Teams › Sun Belt · Compare Louisiana Tech with another team
Louisiana Tech
Louisiana Tech returns 57% of last season's minutes and rates #292 on offense and #238 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -12.4 to +2.5.
Why we have them here
Louisiana Tech's preseason projection of -5.0 (No. 269 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -3.3, about the -2.8 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 186 at the end of 2025-26) adds -0.4, about its neighbours' -0.8; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -1.7. It returns 57% of last season's minutes, less than teams ranked near it (70%). The projection leans most on Scooter Williams (+1.1), Keegan Rowell (-0.3) and Bryce Dixon (-0.3); the newcomer who matters most is Bryce Dixon, a freshman, recruit No. 310, at -0.3. Its 80% range, -12.4 to +2.5, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 51% · Freshman 19% · Other newcomer 12%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 841 | Scooter Williams | G | 6-4 | 2 | Returning | Louisiana Tech | 24 | +1.8 | +1.1 |
| 2461 | Jaylen Fenner | G | 6-6 | 1 | Returning | Louisiana Tech | 25 | -0.6 | -0.4 |
| 2483 | Keegan Rowell | G | 6-3 | 1 | Returning | Louisiana Tech | 12 | -0.9 | -0.3 |
| 2923 | Bryce Dixon | F | 6-5 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 11 | -1.3 | -0.3 |
| 3643 | James Sanderson | G | 6-1 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 14 | -1.6 | -0.6 |
| 3843 | A'Meir Williams | F | 6-8 | 0 | Other newcomer | 12 | -1.9 | -0.6 | |
| 3872 | Adam Boyd | G | 6-3 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 13 | -1.8 | -0.6 |
| 3900 | Kyran Tilley | G | 1 | Other newcomer | 12 | -2.0 | -0.6 | ||
| 3975 | Lachlan Thompson | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | Louisiana Tech | 9 | -2.3 | -0.5 |
| 4322 | Kylan Howze | F | 6-9 | 1 | Returning | Louisiana Tech | 16 | -2.2 | -0.9 |
| 4749 | Jermaurhiyun Anderson | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | Louisiana Tech | 17 | -2.7 | -1.1 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | vs |  Kent State #133 | +0.4 | 51% | |
| Mon Nov 09 | at |  LSU #39 | -17.9 | 7% | |
| Sat Nov 14 | at |  Nicholls #267 | -4.6 | 35% | |
| Tue Nov 17 | vs |  Jacksonville State #203 | +3.0 | 60% | |
| Thu Nov 19 | vs |  Tulane #250 | +4.4 | 64% | |
| Tue Nov 24 | vs |  Alcorn State #358 | +11.0 | 81% | |
| Fri Nov 27 | vs |  Texas State #183 | +2.3 | 58% | |
| Wed Dec 02 | at | Texas State #183 | -8.5 | 24% | |
| Sun Dec 06 | at | Jacksonville State #203 | -6.6 | 29% | |
| Sat Dec 12 | vs |  Stephen F. Austin #161 | +1.6 | 55% | |
| Wed Dec 16 | at |  Troy #155 | -9.7 | 21% | |
| Sat Dec 19 | vs |  App State #229 | +3.5 | 61% | |
| Tue Dec 22 | vs |  Jackson State #355 | +10.8 | 81% | |
| Thu Dec 31 | at |  Coastal Carolina #301 | -3.6 | 38% | |
| Sat Jan 02 | at |  Old Dominion #297 | -4.1 | 37% | |
| Thu Jan 07 | vs |  James Madison #147 | +1.1 | 53% | |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs |  Marshall #247 | +4.4 | 64% | |
| Thu Jan 14 | vs |  Arkansas State #134 | +0.4 | 51% | |
| Sat Jan 16 | at |  South Alabama #228 | -6.3 | 30% | |
| Thu Jan 21 | vs | Troy #155 | +1.4 | 55% | |
| Sat Jan 23 | at |  UL Monroe #359 | +0.9 | 53% | |
| Thu Jan 28 | vs |  Southern Miss #214 | +3.3 | 61% | |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs | South Alabama #228 | +3.6 | 62% | |
| Wed Feb 03 | at |  Louisiana #294 | -3.8 | 38% | |
| Thu Feb 11 | at | Southern Miss #214 | -7.4 | 27% | |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | UL Monroe #359 | +11.6 | 83% | |
| Sat Feb 20 | at |  Georgia Southern #298 | -4.2 | 37% | |
| Wed Feb 24 | vs | Louisiana #294 | +5.8 | 68% | |
| Fri Feb 26 | at | Arkansas State #134 | -11.0 | 19% |
Projected margin is from Louisiana Tech's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.