Teams › CAA · Compare Elon with another team
Elon
Elon returns 65% of last season's minutes and rates #164 on offense and #260 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -9.0 to +5.5.
Why we have them here
Elon's preseason projection of -1.7 (No. 198 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -1.7, about the -1.3 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 235 at the end of 2025-26) adds -0.4, about its neighbours' -0.2; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +0.1. It returns 65% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (67%). The projection leans most on Chandler Cuthrell (+3.2), Bryson Cokley (+0.2) and Cam Thrower (-0.3); the newcomer who matters most is Cam Thrower, a transfer from Pennsylvania, at -0.3. Its 80% range, -9.0 to +5.5, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 56% · Transfer 30% · Other newcomer 9%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 219 | Chandler Cuthrell | F | 6-8 | 3 | Returning | Elon | 26 | +4.9 | +3.2 |
| 1398 | Bryson Cokley | G | 6-6 | 2 | Returning | Elon | 23 | +0.3 | +0.2 |
| 2455 | Cam Thrower | G | 6-3 | 4 | Transfer | Pennsylvania | 18 | -0.7 | -0.3 |
| 2998 | Hunter Harding | C | 7-1 | 3 | Transfer | Indiana State | 9 | -1.4 | -0.3 |
| 3266 | Trey O'Neil | F | 6-1 | 2 | Other newcomer | 9 | -1.7 | -0.4 | |
| 3330 | Alex Brabec | F | 6-2 | 0 | Other newcomer | 9 | -1.7 | -0.4 | |
| 3499 | Randall Pettus II | G | 6-3 | 3 | Returning | Elon | 23 | -1.2 | -0.7 |
| 3766 | Alex Olander | F | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | Elon | 6 | -2.5 | -0.4 |
| 3941 | Josh Dalton | F | 6-10 | 1 | Transfer | Loyola Marymount | 14 | -1.9 | -0.6 |
| 3995 | Savion Taylor | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | Elon | 7 | -2.6 | -0.5 |
| 4104 | Ned Hull | G | 6-3 | 3 | Returning | Elon | 17 | -1.8 | -0.8 |
| 4201 | Iker Garmendia | F | 6-9 | 1 | Returning | Elon | 8 | -2.8 | -0.6 |
| 4788 | Isaiah Mbeng | G | 6-1 | 2 | Transfer | East Carolina | 19 | -2.6 | -1.3 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | at |  Columbia #169 | -6.6 | 30% | |
| Fri Nov 06 | vs |  UNC Greensboro #246 | +6.4 | 70% | |
| Tue Nov 10 | at |  George Washington #119 | -9.6 | 22% | |
| Fri Nov 13 | vs |  Chattanooga #226 | +5.7 | 68% | |
| Wed Nov 18 | at |  South Carolina #98 | -11.3 | 18% | |
| Sat Nov 21 | vs |  Morehead State #265 | +6.9 | 71% | |
| Tue Nov 24 | at |  Furman #110 | -9.1 | 23% | |
| Sat Nov 28 | at |  NC State #36 | -17.3 | 8% | |
| Thu Dec 03 | vs |  James Madison #147 | +3.0 | 60% | |
| Sat Dec 12 | at |  Richmond #136 | -8.2 | 25% | |
| Wed Dec 16 | vs |  Longwood #195 | +5.0 | 66% | |
| Tue Dec 22 | at |  Radford #241 | -4.2 | 37% | |
| Thu Dec 31 | vs |  North Carolina A&T #285 | conf | +4.9 | 65% |
| Sat Jan 02 | at |  William & Mary #168 | conf | -4.3 | 37% |
| Thu Jan 07 | at |  Campbell #224 | conf | -2.2 | 43% |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs |  UNC Wilmington #101 | conf | -2.7 | 41% |
| Thu Jan 14 | vs |  Hofstra #124 | conf | -1.1 | 46% |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs |  Stony Brook #283 | conf | +4.7 | 65% |
| Thu Jan 21 | at |  Hampton #288 | conf | -0.3 | 49% |
| Sat Jan 23 | at |  Charleston #141 | conf | -4.3 | 36% |
| Thu Jan 28 | vs |  Northeastern #296 | conf | +5.4 | 67% |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs |  Monmouth #216 | conf | +2.3 | 57% |
| Thu Feb 04 | at | Stony Brook #283 | conf | +0.2 | 51% |
| Thu Feb 11 | at | North Carolina A&T #285 | conf | +0.9 | 53% |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | Hampton #288 | conf | +4.8 | 65% |
| Thu Feb 18 | at |  Towson #193 | conf | -3.2 | 40% |
| Sat Feb 20 | at |  Drexel #254 | conf | -1.2 | 46% |
| Thu Feb 25 | vs | Campbell #224 | conf | +2.7 | 58% |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs | William & Mary #168 | conf | +0.9 | 53% |
| Tue Mar 02 | at | UNC Wilmington #101 | conf | -6.6 | 30% |
Projected margin is from Elon's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.