Teams › MEAC · Compare Morgan State with another team
Morgan State
Morgan State returns 95% of last season's minutes and rates #332 on offense and #352 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -19.0 to -4.2.
Why we have them here
Morgan State's preseason projection of -11.6 (No. 348 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -5.8, about the -6.4 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 349 at the end of 2025-26) adds -2.8, about its neighbours' -2.6; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -3.3. It returns 95% of last season's minutes, more than teams ranked near it (77%). The projection leans most on Alfred Worrell Jr. (+1.4), Elijah Davis (-0.5) and Ibrahima Traore (-0.6); the newcomer who matters most is Ibrahima Traore, a transfer from Utah, at -0.6. Its 80% range, -19.0 to -4.2, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 95% · Transfer 5%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 748 | Alfred Worrell Jr. | G | 6-4 | 2 | Returning | Morgan State | 27 | +2.0 | +1.4 |
| 2757 | Elijah Davis | G | 6-1 | 2 | Returning | Morgan State | 29 | -0.7 | -0.5 |
| 4174 | Ibrahima Traore | F | 6-9 | 1 | Transfer | Utah | 10 | -2.5 | -0.6 |
| 4199 | Eugene Alvin | F | 6-7 | 1 | Returning | Morgan State | 20 | -1.8 | -0.9 |
| 4395 | Christian Oliver | C | 6-10 | 3 | Returning | Morgan State | 16 | -2.2 | -0.9 |
| 4409 | Marland Harris | F | 6-9 | 2 | Returning | Morgan State | 16 | -2.2 | -0.9 |
| 4648 | Jayden Socka | F | 6-9 | 1 | Returning | Morgan State | 7 | -3.9 | -0.7 |
| 4907 | Breon Barnett | G | 6-1 | 1 | Returning | Morgan State | 7 | -4.8 | -0.8 |
| 5019 | Matar Wade | F | 6-8 | 2 | Returning | Morgan State | 10 | -4.5 | -1.1 |
| 5030 | Trent Edwards | F | 6-8 | 3 | Returning | Morgan State | 14 | -3.8 | -1.4 |
| 5074 | Christian Meeks | G | 6-6 | 1 | Returning | Morgan State | 24 | -3.1 | -1.9 |
| 5139 | David Bumpass | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | Morgan State | 11 | -5.3 | -1.4 |
| 5158 | Manok Lual | F | 6-9 | 2 | Returning | Morgan State | 9 | -5.9 | -1.4 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Nov 07 | at |  Niagara #329 | -6.4 | 30% | |
| Thu Nov 12 | at |  UMBC #180 | -11.9 | 17% | |
| Sat Nov 14 | at |  Towson #193 | -13.1 | 14% | |
| Wed Nov 18 | at |  North Carolina A&T #285 | -9.4 | 23% | |
| Sat Nov 21 | vs |  Cornell #109 | -4.8 | 35% | |
| Tue Nov 24 | vs |  Mount St. Mary's #204 | -0.5 | 48% | |
| Sat Nov 28 | vs |  Manhattan #309 | +3.5 | 61% | |
| Sat Dec 05 | vs |  Mercyhurst #239 | +0.8 | 52% | |
| Tue Dec 08 | at |  George Mason #107 | -16.9 | 8% | |
| Tue Dec 15 | at |  Maryland #64 | -21.6 | 4% | |
| Sat Dec 19 | at |  Longwood #195 | -12.9 | 15% | |
| Tue Dec 22 | at |  VCU #44 | -24.1 | 3% | |
| Tue Dec 29 | at |  Auburn #16 | -29.2 | <1% | |
| Sat Jan 02 | vs |  Maryland Eastern Shore #356 | conf | +4.2 | 63% |
| Sat Jan 09 | at |  South Carolina State #360 | conf | -0.9 | 47% |
| Mon Jan 11 | at |  North Carolina Central #353 | conf | -2.5 | 42% |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs |  Delaware State #363 | conf | +6.9 | 71% |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs |  Howard #196 | conf | -3.9 | 38% |
| Mon Jan 25 | vs |  Norfolk State #300 | conf | -0.2 | 49% |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs |  Coppin State #364 | conf | +7.3 | 72% |
| Sat Feb 06 | at | Maryland Eastern Shore #356 | conf | -2.0 | 44% |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | South Carolina State #360 | conf | +5.3 | 66% |
| Mon Feb 15 | vs | North Carolina Central #353 | conf | +3.8 | 62% |
| Sat Feb 20 | at | Delaware State #363 | conf | +1.3 | 54% |
| Sat Feb 27 | at | Howard #196 | conf | -8.9 | 24% |
| Mon Mar 01 | at | Norfolk State #300 | conf | -7.0 | 29% |
| Thu Mar 04 | at | Coppin State #364 | conf | +1.4 | 54% |
Projected margin is from Morgan State's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.