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Coppin State
Coppin State returns 100% of last season's minutes and rates #363 on offense and #361 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -24.4 to -9.8.
Why we have them here
Coppin State's preseason projection of -17.2 (No. 364 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -8.7, less than the -7.8 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 362 at the end of 2025-26) adds -4.2, less than its neighbours' -3.3; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -4.6. It returns 100% of last season's minutes, more than teams ranked near it (81%). The projection leans most on Camaren Sparrow (-0.7), Josiah Brown (-0.9) and Khali Horton (-0.9). Its 80% range, -24.4 to -9.8, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 100%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3799 | Camaren Sparrow | G | 6-4 | 3 | Returning | Coppin State | 17 | -1.5 | -0.7 |
| 4287 | Khali Horton | F | 6-8 | 3 | Returning | Coppin State | 19 | -1.9 | -0.9 |
| 4738 | Hassan Perkins | G | 6-0 | 2 | Returning | Coppin State | 22 | -2.4 | -1.3 |
| 4747 | Demariontay Hall | F | 6-7 | 2 | Returning | Coppin State | 21 | -2.5 | -1.3 |
| 4769 | Hussain Williams | G | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | Coppin State | 19 | -2.6 | -1.2 |
| 4811 | Josiah Brown | G | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | Coppin State | 9 | -3.9 | -0.9 |
| 5078 | Jamari Piercy | G | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | Coppin State | 17 | -3.7 | -1.6 |
| 5100 | Tyler Koenig | F | 6-9 | 1 | Returning | Coppin State | 16 | -4.1 | -1.6 |
| 5116 | Torrin Andrews | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | Coppin State | 18 | -3.9 | -1.8 |
| 5125 | Nelson Lamizana | F | 6-9 | 1 | Returning | Coppin State | 16 | -4.3 | -1.7 |
| 5146 | Daveyon Lydner | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | Coppin State | 13 | -5.0 | -1.6 |
| 5236 | Baasil Saunders | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | Coppin State | 13 | -6.9 | -2.3 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue Nov 03 | at | -28.1 | 1% | ||
| Fri Nov 06 | at | -20.4 | 5% | ||
| Thu Nov 12 | N | -11.2 | 18% | ||
| Sat Nov 14 | at | -25.0 | 2% | ||
| Wed Nov 18 | at | -16.2 | 9% | ||
| Sat Nov 21 | at | -22.5 | 3% | ||
| Tue Nov 24 | at | -30.4 | <1% | ||
| Thu Dec 03 | at | -27.7 | 1% | ||
| Mon Dec 07 | vs | -3.7 | 38% | ||
| Thu Dec 10 | vs | -5.0 | 34% | ||
| Sun Dec 13 | at | -26.3 | 2% | ||
| Thu Dec 17 | at | -18.0 | 7% | ||
| Sat Dec 19 | at | -19.4 | 6% | ||
| Tue Dec 22 | at | -18.3 | 7% | ||
| Tue Dec 29 | at | -15.6 | 10% | ||
| Sat Jan 02 | vs | conf | +2.4 | 58% | |
| Sat Jan 09 | at | conf | -6.4 | 30% | |
| Mon Jan 11 | at | conf | -4.9 | 35% | |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs | conf | -0.3 | 49% | |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs | conf | -4.8 | 35% | |
| Mon Jan 25 | at | conf | -12.7 | 15% | |
| Sat Jan 30 | at | conf | -7.3 | 28% | |
| Sat Feb 06 | at | conf | -2.5 | 42% | |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | conf | -0.7 | 48% | |
| Mon Feb 15 | vs | conf | +0.6 | 52% | |
| Sat Feb 20 | at | conf | -5.7 | 32% | |
| Sat Feb 27 | at | conf | -10.8 | 19% | |
| Mon Mar 01 | vs | conf | -8.5 | 25% | |
| Thu Mar 04 | vs | conf | -1.4 | 46% |
Projected margin is from Coppin State's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.