Teams › Metro · Compare Merrimack with another team
Merrimack
Merrimack returns 58% of last season's minutes and rates #254 on offense and #112 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -7.8 to +7.0.
Why we have them here
Merrimack's preseason projection of -0.5 (No. 176 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -0.7, about the -0.2 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 138 at the end of 2025-26) adds +0.3, about its neighbours' +0.3; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -0.4. It returns 58% of last season's minutes, less than teams ranked near it (69%). The projection leans most on Todd Brogna (+2.0), Tye Dorset (+1.2) and Dylan Veillette (+0.1); the newcomer who matters most is Denver Anglin, a transfer from Iona, at +0.1. Its 80% range, -7.8 to +7.0, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 45% · Transfer 25% · Other newcomer 30%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 513 | Todd Brogna | F | 6-7 | 3 | Returning | Merrimack | 27 | +3.0 | +2.0 |
| 861 | Tye Dorset | G | 6-3 | 2 | Returning | Merrimack | 30 | +1.6 | +1.2 |
| 1435 | Dylan Veillette | F | 6-7 | 1 | Returning | Merrimack | 15 | +0.3 | +0.1 |
| 1569 | Denver Anglin | G | 6-1 | 4 | Transfer | Iona | 26 | +0.1 | +0.1 |
| 2387 | Ayden Johnson | F | 5-10 | 0 | Other newcomer | 8 | -1.0 | -0.2 | |
| 2420 | Amare Guerra | F | 5-10 | 0 | Other newcomer | 8 | -1.0 | -0.2 | |
| 2706 | Rocco Westfield | F | 6-2 | 0 | Other newcomer | 8 | -1.3 | -0.3 | |
| 2706 | Quinn Kwasniak | F | 6-2 | 0 | Other newcomer | 8 | -1.3 | -0.3 | |
| 3181 | Eli Wilborn | F | 6-8 | 3 | Transfer | James Madison | 13 | -1.4 | -0.4 |
| 3253 | JP Skoric | F | 6-8 | 0 | Other newcomer | 9 | -1.6 | -0.4 | |
| 3253 | David Munro | F | 6-8 | 0 | Other newcomer | 9 | -1.6 | -0.4 | |
| 3371 | Jacob Moore | F | 6-9 | 0 | Other newcomer | 9 | -1.7 | -0.4 | |
| 4454 | Brendan Johnson | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | Merrimack | 8 | -3.2 | -0.7 |
| 4548 | Aram Vladimir Soqui Urbano | G | 6-4 | 1 | Transfer | Fresno State | 11 | -2.9 | -0.8 |
| 4826 | Aliou Cisse | F | 6-7 | 1 | Returning | Merrimack | 10 | -3.8 | -0.9 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | N |  App State #229 | +1.5 | 55% | |
| Thu Nov 05 | vs |  UMass Lowell #287 | +8.5 | 76% | |
| Sun Nov 08 | at |  UAlbany #293 | -1.2 | 46% | |
| Fri Nov 13 | at |  Florida #1 | -27.9 | 1% | |
| Wed Nov 18 | vs |  Boston University #230 | +6.3 | 70% | |
| Fri Nov 27 | N |  Vermont #202 | +0.8 | 53% | |
| Sat Nov 28 | at |  Hofstra #124 | -7.4 | 27% | |
| Sun Nov 29 | N |  Colgate #197 | +0.7 | 52% | |
| Fri Dec 04 | at |  Siena #208 | conf | -1.0 | 47% |
| Sun Dec 06 | vs |  Fairfield #248 | conf | +4.1 | 63% |
| Thu Dec 10 | vs | Vermont #202 | +5.5 | 67% | |
| Sat Dec 12 | at |  Michigan State #6 | -21.3 | 4% | |
| Mon Dec 21 | at |  Maine #318 | +0.2 | 51% | |
| Tue Dec 29 | vs |  Iona #282 | conf | +5.5 | 67% |
| Fri Jan 01 | at |  Manhattan #309 | conf | +2.7 | 59% |
| Sun Jan 03 | vs |  Quinnipiac #200 | conf | +2.8 | 59% |
| Fri Jan 08 | vs |  Marist #205 | conf | +2.8 | 59% |
| Sun Jan 10 | at | Fairfield #248 | conf | +0.1 | 50% |
| Wed Jan 13 | at |  Saint Peter's #289 | conf | +1.4 | 55% |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs |  Canisius #346 | conf | +8.6 | 76% |
| Mon Jan 18 | vs |  Niagara #329 | conf | +6.9 | 72% |
| Fri Jan 22 | at | Marist #205 | conf | -1.4 | 45% |
| Sun Jan 24 | vs | Manhattan #309 | conf | +6.5 | 70% |
| Fri Jan 29 | at |  Mount St. Mary's #204 | conf | -0.7 | 48% |
| Fri Feb 05 | vs | Saint Peter's #289 | conf | +5.5 | 67% |
| Sun Feb 07 | at |  Rider #351 | conf | +5.7 | 68% |
| Thu Feb 11 | vs | Siena #208 | conf | +2.7 | 59% |
| Fri Feb 19 | at | Niagara #329 | conf | +3.7 | 62% |
| Sun Feb 21 | at | Canisius #346 | conf | +4.7 | 65% |
| Fri Feb 26 | vs |  Sacred Heart #272 | conf | +5.0 | 66% |
| Sun Feb 28 | at | Quinnipiac #200 | conf | -1.0 | 47% |
Projected margin is from Merrimack's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.