Teams › ACC · Compare Pittsburgh with another team
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh returns 14% of last season's minutes and rates #80 on offense and #60 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: +2.1 to +16.6.
Why we have them here
Pittsburgh's preseason projection of +9.3 (No. 68 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +4.8, about the +5.2 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 132 at the end of 2025-26) adds +0.5, less than its neighbours' +1.4; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +3.4. It returns 14% of last season's minutes, less than teams ranked near it (32%). The projection leans most on Naithan George (+3.1), Baye Ndongo (+2.8) and Armani Mighty (+2.6); the newcomer who matters most is Naithan George, a transfer from Syracuse, at +3.1. Its 80% range, +2.1 to +16.6, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 7% · Transfer 79% · Freshman 8% · Other newcomer 7%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 223 | Naithan George | G | 6-3 | 3 | Transfer | Syracuse | 24 | +5.1 | +3.1 |
| 231 | Baye Ndongo | F | 6-9 | 3 | Transfer | Georgia Tech | 20 | +5.4 | +2.8 |
| 290 | Armani Mighty | C | 6-10 | 4 | Transfer | Mercer | 23 | +4.6 | +2.6 |
| 566 | A'lahn Sumler | G | 6-4 | 4 | Transfer | Charleston Southern | 23 | +3.0 | +1.7 |
| 769 | Timofei Rudovskii | F | 6-9 | 1 | Transfer | Bryant | 24 | +2.1 | +1.2 |
| 959 | Jalil Bethea | G | 6-5 | 2 | Transfer | Alabama | 7 | +2.7 | +0.5 |
| 1072 | Jonathan Powell | G | 6-6 | 2 | Transfer | North Carolina | 12 | +1.6 | +0.5 |
| 1190 | Chase Foster | F | 6-8 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 9 | +1.2 | +0.3 |
| 1283 | Dominique Diomande | F | 6-7 | 1 | Transfer | BYU | 6 | +1.1 | +0.2 |
| 1579 | Papa Amadou Kante | F | 6-10 | 2 | Returning | Pittsburgh | 8 | +0.1 | +0.0 |
| 2128 | Macari Moore | G | 6-3 | 1 | Returning | Pittsburgh | 5 | -0.9 | -0.1 |
| 2141 | Ibrahim Souare | F | 6-9 | 2 | Transfer | Syracuse | 6 | -0.8 | -0.1 |
| 2233 | Jermal Jones | G | 6-3 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 6 | -1.0 | -0.1 |
| 2296 | Benjamin Mayhew | F | 6-4 | 0 | Other newcomer | 3 | -1.4 | -0.1 | |
| 2416 | Jajuan Nelson | F | 6-7 | 0 | Other newcomer | 3 | -1.6 | -0.1 | |
| 2416 | Henry Lau | F | 6-7 | 0 | Other newcomer | 3 | -1.6 | -0.1 | |
| 2595 | Amdy Ndiaye | F | 6-10 | 2 | Other newcomer | 4 | -1.8 | -0.2 | |
| 5248 | Colin Hawkins | G | 6-3 | 2 | Transfer | Gardner-Webb | 12 | -8.4 | -2.6 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | vs |  Rider #351 | +19.4 | 95% | |
| Thu Nov 05 | vs |  Buffalo #209 | +13.0 | 86% | |
| Sun Nov 08 | N |  Penn State #89 | +1.7 | 55% | |
| Fri Nov 13 | at |  Butler #86 | -4.2 | 37% | |
| Tue Nov 17 | vs |  Villanova #24 | +0.4 | 51% | |
| Fri Nov 20 | vs |  Central Michigan #259 | +14.8 | 89% | |
| Tue Nov 24 | N |  Oklahoma #30 | -3.8 | 38% | |
| Thu Nov 26 | N |  DePaul #97 | +2.1 | 57% | |
| Tue Dec 01 | at |  Missouri #43 | -8.1 | 25% | |
| Sat Dec 05 | vs |  Tarleton State #257 | +15.3 | 89% | |
| Wed Dec 09 | N |  West Virginia #48 | -1.8 | 44% | |
| Tue Dec 15 | vs |  Drexel #254 | +14.0 | 88% | |
| Fri Dec 18 | vs |  Georgia State #260 | +15.0 | 89% | |
| Mon Dec 21 | vs |  Cleveland State #207 | +13.4 | 86% | |
| Sat Jan 02 | vs |  Miami #18 | conf | -3.4 | 39% |
| Wed Jan 06 | at |  NC State #36 | conf | -6.1 | 31% |
| Sat Jan 09 | at |  Duke #2 | conf | -14.3 | 12% |
| Tue Jan 12 | vs |  Syracuse #71 | conf | +3.1 | 60% |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs |  Clemson #46 | conf | +0.6 | 52% |
| Wed Jan 20 | at |  Notre Dame #75 | conf | -1.9 | 44% |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs |  Boston College #114 | conf | +6.7 | 71% |
| Wed Jan 27 | vs |  Virginia Tech #45 | conf | +0.6 | 52% |
| Sat Jan 30 | at |  Florida State #90 | conf | -1.1 | 46% |
| Tue Feb 02 | at |  Louisville #7 | conf | -11.3 | 18% |
| Tue Feb 09 | vs |  Virginia #19 | conf | -3.3 | 39% |
| Sat Feb 13 | at |  Wake Forest #76 | conf | -2.4 | 42% |
| Wed Feb 17 | vs |  California #115 | conf | +6.9 | 71% |
| Sat Feb 20 | vs |  Georgia Tech #140 | conf | +8.3 | 75% |
| Tue Feb 23 | at | Syracuse #71 | conf | -3.0 | 40% |
| Sat Feb 27 | at | Miami #18 | conf | -9.2 | 22% |
| Tue Mar 02 | vs |  North Carolina #54 | conf | +1.4 | 55% |
| Sat Mar 06 | at |  SMU #53 | conf | -4.6 | 35% |
Projected margin is from Pittsburgh's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.