Teams › Patriot · Compare Holy Cross with another team
Holy Cross
Holy Cross returns 83% of last season's minutes and rates #343 on offense and #355 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -19.6 to -5.1.
Why we have them here
Holy Cross's preseason projection of -12.3 (No. 352 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -7.3, about the -6.9 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 332 at the end of 2025-26) adds -2.2, about its neighbours' -2.8; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -3.2. It returns 83% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (79%). The projection leans most on Joe Nugent (+0.2), Jaelon Germany (-0.5) and Ethan Clark (-0.6); the newcomer who matters most is Jaelon Germany, a freshman, recruit No. 327, at -0.5. Its 80% range, -19.6 to -5.1, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 83% · Freshman 5% · Other newcomer 5%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1371 | Joe Nugent | G | 6-6 | 3 | Returning | Holy Cross | 26 | +0.4 | +0.2 |
| 3578 | Jaelon Germany | G | 6-2 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 10 | -1.9 | -0.5 |
| 4376 | Elijah Flowers | F | 6-7 | 0 | Other newcomer | 11 | -2.7 | -0.7 | |
| 4534 | Ethan Clark | F | 6-7 | 1 | Returning | Holy Cross | 7 | -3.6 | -0.6 |
| 4595 | Austin Mejia | G | 6-3 | 1 | Returning | Holy Cross | 7 | -3.8 | -0.7 |
| 4669 | Tim Finau | F | 6-11 | 1 | Returning | Holy Cross | 7 | -3.9 | -0.7 |
| 4732 | Chuck Hare | F | 6-10 | 1 | Returning | Holy Cross | 12 | -3.2 | -1.0 |
| 4823 | Jude Haigh | G | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | Holy Cross | 11 | -3.6 | -1.0 |
| 4860 | John St. Germain III | G | 6-1 | 2 | Returning | Holy Cross | 18 | -2.9 | -1.3 |
| 4999 | Aidan Richard | F | 6-6 | 2 | Returning | Holy Cross | 26 | -2.8 | -1.8 |
| 5028 | Declan Ryan | F | 6-8 | 3 | Returning | Holy Cross | 16 | -3.6 | -1.4 |
| 5036 | DeAndre Williams | G | 6-3 | 3 | Returning | Holy Cross | 24 | -3.0 | -1.8 |
| 5219 | Will Aljancic | F | 6-6 | 1 | Returning | Holy Cross | 12 | -6.4 | -1.9 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue Nov 03 | at |  Rhode Island #148 | -14.9 | 11% | |
| Fri Nov 06 | at |  Villanova #24 | -25.8 | 2% | |
| Wed Nov 11 | vs |  Furman #110 | -5.9 | 32% | |
| Sun Nov 15 | vs |  UAlbany #293 | +0.9 | 53% | |
| Wed Nov 18 | vs |  Brown #184 | -2.9 | 41% | |
| Fri Nov 20 | vs |  Harvard #123 | -5.0 | 34% | |
| Wed Nov 25 | at |  Dartmouth #290 | -9.8 | 21% | |
| Sun Nov 29 | vs |  New Hampshire #335 | +2.9 | 59% | |
| Wed Dec 02 | at |  Northeastern #296 | -8.7 | 24% | |
| Sat Dec 05 | at |  Stonehill #354 | -4.9 | 34% | |
| Thu Dec 17 | at |  Texas A&M #31 | -25.7 | 2% | |
| Sat Dec 19 | at |  TCU #51 | -22.9 | 3% | |
| Wed Dec 30 | vs |  Army #314 | conf | -1.2 | 46% |
| Sat Jan 02 | at |  American University #188 | conf | -10.0 | 21% |
| Wed Jan 06 | vs |  Navy #174 | conf | -5.9 | 31% |
| Sat Jan 09 | at |  Loyola Maryland #344 | conf | -2.2 | 43% |
| Wed Jan 13 | at |  Lehigh #256 | conf | -7.4 | 27% |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs |  Colgate #197 | conf | -5.4 | 33% |
| Wed Jan 20 | at |  Bucknell #313 | conf | -4.5 | 36% |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs |  Boston University #230 | conf | -4.2 | 36% |
| Wed Jan 27 | at | Army #314 | conf | -3.9 | 38% |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs | Loyola Maryland #344 | conf | +0.7 | 52% |
| Mon Feb 01 | at |  Lafayette #342 | conf | -2.8 | 41% |
| Mon Feb 01 | at | Lafayette #342 | conf | -2.8 | 41% |
| Sat Feb 06 | at | Navy #174 | conf | -10.0 | 21% |
| Wed Feb 10 | vs | Bucknell #313 | conf | -1.2 | 46% |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | Lehigh #256 | conf | -3.7 | 38% |
| Wed Feb 17 | at | Colgate #197 | conf | -9.6 | 22% |
| Sun Feb 21 | at | Boston University #230 | conf | -8.3 | 25% |
| Wed Feb 24 | vs | Lafayette #342 | conf | +0.2 | 51% |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs | American University #188 | conf | -5.7 | 32% |
Projected margin is from Holy Cross's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.