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West Georgia
West Georgia returns 96% of last season's minutes and rates #312 on offense and #258 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -13.9 to +0.8.
Why we have them here
West Georgia's preseason projection of -6.6 (No. 295 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -2.7, more than the -3.7 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 303 at the end of 2025-26) adds -1.7, about its neighbours' -1.1; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -2.5. It returns 96% of last season's minutes, more than teams ranked near it (68%). The projection leans most on Shelton Williams-Dryden (+2.8), JaVar Daniel (+1.1) and Kenneth Chime (+0.1); the newcomer who matters most is Amir Williams, a transfer from Hofstra, at -0.1. Its 80% range, -13.9 to +0.8, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 87% · Transfer 4% · Other newcomer 9%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 327 | Shelton Williams-Dryden | F | 6-6 | 2 | Returning | West Georgia | 29 | +3.9 | +2.8 |
| 788 | JaVar Daniel | F | 6-10 | 3 | Returning | West Georgia | 20 | +2.2 | +1.1 |
| 1482 | Kenneth Chime | F | 6-9 | 1 | Returning | West Georgia | 19 | +0.2 | +0.1 |
| 2002 | Amir Williams | G | 6-4 | 1 | Transfer | Hofstra | 8 | -0.5 | -0.1 |
| 3327 | Chas Lewless | G | 6-2 | 2 | Returning | West Georgia | 20 | -1.1 | -0.6 |
| 3422 | Eric Baldassarre | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | West Georgia | 7 | -2.0 | -0.4 |
| 3964 | Max Young | G | 6-3 | 1 | Returning | West Georgia | 6 | -2.9 | -0.4 |
| 4048 | Cameron Merritt | G | 5-11 | 2 | Returning | West Georgia | 6 | -2.9 | -0.5 |
| 4093 | Micah Smith | F | 6-7 | 2 | Other newcomer | 9 | -2.5 | -0.6 | |
| 4093 | Maddox Fowles | F | 6-7 | 0 | Other newcomer | 9 | -2.5 | -0.6 | |
| 4241 | Nate Jones | G | 6-2 | 3 | Returning | West Georgia | 5 | -3.5 | -0.5 |
| 4522 | Brady Hardewig | G | 6-2 | 2 | Returning | West Georgia | 15 | -2.5 | -0.9 |
| 4858 | Matija Žužic | G | 6-6 | 2 | Returning | West Georgia | 13 | -3.4 | -1.1 |
| 5024 | Xavier Shegog | F | 6-6 | 1 | Returning | West Georgia | 9 | -4.8 | -1.1 |
| 5223 | Kolten Griffin | F | 6-6 | 2 | Returning | West Georgia | 24 | -4.7 | -2.7 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | at | -14.3 | 12% | ||
| Thu Nov 05 | at | -10.4 | 20% | ||
| Wed Nov 11 | vs | +2.9 | 59% | ||
| Sat Nov 14 | at | -6.7 | 30% | ||
| Tue Nov 24 | at | -6.0 | 32% | ||
| Sun Nov 29 | at | -6.5 | 30% | ||
| Tue Dec 01 | vs | +6.0 | 69% | ||
| Sat Dec 12 | at | -22.8 | 3% | ||
| Wed Dec 16 | at | -23.2 | 3% | ||
| Sat Dec 19 | vs | +5.3 | 67% | ||
| Mon Dec 21 | vs | -0.6 | 48% | ||
| Thu Dec 31 | at | -13.1 | 15% | ||
| Sat Jan 02 | at | -5.3 | 33% | ||
| Wed Jan 06 | vs | conf | +3.6 | 62% | |
| Sat Jan 09 | at | conf | -3.8 | 38% | |
| Wed Jan 13 | at | conf | -0.7 | 48% | |
| Sat Jan 16 | at | conf | -7.2 | 28% | |
| Wed Jan 20 | vs | conf | -1.3 | 46% | |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs | conf | -1.7 | 44% | |
| Wed Jan 27 | at | conf | -4.7 | 35% | |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs | conf | +0.6 | 52% | |
| Wed Feb 03 | at | conf | -0.8 | 47% | |
| Wed Feb 10 | vs | conf | +3.2 | 60% | |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | conf | -3.0 | 41% | |
| Wed Feb 17 | at | conf | -5.6 | 33% | |
| Sat Feb 20 | at | conf | -6.1 | 31% | |
| Wed Feb 24 | at | conf | -7.9 | 26% | |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs | conf | -2.3 | 43% | |
| Wed Mar 03 | vs | conf | +0.3 | 51% |
Projected margin is from West Georgia's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.