Roster Math

Teams › ASUN · Compare Queens University with another team

Queens University

Queens University returns 89% of last season's minutes and rates #105 on offense and #245 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -5.9 to +8.7.

+1.5
Rating · #142 of 365
+3.1
Offense · #105
-1.6
Defense · #245
-5.9 to +8.7
80% range
<1%
Chance of top 25
0%
Chance of No. 1
17-15
Projected record · 12 to 23 wins
9-5
Projected in ASUN · 6 to 12 wins

Why we have them here

Queens University's preseason projection of +1.5 (No. 142 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +0.7, about the +1.0 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 195 at the end of 2025-26) adds +0.2, about its neighbours' +0.1; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +0.3. It returns 89% of last season's minutes, more than teams ranked near it (51%). The projection leans most on Jordan Watford (+3.3), Yoav Berman (+1.7) and Avantae Parker (+0.5); the newcomer who matters most is Rickey Ballard, a transfer from Grambling, at +0.5. Its 80% range, -5.9 to +8.7, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.

Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.

Roster

Returning 68% · Transfer 11% · Other newcomer 21%

Jordan Watford+3.3
Yoav Berman+1.7
Avantae Parker+0.5
Rickey Ballard+0.5
Nasir Mann+0.2
Seamus Wilson-0.3
Colby Christiansen-0.3
Matthew Walter-0.3
Saif-Allah Zatari-0.3
Danzelle Bullock Coles-0.4
Jacob Brandly-0.4
Tyler Crider-0.4
Reid Celestin-0.6
Isaiah Henry-0.8
Kam Clark-0.9
RankPlayerPosHtD1 yrsGroupFromMPGRatingContrib.
171Jordan WatfordG6-51ReturningQueens University23+5.7+3.3
632Yoav BermanG6-62ReturningQueens University27+2.4+1.7
1140Avantae ParkerF6-93ReturningQueens University21+1.0+0.5
1181Rickey BallardF6-74TransferGrambling22+0.8+0.5
1444Nasir MannF6-53ReturningQueens University26+0.2+0.2
2849Seamus WilsonF6-00Other newcomer8-1.4-0.3
3016Colby ChristiansenF6-20Other newcomer8-1.6-0.3
3108Matthew WalterF6-30Other newcomer8-1.6-0.3
3108Saif-Allah ZatariF6-30Other newcomer8-1.6-0.3
3310Danzelle Bullock ColesF6-50Other newcomer9-1.7-0.4
3645Jacob BrandlyG6-61ReturningQueens University6-2.4-0.4
3856Tyler CriderG6-01ReturningQueens University6-2.6-0.4
4409Reid CelestinG6-61ReturningQueens University7-3.5-0.6
4557Isaiah HenryG6-41ReturningQueens University10-3.1-0.8
4802Kam ClarkF6-71ReturningQueens University9-3.8-0.9

A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.

Schedule

DateOpponentProj. marginWin prob.
Mon Nov 02NWinthrop #177+1.555%
Wed Nov 04atLoyola Marymount #170-4.835%
Fri Nov 06atOklahoma State #91-10.520%
Tue Nov 10atBYU #23-20.55%
Sat Nov 14vsWofford #306+11.883%
Sat Nov 21atLSU #39-14.512%
Tue Nov 24atWofford #306+1.254%
Sun Nov 29atHouston #8-21.94%
Wed Dec 02vsCoastal Carolina #301+11.883%
Sat Dec 05atGardner-Webb #361+6.871%
Tue Dec 08atColorado State #67-11.418%
Wed Dec 09atBaylor #37-16.210%
Mon Dec 14atSacred Heart #272-1.446%
Wed Dec 16vsUNC Asheville #245+9.277%
Sat Dec 19atNorth Alabama #332+1.655%
Mon Dec 21atWest Georgia #295+0.652%
Thu Dec 31vsAustin Peay #163+6.971%
Sat Jan 02vsEastern Kentucky #264+10.480%
Sat Jan 09atWest Florida #304conf+3.260%
Thu Jan 14vsJacksonville #253conf+6.370%
Sat Jan 16vsNorth Florida #321conf+10.179%
Thu Jan 21atStetson #311conf+3.962%
Sat Jan 23atFlorida Gulf Coast #299conf+3.962%
Thu Jan 28vsBellarmine #305conf+8.475%
Sat Jan 30vsLipscomb #118conf+1.555%
Sat Feb 06vsWest Florida #304conf+8.676%
Thu Feb 11atNorth Florida #321conf+5.166%
Sat Feb 13atJacksonville #253conf+0.652%
Thu Feb 18vsFlorida Gulf Coast #299conf+8.475%
Sat Feb 20vsStetson #311conf+9.077%
Thu Feb 25atLipscomb #118conf-4.137%
Sat Feb 27atBellarmine #305conf+3.360%

Projected margin is from Queens University's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.