Teams › Patriot · Compare Colgate with another team
Colgate
Colgate returns 100% of last season's minutes and rates #199 on offense and #213 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -8.9 to +5.9.
Why we have them here
Colgate's preseason projection of -1.6 (No. 197 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -1.3, about the -1.0 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 204 at the end of 2025-26) adds -0.2, about its neighbours' -0.2; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -0.4. It returns 100% of last season's minutes, more than teams ranked near it (66%). The projection leans most on Andrew Alekseyenko (+2.5), Sam Wright (+0.9) and Josh Ahayere (+0.0); the newcomer who matters most is Blake Forrest, a newcomer from outside Division I, at -0.3. Its 80% range, -8.9 to +5.9, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 85% · Other newcomer 15%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 397 | Andrew Alekseyenko | F | 6-8 | 1 | Returning | Colgate | 28 | +3.6 | +2.5 |
| 962 | Sam Wright | F | 6-9 | 3 | Returning | Colgate | 26 | +1.4 | +0.9 |
| 1725 | Josh Ahayere | G | 6-3 | 2 | Returning | Colgate | 24 | -0.1 | +0.0 |
| 2891 | Ben Tweedy | G | 6-4 | 2 | Returning | Colgate | 27 | -0.8 | -0.5 |
| 2957 | Blake Forrest | F | 5-11 | 2 | Other newcomer | 9 | -1.4 | -0.3 | |
| 3325 | Jonathan Niv | G | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | Colgate | 9 | -1.7 | -0.4 |
| 3565 | Stevie Clark | F | 6-6 | 2 | Other newcomer | 10 | -1.8 | -0.5 | |
| 3659 | Parker Jones | F | 6-7 | 3 | Other newcomer | 10 | -1.9 | -0.5 | |
| 3713 | Ayomi Odetoyinbo | F | 6-10 | 1 | Returning | Colgate | 15 | -1.6 | -0.6 |
| 3720 | Charlie Pugh | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | Colgate | 9 | -2.1 | -0.5 |
| 4472 | Cameron Brennan | F | 7-0 | 2 | Returning | Colgate | 9 | -3.1 | -0.7 |
| 4585 | Ethan Brown | F | 6-10 | 1 | Returning | Colgate | 11 | -3.0 | -0.8 |
| 4931 | Cooper Wright | F | 6-5 | 3 | Returning | Colgate | 14 | -3.4 | -1.2 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | at |  Washington #92 | -11.4 | 18% | |
| Sat Nov 07 | at |  Drexel #254 | -4.1 | 37% | |
| Wed Nov 11 | at |  St. John's #21 | -20.6 | 5% | |
| Sun Nov 15 | at |  Delaware #325 | +0.9 | 53% | |
| Fri Nov 27 | at |  Hofstra #124 | -8.6 | 24% | |
| Sat Nov 28 | N |  Vermont #202 | +0.1 | 50% | |
| Sun Nov 29 | N |  Merrimack #176 | -0.7 | 48% | |
| Sat Dec 05 | vs |  Cornell #109 | +1.9 | 56% | |
| Tue Dec 08 | at |  Syracuse #71 | -13.9 | 13% | |
| Sat Dec 12 | at |  Iona #282 | -2.9 | 41% | |
| Sun Dec 20 | vs |  Siena #208 | +5.6 | 68% | |
| Tue Dec 22 | at |  Clemson #46 | -15.4 | 10% | |
| Wed Dec 30 | at |  Bucknell #313 | conf | +2.7 | 59% |
| Sat Jan 02 | at |  Lafayette #342 | conf | +4.4 | 64% |
| Wed Jan 06 | vs |  American University #188 | conf | +2.1 | 57% |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs |  Army #314 | conf | +6.9 | 71% |
| Wed Jan 13 | at |  Navy #174 | conf | -3.2 | 40% |
| Sat Jan 16 | at |  Holy Cross #352 | conf | +5.4 | 67% |
| Mon Jan 18 | vs |  Boston University #230 | conf | +3.4 | 61% |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs | Bucknell #313 | conf | +6.8 | 71% |
| Mon Jan 25 | at |  Lehigh #256 | conf | -0.2 | 49% |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs | Navy #174 | conf | +1.6 | 55% |
| Wed Feb 03 | at |  Loyola Maryland #344 | conf | +5.3 | 66% |
| Sat Feb 06 | vs | Lafayette #342 | conf | +8.2 | 75% |
| Wed Feb 10 | at | Boston University #230 | conf | -1.5 | 45% |
| Sat Feb 13 | at | Army #314 | conf | +3.5 | 61% |
| Wed Feb 17 | vs | Holy Cross #352 | conf | +9.6 | 78% |
| Sun Feb 21 | at | American University #188 | conf | -3.0 | 40% |
| Wed Feb 24 | vs | Lehigh #256 | conf | +4.4 | 64% |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs | Loyola Maryland #344 | conf | +8.9 | 76% |
Projected margin is from Colgate's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.