 |
| 2490 | Jalik Dunkley-Distant | F | 1 | Other newcomer | 5 | -1.5 | -0.2 | ||
| 2544 | Jeremiah Littlejohn | G | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | Robert Morris | 5 | -1.5 | -0.2 |
| 2559 | Vasilije Serafimoski | F | 6-6 | 3 | Other newcomer | 5 | -1.5 | -0.2 | |
| 3020 | Ubong Okon | C | 7-1 | 3 | Returning | Robert Morris | 6 | -1.9 | -0.3 |
| 3882 | Samuel Obenjo | F | 6-10 | 1 | Returning | Robert Morris | 8 | -2.4 | -0.5 |
| 4114 | Cam Wilds | G | 6-6 | 1 | Returning | Robert Morris | 10 | -2.4 | -0.6 |
| 4268 | Ta'Zir Smith | G | 6-3 | 1 | Returning | Robert Morris | 15 | -2.1 | -0.8 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | at |  Nevada #66 | -9.9 | 21% | |
| Fri Nov 06 | at |  UIC #120 | -4.4 | 36% | |
| Wed Nov 11 | at |  Arkansas #25 | -16.5 | 9% | |
| Thu Nov 19 | at |  Toledo #173 | -2.2 | 43% | |
| Sun Nov 22 | N |  New Mexico State #137 | +1.3 | 54% | |
| Tue Nov 24 | N |  Lamar #238 | +4.7 | 65% | |
| Sat Nov 28 | at |  Northern Iowa #88 | -7.3 | 27% | |
| Wed Dec 02 | at |  IU Indianapolis #279 | conf | +4.0 | 62% |
| Sat Dec 05 | vs |  Youngstown State #215 | conf | +6.2 | 70% |
| Wed Dec 09 | N |  Duquesne #156 | +2.1 | 57% | |
| Sun Dec 13 | vs |  Monmouth #216 | +9.3 | 78% | |
| Sun Dec 20 | vs |  Vermont #202 | +8.7 | 76% | |
| Wed Dec 23 | vs |  Ohio #232 | +10.2 | 80% | |
| Wed Dec 30 | at |  Purdue Fort Wayne #212 | conf | +1.2 | 54% |
| Sun Jan 03 | vs |  Northern Illinois #333 | conf | +11.1 | 82% |
| Wed Jan 06 | vs |  Detroit Mercy #312 | conf | +10.1 | 79% |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs |  Oakland #159 | conf | +4.5 | 64% |
| Thu Jan 14 | at |  Wright State #165 | conf | +0.0 | 50% |
| Sun Jan 17 | at |  Cleveland State #207 | conf | +1.2 | 54% |
| Wed Jan 20 | vs | Purdue Fort Wayne #212 | conf | +6.3 | 70% |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs | IU Indianapolis #279 | conf | +9.3 | 77% |
| Wed Jan 27 | at |  Milwaukee #242 | conf | +2.2 | 57% |
| Sat Jan 30 | at |  Green Bay #281 | conf | +3.6 | 62% |
| Thu Feb 04 | vs | Cleveland State #207 | conf | +6.2 | 69% |
| Sun Feb 07 | at | Youngstown State #215 | conf | +1.4 | 55% |
| Thu Feb 11 | at | Detroit Mercy #312 | conf | +5.6 | 68% |
| Sat Feb 13 | at | Oakland #159 | conf | +0.0 | 50% |
| Thu Feb 18 | vs |  Northern Kentucky #270 | conf | +8.5 | 75% |
| Sun Feb 21 | at | Northern Illinois #333 | conf | +6.9 | 71% |
| Wed Feb 24 | vs | Milwaukee #242 | conf | +7.2 | 72% |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs | Green Bay #281 | conf | +8.2 | 75% |
Projected margin is from Robert Morris's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.