Teams › SEC · Compare Missouri with another team
Missouri
Missouri returns 33% of last season's minutes and rates #35 on offense and #72 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: +5.7 to +20.4.
Why we have them here
Missouri's preseason projection of +13.1 (No. 43 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +8.7, about the +8.1 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 64 at the end of 2025-26) adds +1.8, about its neighbours' +2.5; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +1.8. A stretch at the top of the scale adds +0.5, because a straight-line calibration shrinks elite teams. It returns 33% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (33%). The projection leans most on Mark Mitchell Jr. (+5.6), Jason Crowe Jr. (+4.6) and Jamier Jones (+2.0); the newcomer who matters most is Jason Crowe Jr., a freshman, recruit No. 7, at +4.6. Its 80% range, +5.7 to +20.4, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 32% · Transfer 48% · Freshman 19% · Other newcomer 1%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | Mark Mitchell Jr. | G | 6-9 | 4 | Returning | Missouri | 28 | +7.9 | +5.6 |
| 52 | Jason Crowe Jr. | G | 6-3 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 22 | +8.5 | +4.6 |
| 354 | Jamier Jones | F | 6-6 | 1 | Transfer | Providence | 16 | +5.0 | +2.0 |
| 389 | Trent Pierce | G | 6-10 | 3 | Returning | Missouri | 17 | +4.6 | +1.9 |
| 487 | Jaylen Carey | F | 6-8 | 3 | Transfer | Tennessee | 13 | +4.4 | +1.5 |
| 765 | Bryson Tiller | F | 6-11 | 1 | Transfer | Kansas | 16 | +2.6 | +1.0 |
| 953 | Kennard Davis Jr. | F | 6-6 | 3 | Transfer | BYU | 17 | +1.8 | +0.8 |
| 1021 | Toni Bryant | F | 6-9 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 12 | +1.7 | +0.5 |
| 1258 | Luke Northweather | F | 6-11 | 3 | Returning | Missouri | 7 | +1.2 | +0.2 |
| 1806 | Aidan Chronister | F | 6-7 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 5 | -0.4 | +0.0 |
| 1858 | Aaron Rowe | F | 6-2 | 0 | Other newcomer | 2 | -0.8 | +0.0 | |
| 1919 | Cord Stansberry | G | 6-4 | 3 | Transfer | Western Carolina | 16 | -0.3 | -0.1 |
| 2118 | Trent Burns | C | 7-5 | 1 | Returning | Missouri | 4 | -0.9 | -0.1 |
| 2801 | Annor Boateng | G | 6-6 | 2 | Returning | Missouri | 5 | -1.8 | -0.2 |
| 3056 | Nicholas Randall | G | 6-9 | 1 | Returning | Missouri | 3 | -2.7 | -0.2 |
| 3153 | Jordan Crawford | G | 6-3 | 3 | Transfer | South Dakota | 17 | -1.2 | -0.5 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue Nov 03 | vs |  Cleveland State #207 | +16.5 | 91% | |
| Fri Nov 06 | N |  Saint Louis #56 | +1.4 | 55% | |
| Mon Nov 09 | vs |  SIU Edwardsville #234 | +16.7 | 91% | |
| Sun Nov 15 | N |  Marquette #47 | +0.4 | 51% | |
| Wed Nov 18 | vs |  Alcorn State #358 | +24.3 | 98% | |
| Fri Nov 20 | vs |  Le Moyne #217 | +16.7 | 91% | |
| Tue Nov 24 | vs |  Evansville #317 | +20.1 | 95% | |
| Fri Nov 27 | vs |  Arkansas-Pine Bluff #349 | +23.7 | 97% | |
| Tue Dec 01 | vs |  Pittsburgh #68 | +8.1 | 75% | |
| Sun Dec 06 | N |  Kansas #10 | -5.9 | 32% | |
| Sat Dec 12 | N |  Nebraska #12 | -5.1 | 34% | |
| Fri Dec 18 | at |  Indiana #55 | -5.7 | 32% | |
| Sun Dec 20 | N |  Illinois #5 | -6.8 | 29% | |
| Tue Dec 22 | vs |  Chicago State #337 | +20.9 | 96% | |
| Sat Jan 02 | at |  Arkansas #25 | conf | -6.7 | 30% |
| Tue Jan 05 | vs |  Texas A&M #31 | conf | +1.7 | 56% |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs |  Kentucky #22 | conf | -0.6 | 48% |
| Wed Jan 13 | at |  Tennessee #13 | conf | -8.8 | 24% |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs |  South Carolina #98 | conf | +8.0 | 74% |
| Tue Jan 19 | at |  Oklahoma #30 | conf | -4.9 | 34% |
| Sat Jan 23 | at |  Vanderbilt #26 | conf | -5.3 | 33% |
| Tue Jan 26 | vs |  Alabama #17 | conf | -1.4 | 45% |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs |  Ole Miss #61 | conf | +4.9 | 65% |
| Wed Feb 03 | at |  Mississippi State #78 | conf | +0.9 | 53% |
| Sat Feb 06 | vs | Tennessee #13 | conf | -2.1 | 43% |
| Sat Feb 13 | at |  Florida #1 | conf | -16.1 | 10% |
| Tue Feb 16 | vs | Oklahoma #30 | conf | +1.5 | 55% |
| Sat Feb 20 | at |  Auburn #16 | conf | -8.1 | 26% |
| Tue Feb 23 | vs | Arkansas #25 | conf | -0.1 | 50% |
| Sat Feb 27 | at |  Georgia #32 | conf | -5.0 | 35% |
| Tue Mar 02 | at |  Texas #20 | conf | -7.1 | 28% |
| Sat Mar 06 | vs |  LSU #39 | conf | +2.6 | 58% |
Projected margin is from Missouri's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.